[UPDATE: I am giving results in updates as fast as I see them.]
UPDATE: BROWN WINS. Coakley has called him to concede.
Well, the polls are closed. Let’s get a quick recap of some significant events of the day:
The Boston Globe publishes a full election map, declaring
Marcia Marcy Martha Coakley the winner of the Senate race in Massachusettes Massachusetts. 50% to 49%. Just one problem: the polls weren’t closed. They say they were testing a tool.
The only tool here is the guy who declared Coakley the winner in the test map.
The best evidence that Coakley is going down: the backbiting has already begun as to who is at fault for her defeat. Enjoy the spectacle. This is from an anonymous Democrat party official:
The campaign failed to recognize this threat, failed to keep Coakley on the campaign trail, failed to create a negative narrative about Brown, failed to stay on the air in December while he was running a brilliant campaign. It’s wishful thinking from a pollster, candidate and campaign team that were caught napping and are going to allow one of the worst debacles in American political history to happen on their watch that they are at the 11th hour are going to blame others.
Before the DNC and DSCC got involved there was barely a single piece of paper on what the narrative is on Brown. The candidate in this race and the campaign have been involved in the worst case of political malpractice in memory and they aren’t going to be able to spin themselves out of this with a memo full of lies.
Hahahahahahaha. That’s the best evidence I know that they’re in trouble.
It seems that Coakley is weakly trying to lay groundwork for a challenge to the results by claiming fraud: namely, citing unconfirmed reports of five ballots being handed out pre-marked for Brown. Wouldn’t put it past the Coakley people to do this. After all, some of the Coakley supporters openly declare that they would cheat if they had the chance.
Ah, but where’s my evidence that they planned this?! How about this: the press release complaining about today’s fraud is dated yesterday. Ed Driscoll, bless his heart, got the screen grab.
Apparently the Massachusetts Secretary of State is not giving much credence to the fraud complaints.
That’s what I see from a quick scan of the blogs. I’ll update the post as I learn more.
UPDATE: Frank Luntz can’t find anyone who wants to be in his focus group supporting Coakley. And according to a Democrat operative who spoke to Glenn Thrush, “outreach workers in and around Boston have been stunned by the number of Democrats and Obama supporters who are waving them off, saying they’ll vote for Scott Brown.” Another small indicator of the Democrats’ lack of enthusiam: I noticed on Twitter that Sadly, No! writer Brad Reed said:
i voted for her this morning. didn’t feel good about it though. in fact, felt downright filthy about it.
Ah, the enthusiasm!
UPDATE x2: Latest results from Twitter:
11% reporting: Brown (R) 143,950 votes, 53%; Coakley (D) 126,037 votes, 46%
That’s from Chuck Todd at NBC. He seems to have prompt updates, so I’ll be following him.
UPDATE x3: Todd again:
17% in: Brown (R) 52%, Coakley (D) 47%. Just four precincts [in BOSTON] have reported so far.
UPDATE x4: Todd:
25% reporting: Brown (R) 288,615 votes, 52%; Coakley (D) 260,730 votes, 47%
Up by 5 points with a quarter of the vote in. Not bad.
UPDATE x5: Dave Wasserman at the Cook Political Report:
Cook Report does NOT officially call races, but if I were working for a network I would have enough #s to project: Brown Wins
UPDATE x6: Ed Morrissey says it’s Brown by 5 with 36% of the vote in.
UPDATE x7: Morrissey says 40% reporting and Brown is up by 7.
UPDATE x8: Brown by 5 with 45% of the vote in, per Steve Brusk at CNN. Brusk also writes:
Several House Democrats make it clear to Dana Bash tonight after Cap Hill meeting…would not support Senate version of health care
UPDATE x9: It’s Brown by 6 with 57% of the vote in.
UPDATE x10: Ed Morrissey:
60% reporting, @scottbrownMA has a 7-point, 87,000 vote lead in #MASen. Someone’s gonna call this soon.
UPDATE x11: 53-46 with 63% of the vote in.
UPDATE x12: Coakley concedes. It’s all over.
Now SEAT THIS MAN.
UPDATE x13: Erick Erickson has a great idea:
DEAR GOP: Scott Brown should deliver the response to Barack Obama’s State of the Union next week!
It’s so perfect, there’s no way they’ll ever do it.
UPDATE x14: Peter Hamby of CNN reports this very significant quote:
Jim Webb: “it would only be fair and prudent that we suspend further votes on health care legislation until Senator-elect Brown is seated.”
UPDATE x15: Webb’s statement stands in marked contrast to this quote from Rep. Anthony Weiner (D., N.Y.) to the Wall Street Journal this weekend:
“We’re going to have to finish this bill and then stall the swearing-in as long as possible,” Mr. Weiner said. “That’s our strategy, a hurry-up-and-stall strategy.”
Way to respect the will of the people, there, Weiner.