Patterico's Pontifications


Wikileaks Documents Indicate Pakistan Supports the Taliban (Updated)

Filed under: International,War — DRJ @ 5:06 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

According to the New York Times:

“The documents, made available by an organization called WikiLeaks, suggest that Pakistan, an ostensible ally of the United States, allows representatives of its spy service to meet directly with the Taliban in secret strategy sessions to organize networks of militant groups that fight against American soldiers in Afghanistan, and even hatch plots to assassinate Afghan leaders.”

This is one reason why many experts think America can never win in Afghanistan, but I doubt the New York Times would have published this without the knowledge or even the approval of the Obama Administration — so this may signal the government/military is finally willing to do something about Pakistan.


UPDATE: The White House condemned the release of documents by Wikileaks.


WaPo to Publish Leaked National Intelligence Information?

Filed under: Media Bias,Terrorism,War — DRJ @ 2:00 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

Quin Hillyer at the Washington Times passes along a notice from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence that the Washington Post plans to publish a “compendium of government agencies and contractors allegedly conducting Top Secret work,” including the type of work performed and the location of facilities. The publication may be a series of reports beginning Monday.



RNC Chairman Steele: Afghanistan Can’t Be Won

Filed under: Politics,War — DRJ @ 2:17 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele will spend the Independence Day weekend doing damage control because of this statement:

“Steele was fending off calls for his resignation from conservative commentators for his comment that the Afghanistan war was not a conflict the United States wanted to engage in. Steele at a Thursday fundraiser questioned why President Barack Obama did not understand that “one thing you don’t do, is engage in a land war in Afghanistan.”

MOREAllahpundit has more of the quote:

“Keep in mind again, federal candidates, this was a war of Obama’s choosing. This was not something that the United States had actively prosecuted or wanted to engage in,” he said. “But it was the president who was trying to be cute by half by building a script demonizing Iraq, while saying the battle really should be in Afghanistan. Well, if he is such a student of history, has he not understood that you know that’s the one thing you don’t do, is engage in a land war in Afghanistan?”

Time for a poll:

[Note: I moved the poll beneath the "MORE" prompt because loading is slowing down the website.]



Israeli Attack on Iran may be Imminent (Updated)

Filed under: International,War — DRJ @ 7:21 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

There are reports Israel is preparing to attack Iran:

“Iran’s Fars News Agency said the Israeli military aircraft landed 10 days ago at the Saudi base near the city of Tabuk, located in northwest Saudi Arabia, one of the closest areas in the oil kingdom to Iran.

Fars said that the Tabuk base will be the central station for an Israeli attack on Iran. It quoted an Islamic news site that a commercial airline passenger said the airport in Tabuk was closed to all other traffic during the alleged Israeli landings. The passenger said that “no reasonable explanation” was given for shutting down the airport and those passengers were compensated financially and booked in four-star hotels.

“The relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel have become the talk of the town,” the passenger added. The chief authority in Tabuk, Prince Fahd ben Sultan, was reported be coordinating the cooperation with Israel.

Iran’s government-funded Press TV reported that the Revolutionary Guards began closely patrolling the Islamic Republic’s northwestern border after noticing the American forces, which Iran claimed also included Israeli troops. Azerbaijan’s independent Trend news site also reported on Wednesday that American armed forces are in the country, which is in an armed conflict with rebels.

Revolutionary Guards Brigadier General Mehdi Moini said Tuesday that his forces are mobilized “due to the presence of American and Israeli forces on the western border.” The Guards reportedly have called in tanks and anti-aircraft units to the area in what amounts to a war alert.”

I didn’t think the U.S. was sending 12 warships including the Eisenhower and the Truman to the Middle East just to deal with the Gaza Flotilla.

Thanks to aunursa.


UPDATE– CIA Director Leon Panetta today on ABC’s This Week:

“CIA Director Leon Panetta says Iran probably has enough low-enriched uranium for two nuclear weapons, but that it likely would take two years to build the bombs.

Panetta also says he is doubtful that recent U.N. penalties will put an end to Iran’s nuclear ambitions.”

A lot seems to be coming together at the same time and all of it is focused at Iran.

McChrystal’s Big Mistake

Filed under: Obama,War — DRJ @ 4:41 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

Via Le-gal In-sur-rec-tion, The Independent reports President Obama didn’t sack General Stanley McChrystal solely because of the Rolling Stone article. McChrystal was replaced because things are going badly in Afghanistan and may damage Obama’s re-election chances.

If it’s “off-message” to lose a war, then everything really is political to this Administration.

It’s also interesting how the negative Obama news is coming from foreign news organizations, including left-leaning organizations like The Independent. Maybe the American reporters are too busy reorganizing Journolist.



AWOL Afghans Found?

Filed under: Terrorism,War — DRJ @ 6:17 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

The 17 Afghans who had gone AWOL from a Texas air force base have almost been located with help from Facebook. Rusty at the JAWA Report has good news and bad news:

“Heh. Some of them seemed to have skipped town to live the MTV version of the American dream … in Canada.

Others? Not so much.”

Read the rest.


Turning Things Around in Afghanistan

Filed under: War — DRJ @ 5:01 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

Michael Yon is pleased to see General Petraeus take command in Afghanistan:

“Yon often writes about his private email communications with the former Iraq commander, the most recent of which was to congratulate him on being nominated to command Nato forces in Afghanistan. Afterwards, he posted this on his Facebook page to his 35,182 fans, many of whom serve in the US military:

Just got a nice response from General Petraeus.

This is going to be a long, long journey for the troops, for the General, and for me. Let’s turn this around!”

Will Yon be embedding now that McChrystal is out and Petraeus is in? It wounds sounds like it.

Speaking of changes, Petraeus may already be considering changes to the Afghanistan Rules of Engagement:

“Gen. David Petraeus is expected to modify the controversial rules of engagement aimed at preventing civilian casualties when he takes over as top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, Fox News Channel reported Friday, citing a military source close to Petraeus.

Gen. Stanley McChrystal, who resigned this week after his disparaging comments about Obama administration officials were revealed in a Rolling Stone article, implemented strict guidelines that restricted the use of air power and heavy weaponry in populated areas.

Figures suggest civilian casualties have declined since the guidelines went into effect, but troops on the ground and some military commanders have said the rules have handicapped military efforts, according to Fox News Channel.”

This may be more wishful thinking than definite, but some tweaking is to be expected when a new commander takes charge. Nevertheless, there is more support for changes to the ROE among the American military than the Afghan leadership. So will Petraeus opt for a middle ground, more of the same, or a new way?



Is Petraeus Doomed to Fail?

Filed under: Obama,War — DRJ @ 8:13 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

Senator Kit Bond thinks General Petraeus may be set up to fail [video at the link]:

“He is set up for failure if the President and the Vice President continue to talk about a hard, fast withdrawal date, an exit strategy in July. That has already unsettled and demoralized our allies and encouraged our enemies.”

Bond agreed that a “good start” would be putting a muzzle on Vice President Joe Biden and criticized Ambassador Karl Eikenberry for sending a “secret memo” to President Obama designed to undermine General McChrystal. Bond also called on Eikenberry to step aside in favor of former Ambassador Ryan Crocker.



Obama Removes McChrystal

Filed under: Obama,War — DRJ @ 11:00 am

[Guest post by DRJ]

President Obama has removed General Stanley McChrystal as top commander and replaced him with General David Petraeus. McChrystal’s removal is based on the poor perceptions created in his recent Rolling Stone interview, which is ironic since he’s described the war he leads as a war of perceptions.

McChrystal’s replacement is General Petraeus, U.S. CentCom commander and commander of the MNF in Iraq, proving there’s no rest for the weary. If Petraeus can pull this off, it’s time to bring back the 5th star.



McChrystal Heads Home

Filed under: Obama,War — DRJ @ 6:59 am

[Guest post by DRJ]

General Stanley McChrystal is headed home to meet with the President following the publication of his controversial interview in Rolling Stone. The question is whether he’s home for good given excerpts like this on McChrystal’s view of Obama:

“Even though he had voted for Obama, McChrystal and his new commander in chief failed from the outset to connect. The general first encountered Obama a week after he took office, when the president met with a dozen senior military officials in a room at the Pentagon known as the Tank. According to sources familiar with the meeting, McChrystal thought Obama looked “uncomfortable and intimidated” by the roomful of military brass. Their first one-on-one meeting took place in the Oval Office four months later, after McChrystal got the Afghanistan job, and it didn’t go much better. “It was a 10-minute photo op,” says an adviser to McChrystal. “Obama clearly didn’t know anything about him, who he was. Here’s the guy who’s going to run his fucking war, but he didn’t seem very engaged. The Boss was pretty disappointed.”

This is the story of the day. Heck, of the week.

Marc Ambinder has more on what Allahpundit calls the “poisonous” McChrystal/Eikenberry relationship, the Administration’s response to the interview, and McChrystal’s last-ditch retreat.


UPDATE BY PATTERICO: The .pdf of the article itself is here.

I guess McChrystal found the one way to get face time with Obama. Maybe they can talk about the war while he’s there.

(Just kidding. They’ll talk about what’s really important: the White House’s image.)

UPDATE BY PATTERICO x2: InstaAnalysis from InstaGlenn: “[T]he punchy tone of the McChrystal quotes, coupled with Gen. Petraeus’ collapse in front of Congress last week, suggests that these guys are close to worn out. That’s not a good thing, and it’s an unfortunate contrast to our golf-and-politics-as-usual political class in DC.”

Now who’s up for another round?

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