Fearless Supreme Court Predictions
Justice Roberts writes Hobby Lobby decision. Contraception mandate is struck down 5-4 but decision is mealy-mouthed. Scalia and Thomas are upset.
Justice Alito writes decision striking down requirement that public employees must pay dues to unions bargaining on their behalf, even if they are not members. Decision is 5-4 and is not mealy-mouthed, but only Scalia and Thomas join strongest parts of opinion, while Kennedy and Roberts water it down by refusing to sign on to the whole opinion. Scalia and Thomas are upset.
All this is coming Monday morning. That will be fun.
I say Hobby Lobby goes 5-4 the other way, Sotomayor writing for the majority.
Kevin Stafford (9d942e) — 6/26/2014 @ 11:21 pmwhichever way hobbity lobbity goes don’t make crappy repressive obamacare a damn whit better
americans are stupid
happyfeet (8ce051) — 6/26/2014 @ 11:31 pmI say it’s a repeat of the Obamacare ruling, with Roberts pulling the same stunt.
tops116 (0ba383) — 6/27/2014 @ 12:04 amRoberts finds a way to give a win to BHO in Hobby Lobby. SCOTUS must be balanced, doncha know. Chaos results in all the circuits who have already granted injunctive relief to religious entities anticipating a different result.
I’ll go one more predix: Ginsburg retires so the Dem Senate can cram through a BHO appointee before next Congress.
Ed from SFV (3400a5) — 6/27/2014 @ 12:33 amSince Alito hasn’t written much of late, one of these cases is going his way.
Kevin M (b357ee) — 6/27/2014 @ 1:49 amSturdy oak branch for that bastard roberts.
mg (31009b) — 6/27/2014 @ 2:42 amKevin — given that Sotomayor has already written more majority opinions than all but two other justices (she is tied with them) this term, it is highly unlikely we see another majority opinion out of her.
Rhymes With Right (da71f4) — 6/27/2014 @ 6:19 amGiven the deference given to speech and religious liberty claims this term, I suspect we will see a Roberts opinion favoring Hobby Lobby and Conestoga.
Rhymes With Right (da71f4) — 6/27/2014 @ 6:21 amI suspect we will see a Roberts opinion favoring Hobby Lobby and Conestoga.
I should hope so, and even though Patterico’s headline includes the word “predictions,” I still found myself reading this entry with a sense of relief, as though the decisions were real and not merely a hope or wish.
However, if I were a betting person, I wouldn’t place a wager on the outcome, not after all the various courts, from the top on down, have made dumb rulings on Obamacare, DOMA, and the GLBT issues affecting states’ laws on marriage.
Well before this ideological/judicial insanity first started to become more ludicrous, the Supreme Court barely permitted the Boy Scouts of America from maintaining its bylaws against homosexuality, and only one vote would have forced them to place young males into situations not all that different from those between altar boys and priests. I don’t trust a revisit of such court cases will result in a similar ruling in the future. Not in this age of the US becoming sort of similar to Plato’s ancient Greece or the Roman empire during its descendant years.
Mark (fdb0fc) — 6/27/2014 @ 7:26 amNothing on McCullen v. Coakley?
askeptic (8ecc78) — 6/27/2014 @ 8:44 amaskeptic —
The buffer zones were struck down unanimously Thursday. There was a 5-4 disagreement over the scope of the ruling.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McCullen_v._Coakley
Kevin M (b357ee) — 6/27/2014 @ 9:35 amWhat?
carlitos (c24ed5) — 6/27/2014 @ 12:01 pmthe ever-perverse john roberts has a penchant for going out on a limb
is what i take that to mean
happyfeet (8ce051) — 6/27/2014 @ 12:03 pmmakes you if Harriet Myers could really have been that bad?
narciso (3fec35) — 6/27/2014 @ 12:48 pm11- Yes, I know what the ruling is, I was wondering what our host’s interpretation was?
askeptic (8ecc78) — 6/27/2014 @ 1:11 pm