[guest post by JVW]
OK, we’re three days away. Time for everyone to weigh in on what will happen this election day. Here are some categories to consider prognosticating:
Final tally for the House:
Final tally for the Senate:
Governor of (choose the state):
Biggest relief:
Biggest upset:
Race that will really disappoint you:
Race where you want a candidate to win the most:
And feel free to add any other predictions you would like to make.
– JVW
Pronounced "Patter-EE-koh"
E-mail: Just use my moniker Patterico, followed by the @ symbol, followed by gmail.com
Disclaimer: Simpsons avatar may resemble a younger Patterico...
The statements made on this web site reflect the personal opinions of the author. They are not made in any official capacity, and do not represent the opinions of the author's employer.
| M | T | W | T | F | S | S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
| 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
Powered by WordPress.
I prefer to be pessimistic about these sort of things because I would rather be surprisingly pleased than sadly disappointed. So with that said, here’s what I think will happen.
Final tally for the House: 225-210 for the Democrats. Tough night for Republicans, who lose six seats in California as part of a generally weak showing.
Final tally for the Senate: 52-46-2 with Heitkamp being the only incumbent to lose.
Governor of Wisconsin: I’m worried that Scott Walker’s good fortune has run out.
Biggest relief: Dean Heller manages to hold on in Nevada
Biggest upset: The recent Fox News poll turns out to be right and Joe Donnelly wins fairly handily in a race it seemed he would lose just two weeks ago.
Race that will really disappoint you: Claire McCaskill, the Democrats’ most resilient survivor, nips Josh Hawley thanks to a recount.
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: Martha McSally deserves to clean the clock of Kyrsten Sinema; it’s criminal that the race is even close.
I hope I’m being Henny Penny about this.
JVW (42615e) — 11/3/2018 @ 6:29 pmOne more category, please. Race where you want a candidate to lose the most. Illinois governor — J.B. Pritzker. I cannot stomach that guy.
And don’t be so pessimistic, JVW. Keep hope alive.
nk (dbc370) — 11/3/2018 @ 6:48 pmThose are a fine set of prognostications, JVW. I’m slightly more optimistic about the margin of the loss of the House than you: I think 219-216. I’m also more bullish about the Senate, which I think will go to 55-42-2. Texas governor Greg Abbott will top 60% overall and will outpoll Lupe Valdez among Hispanics. I’ll ditto you on Heller as the biggest relief. Biggest upset will be in Georgia, where Dem Stacy Abrams will upset incumbent Gov. Brian Kemp with an outright majority, avoiding a runoff. Tim Scott’s loss in Florida will be my biggest disappointment, and Trump’s main source of angina for 2020. I’m with you on McSally too.
Beldar (fa637a) — 11/3/2018 @ 6:58 pmI’ll play along…
Final tally for the House: Dems 220 Reps 215
Chuck Bartowski (211c17) — 11/3/2018 @ 7:22 pmFinal tally for the Senate: Reps 54 Dems 45 1 Independent who’s really a Democrat
Governor of Nevada: Adam Laxalt narrowly over Sisolak
Biggest relief: McSalley pulling out a win in AZ
Biggest upset: Hawley over McCaskill
Race that will really disappoint you: Pretty much all of the ballot initiatives
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: Heller, NV
In the Southwest, the Hispanic voters show up this time, millennials show up equal to 2016, so terrible, but more than a normal mid-term. House retirements are really going to hurt.
House: 235-200 for the Democrats. Basically, any race that was R+5 or less, flips, and even worse in the Southwest.
Colonel Klink (Ret) (71c83f) — 11/3/2018 @ 7:23 pmSenate: 50R-48-2 Donnelly, Heller, I’m going to say Bredesen pulls it out in Tennessee because he is still very popular as a human, and Blackburn is not. Southern Indiana is just across the river, and I just can’t see Donnelly being up, Braun is a terrible candidate, but it is not a purple state.
Governor: Fla, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, flip, GA stays Red, those are the only ones I’m really confident about. Fla, Ohio, WI, by less than 2%.
Biggest relief: Cruz wins in Texas, but only by 2.5%
Biggest upset: Cruz wins in Texas, but only by 2.5%. Rohrbacher loses, quite badly
Race that will really disappoint you: Arizona flips, Hispanic vote all over the Southwest actually makes a difference and the last 2 weeks of rhetoric really drive turnout and flip races that have no business being blue seats. Bonus, Steve King wins, boo, F that guy.
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: Bob Hugin in New Jersey, no chance, but Menendez is the poster boy for corruption, well, him and Trump.
I just think the last 2 weeks are going to make a difference, and I’m pretty pessimistic. I think it is going to be as bad as predicted going into the year. Any Kavanaugh bump will be swamped by Trump’s mouth.
Colonel Klink (Ret) (71c83f) — 11/3/2018 @ 7:28 pmFinal house tally: 223 D, 212 R
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/3/2018 @ 7:36 pmSenate, 53 R, 46 D, 1 I
Governor of Ohio: Richard Cordray
Biggest relief: Josh Hawley over Russian lady
Biggest Upset: AN R as governor of Oregon
Race that will disappoint me: Ellison getting elected as Mn AG
Race where I want candidate to win the most: Steve kings opponent.
Extra Q: # Black Southern Govs: 1, and the renaming of the Bradley effect from the other.
I consider myself a realist. Therefore, aside from a few ballot questions, I will not be voting in any partisan elections this year nor could I care less how they turn out.
Gryph (5efbad) — 11/3/2018 @ 7:48 pmHugin has a major chance to win in NJ. The media is going all out here to drag Menedez to the finish line because he’s their filth and anti-Trump.
NJRob (11567c) — 11/3/2018 @ 8:07 pmSo Hugin loses by 12%? I’d like him to win, but he’s got zero chance. If he’s inside 10%, it will be a miracle.
Colonel Klink (Ret) (a275fc) — 11/3/2018 @ 8:52 pmOK
Final tally for the House: Dems 210 Reps 225
Final tally for the Senate: Reps 55 Dems 44 1 Independent who’s really a Democrat
Governor of Florida: DeSantis
Biggest relief: Heller in NV holds
Biggest upset: Rosendale over Tester
Race that will really disappoint you: Menendez in NJ
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: DeSantis
The good news is that the GOP will do better than the establishment media and polls say. Early voting will have shown this, but was ignored. The bad news is that races that shouldn’t have been close will be. Florida, Arizona, and Georgia come to mind. With the coming increase of non-white voters, Florida and many other states will go Democratic within ten years. Sooner, if Florida lets felons vote more easily, which is on the ballot.
Deplorable (c00a79) — 11/3/2018 @ 9:17 pm^^^^^^^^^^^^ !!!
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/3/2018 @ 9:22 pmThe good news is that the GOP will do better than the establishment media and polls say. Early voting will have shown this, but was ignored.
I was pleased to read that the early voting figures in Arizona appear to favor the GOP, so hopefully that trend continues. Hopefully this is a sign that Republicans are motivated to come out the polls this year.
JVW (42615e) — 11/3/2018 @ 9:33 pmI tend to agree with Deplorable. Not because he said it, but because Mike Pence said it. It may be wishful thinking, but so are media polls. When they say a race is a dead heat, it means the Republican is ahead by 9%.
nk (dbc370) — 11/3/2018 @ 9:35 pmOT, but at least happyfeet can now walk the streets of Chi in peace: http://abc7chicago.com/business/report-amazon-in-advanced-talks-to-open-its-2nd-hq-in-washington-dc-area/4613255/
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/3/2018 @ 10:04 pmFinal tally for the House: 418-417 (one way or the other)
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/3/2018 @ 10:33 pmFinal tally for the Senate: 56R-42D-2confused
Governor of (choose the state): Pearce (NM)
Biggest relief: Walker wins
Biggest upset: Menendez loses
Race that will really disappoint you: CA Governor
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: McSally, and she will
218-rinos 217 party of hate
mg (9e54f8) — 11/3/2018 @ 10:41 pm54-rinos. 43 2
I wish too tall Devaul would lose. [charlie baker mitt Romney lite impersonator]
Ted Cruz winning is a relief.
Jeff Diehl massacring lieawatha.
Steve King losing would hurt.
Jeff Diehl over that lying sack of crap lieawatha.
Final tally for the House: Dem 227 – 208
Final tally for the Senate: GOP 53 – 47
Governor of (choose the state): GA Kemp. After recount, runoff, and lawsuits. Late to take office.
Biggest relief: Kemp
Biggest upset: Love losing seat.
Race that will really disappoint you: Donnelly retaining seat thanks to this year’s Perot.
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: Kemp.
I am not liking the end of the Kavanaugh momentum. One thing that might could help is bad weather in Indiana and Georgia.
BONUS: Within a week, Mueller will announce attempt to subpoena Trump.
Ed from SFV (6d42fa) — 11/3/2018 @ 11:04 pmJVW,
Last I looked, early voting in Florida was that the Democrats are losing badly. As an example, in 2016 Florida, they had something like a 90,000 vote lead and they still lost the state. They currently are around -57,000. That is a huge swing in a state that usually comes down to a point or two.
And some other states are looking pretty good for Republicans. The bad news, though, is that the Democrats have a lot more money. Lots of retirements and the impact of the entire anti-Trump movement within the GOP. People like Ryan, Corker, and Flake and so many more had better things to do in 2018 than help Trump in the future. Also, one can imagine that a fair number of good candidates chose not to run thinking that it was going to be a bad year.
Basically, the GOP needs Trump to drive the news narrative and do his rallies, as a pure ad war won’t work. More billionaires for the Betos and immigration than for the Cruzes or limiting immigration.
Deplorable (c00a79) — 11/3/2018 @ 11:45 pmmy guess voter suppression will keep democrat gains to tolerable level and tough voter id laws will discourage many democrats from bothering to try and vote. we will see if democrats put up with disenfranchisement.
lany (c26a81) — 11/4/2018 @ 12:23 amwe will see if democrats put up with disenfranchisement.
Or will they just sit on their couches waiting for the government benefits to come? I mean voting is sooooo hard; you have to go to the polling station, maybe stand in line, and then try to match the actual ballot with the sample one that SEIU gave you when they picked you up and drove you there.
JVW (42615e) — 11/4/2018 @ 1:01 ami predict utah will elect a simpering harvardfop bloated with weirdness and narcissism what can’t be left along in the company of small boys
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:40 amoops can’t be left *alone* in the company of small boys i mean (mitt romney)
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:41 amRace where you want a candidate to win the most: McSally, and she will
this chick is nothing to ring ding the bell about
another hyper-entitled mil-freak like mccain she’s disgusting she makes me sick
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:43 amyou know who loves them some mcsally all up in it?
jeff flake and mitt romney (extreme weirdos)
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:46 amThere’re still a few sore Kelli Ward diehards kvetching and ballot-blanking that are also making that margin small.
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:49 amGeorgia would recover faster than Florida. And both states have a money minded jock-ocracy and entertainment community of the same hue that would talk the govs out of most of wilder schemes.
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:53 amKelli Ward’s weird and lame but in a way what aligns with real Arizona people
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 5:25 ammartha elizabeth mcsally did not get shot down
and she did not get bone spurs
i like people who do not get shot down
and do not get bone spurs
not like tammy duckworth who got shot down
or mr. roy cohn’s slicked-up boy toy who got bone spurs
so there
and you’re just just jealous because mr. roy cohn’s slicked-up boy toy held a rally for her and not for you
so there again
nk (dbc370) — 11/4/2018 @ 5:31 amBrilliance!!!! And Rauner will beat the spread, though not win, some would say undeservedly on the strength of the vote that saves Hultgren, Bost, and Ewing west of il 47, south of Kankakee and outside Waukegan (yeah, Hulgrens 14th is a complete outerbelt reaching Gurnee.).
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 5:53 amor mr. roy cohn’s slicked-up boy toy who got bone spurs
this is just a clever allusion to our president the one what does all the good policies
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 7:48 amrauner loves abortion so much he loves it so much
i think that’s one thing rauner and i have in common
we both love abortion and jaunty outerwear
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 7:50 amOn that note on account of Rauner and Walker skidding out, Harley Davidson stock might just be at junk level by Wednesday morning.
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 7:56 amRobert Francis O’Rourke will get his narrow ass kicked in Texas.
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 8:25 amTeh Bugs Bunny toothed, cross-dressing sonuva biscuit anyway…
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 8:32 amThis fellow has come undone… http://www.theamericanmirror.com/obama-unhinged-mocks-hillarys-emails-ebola-trump-migrant-caravan-in-under-90-seconds/
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:13 amHouse 237 R, 191 D
Stu707 (3a9737) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:19 amSenate 54 R, 46 D
Governor Walker, WI, loses
Relief Heller NV keeps seat
Upset Hugin wins NJ
Want Most John James MI but he comes up short
I’m told that the reason McSally is in a fight is that the Real Republicans® won’t vote for her, calling her another McCain.
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:20 amThe real question comes down to: Are Trump haters more prevalent, and more likely to vote than his supporters and Republicans who want to hold the House? The press has been doing its level best to sow defeatism among the Right; will it work?
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:23 amI’m told that the reason McSally is in a fight is that the Real Republicans® won’t vote for her, calling her another McCain.
I see happyfeet beat me to it, in his own way.
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:26 amBONUS: Within a week, Mueller will announce attempt to subpoena Trump.
I figure Monday. I also figure Trump won’t hold his tongue until Wednesday.
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:28 amLast I looked, early voting in Florida was that the Democrats are losing badly.
Why do you think the early voting doesn’t favor Dems?
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:30 amJohn James might be another kneecap from base victim. The ghost of Jon Tanton is complaining about the James family business being the beneficiary of Disadvataged Business set-asides, also those that are put off by white girl wife.
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:39 amEasiest prediction: Biggest news of the election will be how this affects Trump. If the Dems do well (however modestly) it’s proof that Americans have thoroughly and completely repudiated Trump and if he had an ounce of honor he’d resign the Presidency in favor of Hillary Clinton since obviously The People have spoken and they don’t want Trump*. If the Dems don’t do well, horrifying proof of how Trump has infected America with his evil hate-spewing Nazi anti-Semitic white supremacist misogynistic genocidal Hitlerish madness and for the good of the country needs to be removed from office by whatever means necessary.
*Modeled on an actual editorial I saw after the 2012 election calling for Mitch McConnell to step down since Obama’s re-election was obviously nothing less than a total rejection of the GOP.
Jerryskids (702a61) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:42 amReps pick up a few Senate seats and hold control of the house by just a few seats.
Mattsky (868800) — 11/4/2018 @ 11:01 amLast I looked, early voting in Florida was that the Democrats are losing badly. As an example, in 2016 Florida, they had something like a 90,000 vote lead and they still lost the state. They currently are around -57,000. That is a huge swing in a state that usually comes down to a point or two.
Misleading for two reasons. First applies to every election here: GOP voters tend to vote by absentee ballot, Democratic voters in person. I happen to be in the public library at the moment, with early voting downstairs. Going by the look of the line, it was probably a half hour wait to actually get to the voting booth, and this is a heavily Democratic area. The elections staff, I should note based on how they were went a week ago, is not the speediest in the world.
Second reason is specific to this year: Michael hit a very Republican part of the state, and how that will affect not merely how people vote but if they vote at all, is hard to quantify. If you lived in Mexico Beach, you may not have a polling place and not have an address to have an absentee ballot to . (I presume steps have been taken to deal with that sort of problem, but I have no idea of what they are.) At any rate, I would suspect any polling since Michael, and any early voting statistics, to be even less reliable than usual.
kishnevi (bb03e6) — 11/4/2018 @ 11:10 amMy prediction. A prediction so safe it’s hard to call it a prediction.
kishnevi (bb03e6) — 11/4/2018 @ 11:12 amWhatever the results, the media will make an enormous deal out of it that won’t be justified by reality.
Prediction:
Weather.
A sunny day for some and rain on parades for others.
DCSCA (797bc0) — 11/4/2018 @ 11:23 amLooks like republicans take georgia. gov. candidate who is secretary of states says democrat party tried to hack election and democrats trying to vote will be strictly investigated! better have paid your parking tickets and child support if you want to vote democrats.
lany (ea9e47) — 11/4/2018 @ 11:32 amRs will hold in House and gain in the Senate, win in NJ, GA, NV, AZ…
Dems will gnash their baby teefs, rend their garments and generally lose their schiff all around.
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 12:04 pmAnd Rafael Cruz will soundly beat Teh aforementioned Robert Francis O’Rourke in Texas.
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 12:06 pmDemocrats in georgia will say about voter suppression in georgia will say thank you sir may I have another. or will they?
lany (ea9e47) — 11/4/2018 @ 12:13 pmI’m told that the reason McSally is in a fight is that the Real Republicans® won’t vote for her, calling her another McCain.
“I’m devoted to our Lord and President Donald J. Trump and to prove it I will refuse to vote for Republicans who don’t kneel down and kiss his ring, thereby electing a Democrat who will push for his impeachment.”
JVW (42615e) — 11/4/2018 @ 12:49 pmbetter have paid your parking tickets and child support if you want to vote democrats.
You know, I would support not allowing deadbeat dads vote. Do you think that would suppress Democrat voting? If so, why? (And answer carefully so that you don’t run afoul of social justice racial profiling taboos here.)
JVW (42615e) — 11/4/2018 @ 12:56 pmby being such an obnoxious cowardly liar for so many years John McCain poisoned the well there in Arizona
integrity really does matter, and cowardly mewling perpetual victim John McCain didn’t have any
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/4/2018 @ 1:02 pmThere will be some surprises here and there, even if they won’t be so surprising to the locals.
Sammy Finkelman (102c75) — 11/4/2018 @ 1:18 pmThese corksoakers need to lose and lose big-time…
‘The vile attack came during the SNL’s faux news segment “Weekend Update” where Davidson was mocking multiple Republican politicians for their looks. The comedian stated he’d “realized there are some pretty gross people running for office this year”. When a picture of Crenshaw was put on the screen, co-star Michael Che blurted out: “Oh, come on, man!”
“Hold on,” Davidson told him. “You may be surprised to hear he’s a congressional candidate from Texas and not a hitman in a porno movie,” he ridiculed Crenshaw to the uproarious laughter of the liberal crowd. “I’m sorry, I know he lost his eye in war or whatever.” ‘
https://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/nicholas-fondacaro/2018/11/04/snl-mocks-gross-gop-candidate-who-lost-his-eye-ied-blast
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 1:29 pmFinal tally for the House: 435 seats
Final tally for the Senate: 100 seats
Governor of (choose the state): Indiana will still have Eric Holcomb- he’s not up until 2020
Biggest relief: That on Wednesday we’ll stop seeing Braun/Donnelly ads 24/7
Biggest upset: That on Thursday the 2020 Presidential election cycle begins in earnest
Race that will really disappoint you: the human race, as always
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: How about “None of the Above?”
Any other predictions- not really, I suck at predictions. I made 3 in 2016 (not on this blog, but elsewhere)…that when Ted Cruz suspended his campaign it served to guarantee Hillary! the White House, that Evan Bayh would win his old Senate seat back in a walk, and that John Gregg would beat Holcomb for governor of Indiana. Yeah, that was the equivalent of going 0-for-3 with 3 strikeouts.
Jeff Lebowski (7f648e) — 11/4/2018 @ 2:11 pm“I’m devoted to our Lord and President Donald J. Trump and to prove it I will refuse to vote for Republicans who don’t kneel down and kiss his ring, thereby electing a Democrat who will push for his impeachment.”
JVW (42615e) — 11/4/2018 @ 12:49 pm
If some are choosing to follow the example of Republicans in 2016 who refused to vote for the Republican presidential candidate, who do we blame?
Moreover, there are plenty enough Republicans already who would push for impeachment. You think it’s only Democrats?
Munroe (e845d5) — 11/4/2018 @ 2:38 pmThose taint republicans – those be rinos
mg (536c95) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:05 pmOr compassionate neocons.
mg (536c95) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:06 pmIf its 2-high teens for the Dems in the House but a R rout otherwise, is there an R full court press to flip a blue dog?
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:12 pmBlack Panthers w assault rifles march in support of GA gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams, who has called for out-lawing assault rifles.
https://dailycaller.com/2018/11/04/black-panthers-stacey-abrams/
harkin (fc9aef) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:31 pmit’s fewer than we think, the turnout numbers in florida, are encouraging, despite desantis replacement lackluster performance, Salena zito sees encouraging signs in ileanas old district, and the former diazbalart district,
narciso (d1f714) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:33 pmI think they will gain seats, perhaps in ahia, where they found a willing judge, to unblock blocked voters,
narciso (d1f714) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:35 pmShe got busted for citing that Raul guy in the NYP article as another “man on the street, rather than the Young Republican functionary he brands himself as on Twitter, common problem with her Rust Belt reporting as well. She should take over those Chevy focus groups.
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:40 pmMoreover, there are plenty enough Republicans already who would push for impeachment. You think it’s only Democrats?
Here we go with this nonsense again. Can you please provide a list of elected GOP members of Congress who have indicated that Trump should be impeached based upon anything we know he has done? If not, please do us all a favor and retire this stupid “Washington RINOs will impeach Trump” blather, OK?
JVW (42615e) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:44 pmMental health facilities along with prescription drug companies will do well Wednesday morning as democrats and trump haters will be looking for soft padded rooms.
mg (536c95) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:45 pmSo are the Latins the ones lying about Gillum or will there be an Abbott 60 to Cruz 52 like downshift in margin?
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:48 pmI do agree that not passing the Obamacare repeal, is like driving with two slashed rear tires, luckily flake and corker will not be in the new crew,
narciso (d1f714) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:50 pmamong the younger cohort where the brains have been washed rinsed and blowdried, there will be some who do, the mendacious press does the finishing job, he visited an anti Israeli pressure group right up after Pittsburgh, even jesse Jackson wasn’t so shameless,
narciso (d1f714) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:52 pmwhat did they focus their great attentions on, the grishenko snipe hunt
narciso (d1f714) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:02 pmJVW (42615e) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:44 pm
kishnevi (6ee685) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:03 pmFlake, I think. But there’s a reason he won’t be a Senator in January.
how many of those other reporters had a clue, chozick, cilizza, Nicholas of the journal,
https://nypost.com/2018/11/03/latino-voters-in-florida-could-help-republicans-win-in-key-races/
narciso (d1f714) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:13 pmWell I knew Scott was in good with the Conios y Los borinquen, but I guess DeSantis doesn’t have a dual call dog whistle.
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:22 pm“Here we go with this nonsense again. Can you please provide a list of elected GOP members of Congress who have indicated that Trump should be impeached based upon anything we know he has done?”
JVW (42615e) — 11/4/2018 @ 3:44 pm
Please provide a list of Democrat members of Congress who have indicated the same. Yes, there are some Democrats but not near enough to do anything. Hence, so what?
If Mueller presses a case for whatever, there will be plenty of Democrats and Republicans who would dance to his tune, no matter how flimsy the case. Sasse, Corker, Murkowski, Flake, plus others. The fact that they give Mueller a wide berth speaks volumes. But this is all nonsense, of course.
Munroe (731be7) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:30 pm2 of 4 will be gone by January 3rd…and none of the new Senate will have a December swear-in.
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:35 pmIf only, Munroe. If only. Mike Pence would be a great President.
Unfortunately, all that will happen is that Trump will sign everything the new Democrat-Soft Republican Comity Coalition sends him, so he won’t have to be bothered with being President for more than three hours a day and most of that on Twitter.
nk (dbc370) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:45 pmnarciso, why should it surprise that Hispanic voters vote GOP in a district that has benn represented by a GOP congressperson for how many years?
kishnevi (6ee685) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:50 pmYeah, the Maria chick already pooh-pooh ed PDT’s e.o. idea so shes treading the same ground as ileana, d-b and curbela
urbanleftbehind (22b95a) — 11/4/2018 @ 4:53 pmBecause the district went for red queen by 20 points, I think she can thread the needle, whereas other Candidates couldnt besides she is a almost unicorn person of integrity in media over there.
narciso (d1f714) — 11/4/2018 @ 5:38 pmIs this part of the reason why the guy has gone wild-eyed and stuttering recently?
Read it all>>> Under Obama, the CIA Suffered a ‘Catastrophic’ Disaster….
“This story, which broke on Nov. 2, got mighty little attention from the national media. I wonder why:
In 2013, hundreds of CIA officers — many working nonstop for weeks — scrambled to contain a disaster of global proportions: a compromise of the agency’s internet-based covert communications system used to interact with its informants in dark corners around the world. Teams of CIA experts worked feverishly to take down and reconfigure the websites secretly used for these communications; others managed operations to quickly spirit assets to safety and oversaw other forms of triage.
“When this was going on, it was all that mattered,” said one former intelligence community official. The situation was “catastrophic,” said another former senior intelligence official.
Now, who was president back then?
From around 2009 to 2013, the U.S. intelligence community experienced crippling intelligence failures related to the secret internet-based communications system, a key means for remote messaging between CIA officers and their sources on the ground worldwide. The previously unreported global problem originated in Iran and spiderwebbed to other countries, and was left unrepaired — despite warnings about what was happening — until more than two dozen sources died in China in 2011 and 2012 as a result, according to 11 former intelligence and national security officials.
The disaster ensnared every corner of the national security bureaucracy — from multiple intelligence agencies, congressional intelligence committees and independent contractors to internal government watchdogs — forcing a slow-moving, complex government machine to grapple with the deadly dangers of emerging technologies.
This is simply stunning. A rollup of networks across the world — an event that began in Iran, where the Obama administration would soon enough be negotiating its much sought-after “nuclear deal framework,” and ended with numerous deaths is the kind of thing of which intelligence nightmares and national-security disasters are made. One’s first instinct is to look back and see who was CIA director during that period: Leon Panetta (Feb. 2009-June 2011); Michael Morell (acting director, July-Sept. 2011); David Petraeus (Sept. 2011-Nov. 2012); Morell again (acting, Nov. 2012-March 2013); and finally John Brennan, who served out the remainder of the Obama administration.
In other words, a lot of churn during what we now know was a tumultuous time. Oddly enough, one important national-security position experienced exactly zero churn during these years, that of Homeland Security adviser. Which chair was occupied by John Brennan, until he stepped in at the CIA.”
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 7:50 pmWhoops… https://pjmedia.com/michaelwalsh/under-obama-the-cia-suffered-a-catastrophic-disaster/
Colonel Haiku (2601c0) — 11/4/2018 @ 7:52 pmI suck at predictions, so if that’s what it takes to be a “pundit”, then count me out.
Paul Montagu (4575b4) — 11/4/2018 @ 9:06 pmGoing by RCP, the GOP will keep the Senate and the House will be a nailbiter. No wave here, and it should send a message to Democrats that, win or lose, the American people may have a low opinion of Trump, but their opinion of the Democratic Party is hardly higher, if at all.
Re: 57.
“Comedian Pete Davidson mocked a permanently-wounded veteran. That’s bad. But the actual Republican president of the United States mocked a permanently-wounded veteran for being captured. I’m completely uninterested in GOP crocodile tears over a comedian. Pathetic. Really.”
Says David French, and I agree. Why should we expect better from a snot-nose on TV than we do from the President of the united states? And yet we expect better from nearly everyone than we do the President. Sorry state of affairs we’re in at the moment. I’m disgusted by both parties.
JRH (f51cae) — 11/4/2018 @ 9:12 pmSorry to disagree on this particular point, JRH. Trump did not mock McCain. He refused to lionize him and call him a “hero”, like others do, for nothing more than the fortunes of war. And I agree with him. McCain was not a hero, just a soldier who did his duty.
As for the NSL a$$holes, that’s pretty much what’d you from that vapid trash show, too.
nk (dbc370) — 11/4/2018 @ 9:36 pmHe said “I like people who weren’t captured” about a combat vet who spent years in a POW camp. If I said that I’d deserve a beat down. Thing is, I’d never say that, because I was raised to actually respect Vets, not just talk pretty about them while pandering for votes. Trashy is a great word for it.
JRH (f51cae) — 11/4/2018 @ 9:52 pmCheers,nk.
mg (9e54f8) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:09 pmKind of amazed that I’m on a conservative site trying to explain that a soldier wounded in combat is a hero and not a fit object of derision by the President of the US. But welcome to 2018 I guess. I will agree that SNL is trash. Haven’t watched in years.
JRH (f51cae) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:13 pmHope the National Guard is ready for late Tuesday night.
mg (9e54f8) — 11/4/2018 @ 10:20 pmI would support not allowing deadbeat dads vote.
I would support not letting welfare recipients vote. I would also support making welfare benefits larger.
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/5/2018 @ 12:17 amwho refused to vote for the Republican presidential candidate, who do we blame?
Trump, of course. Don’t be silly.
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/5/2018 @ 12:19 amso he won’t have to be bothered with being President for more than three hours a day and most of that on Twitter.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F8OoaQVABg8 (6 seconds)
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/5/2018 @ 12:21 amMcCain was not a hero, just a soldier who did his duty.
John McCain, after several years imprisonment, was offered an early release in some kind of PR stunt, possible aimed at his father, who was CINCPAC at the time. He refused, not wanting to go home while others remained captive. And for that refusal — in the face of known adverse results at the hands of his captors — he was a hero.
Kevin M (a57144) — 11/5/2018 @ 12:29 amI got a solution to caravan. trade them for all the iran/contra supporters and do the same for democrats who voted for iraq war so the republicans couldn’t use their votes against them when they ran for president. like hillary.kerry and groper joe biden.
lany (719aa1) — 11/5/2018 @ 12:50 amnobody of any seriousness is like ooh John McCain he’s my hero
nobody
this is not a thing
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/5/2018 @ 4:00 amNot even the 800,000 or so DACA/DREAMers, and the who-knows-how-many who got in because the “dang fence” was something that existed only in his reelection ads?
nk (dbc370) — 11/5/2018 @ 4:21 ami was hasty and failed to fully reflect upon the sweeping generalization which undermines the logical force of my previous comment
and it’s only monday
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/5/2018 @ 4:27 amAmazon has free shipping on everything as of at least a few minutes ago. No minimum purchase, no Prime needed. I
nk (dbc370) — 11/5/2018 @ 5:00 amIt still has Add-On Only for little things, though.
nk (dbc370) — 11/5/2018 @ 5:03 amFinal tally for the House: Dem 212 / Rep 223
lentils (0c8748) — 11/5/2018 @ 5:37 amFinal tally for the Senate: Dem 48 / Rep 52
Governor of (choose the state): Walker of Wisconsin by 5,000 vote margin or less
Biggest relief: Re-election of Cruz
Biggest upset: Rosen over Heller in Nevada Senate race
Race that will really disappoint you: Local tax increases pass
Race where you want a candidate to win the most: Stapleton over Polis in Colorado governor race
that’s interesting i’m a tell my friend F he hasn’t joined primey prime yet
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/5/2018 @ 5:54 am“Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams and state Sen. Kevin Palmer’s proposal would allow authorities to review three years of social media history and one year of internet search history of any person seeking to purchase a firearm.”
https://wcbs880.radio.com/articles/lawmakers-drafting-bill-would-allow-social-media-checks-gun-purchase
harkin (fc9aef) — 11/5/2018 @ 6:08 amYes coronello it’s a wonder what they’ve covered up for years, as for dr. Ford guess what was discovered.
Narciso (d1f714) — 11/5/2018 @ 6:41 amThere actually was an incident, similar to what she described but it didn’t involved Cavanaugh or judge.
Narciso (d1f714) — 11/5/2018 @ 6:48 amThe whole world does not need to know about intelligence failures. Not the least of them, people who would exploit them for political reasons. As long as the right people knew.
Maybe you all would like the government to tell the public which ballistics missiles and which nuclear warheads failed too?
nk (dbc370) — 11/5/2018 @ 6:52 amThe Chinese and the Iranians already know, we were the ones in the dark. The former stole 20 million confidential files, remember.
Narciso (d1f714) — 11/5/2018 @ 6:57 amRain will affect turnout, but probably won’t change the results, even in New Jersey where Menendez may be gaining because of Bob Hugan’s commercials, which people probably don’t believe because they are not explained. It;s acomplicated story that maybe nobody much fully understands. Running ads that make charges that poll the strongest doesn’t do someone any good. They also need to be credible.
If Bob Hugan confined himself to saying menendez helped or tried to help an eye dctor who turned out to be defrauding Medicare, and that he got gifts tarvel and some prostitutes maybe – not necessarily underage – and if he mentioed Mene3ndexz being part of aDem majority that dealt in slander of Bree=tt Kavanaugh it would be better/
Anyway, corruption, when confined to personal matters and not leading to harm to the public is always a minor issue when voting.
Sammy Finkelman (102c75) — 11/5/2018 @ 1:33 pmThere’s no way to gauge the potential efficiency of inside turnout mechanisms, however if mainstream voter enthusiasm is any predictor, a GOP tsunami much greater that 2016’s will gain seats in both houses.
ropelight (beeb9a) — 11/5/2018 @ 9:16 pmGOP turnout exceptionally high across the board, Dems disappoint in SE Florida’s DEM heavy districts.
ropelight (82a663) — 11/6/2018 @ 12:06 pmnobody got surprised by nothin in october
this is usually a very good omen for Team R
happyfeet (28a91b) — 11/6/2018 @ 12:10 pmWell, that didn’t out to be true.
Colonel Klink (Ret) (ab0951) — 11/6/2018 @ 8:09 pm