Patterico's Pontifications


GOP Primaries Open Thread

Filed under: General — Dana @ 5:49 pm

[guest post by Dana]

There are 98 delegates to be doled out tonight.

Arizona has 58 delegates and is a winner-take-all state. Donald Trump is expected to win.

Utah has 40 delegates. A candidate must break 50% for the winner-take-all rule to kick in. Ted Cruz is favored to win. If Cruz doesn’t break 50%, then the delegates will be split proportionally between the candidates. This would include John Kasich, who refuses to get out of the race.

Added, because I forgot: American Samoa is also having its caucus tonight (9 delegates).

Decision Desk here.


Ted Cruz: “We need to empower law enforcement to patrol and secure Muslim neighborhoods before they become radicalized”

Filed under: General — Dana @ 4:47 pm

[guest post by Dana]

In response to today’s terrorist attack in Brussels, Ted Cruz posted the following on his Facebook page (emphasis mine):

Today radical Islamic terrorists targeted the men and women of Brussels as they went to work on a spring morning. In a series of co-ordinated attacks they murdered and maimed dozens of innocent commuters at subway stations and travelers at the airport.

For the terrorists, the identities of the victims were irrelevant. They –we—are all part of an intolerable culture that they have vowed to destroy.

For years, the west has tried to deny this enemy exists out of a combination of political correctness and fear. We can no longer afford either.

Our European allies are now seeing what comes of a toxic mix of migrants who have been infiltrated by terrorists and isolated, radical Muslim neighborhoods.

We will do what we can to help them fight this scourge, and redouble our efforts to make sure it does not happen here.

We need to immediately halt the flow of refugees from countries with a significant al Qaida or ISIS presence.

We need to empower law enforcement to patrol and secure Muslim neighborhoods before they become radicalized.

We need to secure the southern border to prevent terrorist infiltration.

And we need to execute a coherent campaign to utterly destroy ISIS.

The days of the United States voluntarily surrendering to the enemy to show how progressive and enlightened we can be are at an end. Our country is at stake.

It is the bolded portion that is causing a stir. This comes just days after Ted Cruz announced his national security team members, and CAIR immediately requested that Cruz drop “designated hate group leader Frank Gaffney Jr., retired Lieutenant General William G. “Jerry” Boykin and other Islamophobes as a foreign policy advisers”.

Today, Andrew McCarthy, who is a member of Cruz’s newly formed team, laid out his argument supporting Cruz’s call for law enforcement to “secure Muslim neighborhoods before they become radicalized.” He argues that this administration has moved away from a post-9/11 prevention-first counterterrorism where law enforcement would pro-actively work to prevent attacks by gathering intelligence from inside Muslim communities sympathetic to “Islamic supremacy” to a practice where law enforcement now primarily engages after an attack occurs, or after a threat has been verified. The latter method is part of an effort by the Obama administration to keep Muslims from being lumped in with radical Islamists as well as messaging that the U.S. does not believe that we, as a nation, are “at war with Islam.” This revised method now includes an effort to “empower” approved Muslim groups, in lieu of law enforcement, to regulate and monitor their communities as well as gather intelligence for law enforcement.

Here is the heart of McCarthy’s defense of Cruz’s statement:

[W]e have to recognize the reality of what the threat is and where it comes from, and we have to stick with prevention-oriented, intelligence-based counterterrorism methods that work.

We have had some domestic terrorist attacks in the U.S. as the threat has intensified during Obama’s presidency. Yet, we have not suffered the spate of attacks they have had (and will continue having) in Europe. The main reasons for the difference are that (a) we have not had as much mass immigration of an assimilation-resistant population, and (b) our police and local governments have not ceded de facto jurisdiction over communities to Muslim activists who would turn them into anti-American enclaves.

Obama policies have put us on the trajectory to repeat Europe’s self-destruction. Cruz is saying we have to defend ourselves —​ and that we are worth defending.

Pro-American Muslims can be a real asset in effective counterterrorism by joining us in helping us ostracize and marginalize radical elements – both the violent jihadists and their ideological sympathizers. But we have to prosecute the war against Islamic supremacists and protect our homeland regardless of how much or how little help we get.

Unsurprisingly, not everyone buys that the implementation of the bolded portion of Cruz’s plan (as briefly outlined by Cruz, without knowing the particulars) would result in a positive outcome. I apologize for the choppiness of the tweets below, but for the sake of brevity, I wanted to focus on the bottom-line:




Can’t You Come Up With A Better Idea?

Filed under: General — Dana @ 12:37 pm

[guest post by Dana]

I’ve been wondering when Melania Trump would be targeted by the anti-Trump people:

A group opposing Donald Trump is targeting Mormon voters online with an ad featuring the Republican presidential candidate’s wife posing nude.

The super-PAC Make America Awesome launched a Facebook campaign last week with three ads ahead of GOP contests Tuesday in Utah and Arizona.

The ads are meant to encourage members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints to vote in support of Ted Cruz, the GOP candidate closest to the 50 percent winner-take-all threshold in Utah, according to BuzzFeed.

Given that a new survey released this weekend shows Cruz with 53 percent support among likely Republican caucus-goes and if that matches Tuesday’s caucus vote, he’d win all of the state’s 40 GOP delegates, it’s odd they’d spend time on the ad. Further, the survey also revealed that Cruz performed even better among “very likely” caucus attendees, coming in at 57 percent. FiveThirtyEight also projects that Cruz has an excellent chance of winning the Utah caucuses.

The Facebook ad is one of three ads released by the super-PAC founded by Liz Mair, and is designed to increase Mormon voter turnout as well as secure votes for Cruz. However, the Melania Trump ad is specifically targeting Mormon women to stir up misgivings about her as a first lady. It is expected to reach 10,000 Mormons per day. Would these voters really be persuaded by a single ad? It insulting to assume that Mormon women are so simplistic and politically ignorant that they haven’t studied the candidates to know by now where each one stands on the issues and based their voting decisions on that . Are they really that uncertain that it would just take a single photo from nearly 20 years ago to change their minds about who to put in the White House? Let’s give these women some credit. After all, it’s not like there aren’t already 100 glaringly solid reasons to say no to Trump. And if the super-PAC thinks that this ad will send the votes of Mormon women to Cruz, what about Mormon men? If you’re going to use slut-shaming as a campaign strategy on female voters, why not male voters? Why not also assume that Mormon male voters are just as socially conservative and morally upright as their counterparts? (And if you think about it, it’s highly likely that the male voters would actually spend more time studying the issue … )

Anyway, it’s distasteful to me and reminds me of the old “Don’t hate me because I’m beautiful” line. Once upon a time, Melania Trump, an undeniably beautiful and successful model, businesswoman, and hands-on mom had a lucrative career as a model. And at times, that job required a lack of clothing.

Instapundit amusingly observes:


Although Liz Mair doesn’t provide any evidence, she claims that the ad is working.


Brussels Terror Attacks

Filed under: General — Patterico @ 7:27 am

A coordinated attack on the metro and airport. I’m seeing 34 dead. Not linking to anything because reports will change rapidly.

With any luck this will convince more Americans to vote for a dishonest leftist big government con man thug today in Utah and Arizona. That would be about par for the course.

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