Patterico's Pontifications

10/1/2004

Iraq and Economic Theory?

Filed under: War — Charlie (Colorado) @ 8:03 pm



Just had a thought regarding Kerry’s claim that Bush should have gotten more allies involved in the attack on Hussein… brought on by watching Jerry Brown on H&C claim that, had Bush done it the right way, instead of suffering 90% of the casualties and 90% of the cost, the United States would have only had to incur 40%…

It involves economic theory, none of which is easy to explain and some of which I actually know, so bear with me.
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WHAT GOOD IS 3 DAY OLD DATA?

Filed under: 2004 Election — Charlie (Colorado) @ 5:33 pm



Being someone who scours the Internet looking for clues as to how the election is going to turn out, I discovered the widely-referred to polling firm Rasmussen Reports. Their methodology is to sample 1,000 likely voters each day and report results on a 3 day rolling average basis. Which makes me wonder what value would this methodology have? I know rolling averages are useful in some situations But not here…
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The Aftermath (part deux)

Filed under: 2004 Election — Charlie (Colorado) @ 4:38 pm



I’ve posted a follow up to The Aftermath over at thoughtsonline where I analogize my advice for the Bush campaign to what’s happening with Vioxx. Thanks to arb for the idea!

The Aftermath

Filed under: 2004 Election — Charlie (Colorado) @ 12:54 pm



I’ve spent most of the day replaying last night’s debate in my head thinking about how I would proceed if I were Bush. This is what I’ve come up with (please bear with me, it’s going to take a while)…

Kerry has staked his entire foreign policy on a ‘the grass is greener on my side of the fence’ theme with his constant repetition of “Bush screwed up and is screwing up and I can do better”. On first blush, it’s not a bad approach as Americans are especially prone to fall for sales pitches such as this.
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