Trump Indicted Over Efforts to Steal Election
The indictment is here.
UPDATE: Sincere question for those who think the government can’t prove Trump knowingly lied about the election: what sort of evidence would it take for you to agree that, in fact, the government can prove that?
Because there is a passage in the indictment that states:
On November 25, Co-Conspirator 3 filed a lawsuit against the Governor of Georgia falsely alleging “massive election fraud” accomplished through the voting machine company’s election software and hardware. Before the lawsuit was even filed, the Defendant retweeted a post promoting it. The Defendant did this despite the fact that when he had discussed CoConspirator 3’s far-fetched public claims regarding the voting machine company in private with advisors, the Defendant had conceded that they were unsupported and that Co-Conspirator 3 sounded “crazy.”
To me, telling people privately that a claims is crazy and unsupported, and then pushing it publicly, seems like the paradigmatic example of proof of a knowing lie. But I’m just a simple country lawyer. Explain to me why I’m wrong.
Updates as appropriate, but I have things to do tonight, so don’t hold your breath.
Patterico (ebec04) — 8/1/2023 @ 5:27 pmI’ve read through most of the indictment, and it confirms what I suspected: Trump’s role in the Fake Electors scheme was extensive, and he abused the powers of his office and the DOJ in furtherance of this fraudulent act.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/1/2023 @ 5:38 pmAnd that’s the irony of this whole thing: He squealed, falsely, from Minute One that there was “massive fraud” while committing serious acts of fraud, and he did it because he’s a fraudster, a con man, who could not bring himself to accept that he lost, and this was made worse because The People put him in our nation’s highest office, a position where he could wreak more havoc on our democracy than any other position in government.
This indictment is about January 6. The charges get at the heart of the whole rotten business and what Trump meant to do. This is what Trump has to answer to and answer for. The Stormy Daniels business was a stupid distraction and stupid indictment. The classified document fiasco also, frankly, is a distraction. It’s a real case, but not the central problem Trump has given us.
This is the important case. I hope it is tried quickly. Personally, I would prefer Trump sit in jail until it is adjudicated. I won’t be that lucky.
Appalled (92e7f8) — 8/1/2023 @ 6:07 pmI 100% believe that a DC judge and jury will convict Trump on this.
I also, believe, that the DC Court of Appeals, and if necessary SCOTUS, will reverse.
The indictment tells a damning story.
But, I’m dubious that the penal statutes fit the indictment that Jack Smith is pushing.
whembly (c88dc4) — 8/1/2023 @ 6:15 pmYou have found criminal counts about Jan 6 protests in the indictment?
Or are you just referring to the date as a point in time when the electors are tallied under the supervision of the Vice President?
BuDuh (580a1f) — 8/1/2023 @ 6:17 pmWhoa… Turley blasted Jack Smith:
whembly (c88dc4) — 8/1/2023 @ 6:24 pmBuDuh,
If you prefer, the indictment is about the Big Lie and the attempted coup it was meant to fuel. As a technical matter, it seems focused on the fake elector scheme, which seems trivial in all of this, but is where the laws were broken.
I am sure you will find fault. Poor Donald, a victim again.
Appalled (92e7f8) — 8/1/2023 @ 6:25 pmWho cares about Donald if he broke the law? Not me.
But I do appreciate you now looking at the indictment in a “technical matter” sort of way.
It beats arm waving about charges that don’t exist yet.
BuDuh (580a1f) — 8/1/2023 @ 6:28 pmYou have found criminal counts about Jan 6 protests in the indictment?
I noted that too. Maybe they are still working on those.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/1/2023 @ 7:10 pmThe elector scheme is actual fraud. It took me a while to realize this, because Trump already had slates of electors in each of those states. They just weren’t the slate the voters selected.
IF, and I mean IF, Trump hand managed to get those states to discover a different outcome, they would still not need to create a new panel of electors — they had them on standby already.
So, the new-elector scheme was a fraud, to supplant the electors the state was sending with another group asserting authority. You really cannot do that, and any planning to accomplish this fraud is a crime.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/1/2023 @ 7:15 pmThe fake elector scheme is NOT trivial, as it undermines the validity of the electoral vote. If is an attempt to steal the presidential election by stealing the only votes that matter.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/1/2023 @ 7:18 pmTurley is misleading when he said it was a “criminal indictment of alleged disinformation”.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/1/2023 @ 7:45 pmAs it relates to J6, it was his inaction in stopping the riot, which is why he was charged for obstructing an official proceeding. He was the singular person with the ability to stop the violent mob.
@ Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/1/2023 @ 7:45 pm
Ok. i’ll nibble.
Joe (78bd5e) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:04 pmI cannot recall an example of one man stopping a violent mob.
Do you care if Biden broke the law, Buduh? Do you care if anyone breaks the law, or is Trump the only one you don’t care about? I am curious why you don’t care.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:22 pmI can’t resist, Joe:
Link
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:32 pmJoe, when Trump made his statement J6, people left the Capitol. Most everyone at that riot was plugged into social media looking for updates. What we know for sure is that doing nothing but sending an incendiary tweet or two did not quell the riot.
AJ_Liberty (11f29a) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:44 pmTrump did, at 4:17pm on J6 when he released his video tweet, three-plus hours after the mob violence started. The violence dissipated after that.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:47 pmI see where you got that idea, DRJ. I will rewrite it the way it sounded in my head.
“Who will care about the fate of Donald if he really did break the law. Not me.”
To be as clear as I thought I have always been, I do not like law breakers.
Appalled did one of his caricature bits and tried to impart onto me a position I have never taken. I was responding too quickly to see how my reply could have been misunderstood.
BuDuh (580a1f) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:49 pm@12
I’m on record that Congress should’ve impeached/removed Trump within 24hrs of J6.
But, is inaction, while impeachment worthy imo, doesn’t rises to the level of “obstructing an official proceeding”. It’s really chicken guano.
Furthermore, Capitol security isn’t the primary responsibility of the President. That the Speaker’s role. Trump could’ve just sent in more federal officers to quash the riot, and ask for forgiveness later. But, again, his inaction doesn’t rise to the level of what everyone understood to be “obstructing an offical proceeding”.
whembly (c88dc4) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:50 pmParagraph 90(c) of the indictment.
If Pence was being “too honest”, the implication is that the VP wasn’t being a lying d0uchebag like Trump, that he wouldn’t lie for Trump.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:58 pmBut it’s not that Pence didn’t lie. BuDuh did note that Pence said one thing in public but obviously something else in private.
No, it’s not the Speaker’s role, whembly. The Capitol Police Board has three members, the Sergeants-at-Arms from both houses of Congress, and the Capitol Architect, who was appointed by Trump. Chief of USCP Sund was also a board member, but it’s non-voting (link). Bottom line, the Senate Majority Leader (who was McConnell at the time) was just as responsible as Pelosi, but it’s funny that you don’t hear about McConnell being condemned for USCP shortcomings.
Trump didn’t have direct control over the Capitol Police, but he did have direct control of the DC National Guard, and Chief Sund made the call to the DC National Guard within an hour after Trump’s speech ended. Or, even better, Trump was watching the violence unfold on his flatscreen. All he had to do was pick up the phone, but he never did.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/1/2023 @ 9:17 pmIf you didn’t already know you were at Patterico.com you know it when the classified documents case is called a “distraction” even though valid and today’s J6 indictment which is not valid is the “important” case.
Again, I hate Trump’s guts. But if you are going to indict him it has to be an actual offense. Trump (or ANY Republican) will likely be convicted by a DC jury but it will be overturned by higher courts.
DN (c8d0a7) — 8/1/2023 @ 9:20 pmThe distraction is the stupid, insipid, lame and no good single New York misdemeanor that is literally Trumped-up into 33 felony counts. The judge should dismiss all but a single misdemeanor (falsifying a business record) and let Trump plead no contest.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/1/2023 @ 9:42 pmIt would be a distraction if people keep bringing up Stormy Daniels, Kevin, but I’ve scarcely heard about the case, because even the Left knows that it’s weak. But if you want the latest on Hunter or the “Biden crime family”, just switch over to FoxNews and wait a few minutes, and you won’t be disappointed.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/1/2023 @ 10:00 pmUPDATE: Sincere question for those who think the government can’t prove Trump knowingly lied about the election: what sort of evidence would it take for you to agree that, in fact, the government can prove that?
Because there is a passage in the indictment that states:
To me, telling people privately that a claims is crazy and unsupported, and then pushing it publicly, seems like the paradigmatic example of proof of a knowing lie. But I’m just a simple country lawyer. Explain to me why I’m wrong.
Patterico (ebec04) — 8/1/2023 @ 10:11 pmExplain to me why I’m wrong.
Well, Pat, it’s like this: Everyone knows that every word that comes out of Trump’s mouth is a lie. So, where’s the fraud? The only mystery is whether it’s a lie or a damned lie.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/1/2023 @ 10:49 pmIt would be a distraction if people keep bringing up Stormy Daniels, Kevin, but I’ve scarcely heard about the case, because even the Left knows that it’s weak.
When the case goes to court, and Trump wins, or mostly wins, it will be both a distraction and a blunder. And it will allow Trump’s legions to reinvigorate their claim that all of this is a “witch hunt.” All so some asshat politician can try for the governor’s house.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/1/2023 @ 10:52 pmTrump actually appointed Jeffrey Clark (Criminal Co-Conspirator #4), a guy who was willing to use our armed forces to keep Trump in office, i.e., he supported an armed coup, until top officials in the White House told Trump they would resign en masse if he took the job.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 4:48 amThis:
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2023/08/trump-trial-2024-historic-jack-smith-indictment.html
The Republican Party and the nation and Donald Trump need to squarely face January 6. This is the mechanism for getting that done. I know of no other.
Appalled (f0e582) — 8/2/2023 @ 4:54 am@ DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/1/2023 @ 8:32 pm
Good Morning:
Joe (78bd5e) — 8/2/2023 @ 5:00 amI would think that is not close enough. “riot-torn town” is not an actual riot.
Agree/Disagree?
Trump as a Texas Ranger is kind of incongruous. I can just see him tweeting “I feel sorry for Clyde, Bonnie’s new partner in love, whose parents are devastated at the thought of their son being with Bonnie, a true loser.”
nk (c54ea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 5:27 amMeanwhile, here in Georgia:
https://www.ajc.com/politics/opinion-fani-willis-is-ready-for-the-fire/7QNSQCGZ3NG7HLNGHBDCSK7DD4/
Appalled (e76d49) — 8/2/2023 @ 5:57 amSo, what is the dividing line between free speech and lies used to perpetuate a fraud? Most of what I’ve heard out of Fox News or from Trump lawyers is that Trump believed that fraudulent election rules caused him to lose the election….and even if he didn’t believe that that was true, the first amendment still protected his political right to energize his base with the distortions: That political hyperbole is protected. Turley also seems content with stopping at this point and no one seems to have been available to challenge his conclusion. Hmmm.
The problem is there was a scheme hatching to reject certain electoral votes and substitute others. Turley seems oblivious of this, though of course he’s a very smart guy and can read the 45-page indictment and understands that there has to be a 1st amendment line that stops at fraud. I’ll let others speculate about what he’s doing…..the same with DeSantis who graduated from Harvard Law School and was Navy lawyer.
But, but, but…did Trump know this was a lie? Well the list of people who told him that there was no fraud on the levels needed to sway the election is impressive. It included Trump’s campaign attorneys; his attorney general and assistant attorney general; Republican election officials in Georgia and elsewhere; Michigan congressional Republicans; his campaign staff; his vice-president; top U.S. intelligence and cybersecurity officials; White House lawyers; a senior campaign adviser who warned that none of his wild claims of fraud could be backed up.
At some point if he didn’t know, any reasonably intelligent individual SHOULD have known. Complete ignorance can’t be a defense. On Fox News this impressive list documented in the indictment was misrepresented. The guest suggested the opposite, that Trump was actually being told there was significant fraud and was only following this advice. Of course, this wasn’t challenged by the interviewer or by another guest because that’s no longer what goes on at Fox News. BS that fits the narrative persist.
Trump willfully chose to go with Eastman’s plan and continue to lie about the election because, I believe, he thinks as President he can do whatever he wants….the law be damned. His lies furthered a conspiracy that led to disrupting an official congressional proceeding. The punishment should have been impeachment. At minimum, the GOP should have soundly rejected his current pursuit of the nomination. This indictment is the last shot at accountability….and for the GOP to support the rule of law. The current performance is not encouraging….
AJ_Liberty (3c0ca6) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:12 am#26 “Everyone knows that every word that comes out of Trump’s mouth is a lie.”
Everyone?
You may wish to qualify that. (Though I wish you wee right.)
Jim Miller (e7232e) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:21 amHere’s what some British bettors are saying about the indictment.
Jim Miller (e7232e) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:27 am@25
That narrative of Trump claiming he knew it was unsupported and sounded “crazy” seems to be cherry picked. I skimmed the indictment and I didn’t see the full quote to ascertain the full context.
To answer your question, you’d almost need some bright, black & white documentation that the defendant knew what he was saying was patently false.
But, if Smith’s indictment is going to be the standard, someone would need to explain to me how the Clinton campaign doesn’t get charged with these standards for perpetuating the Russian Collusion story.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:27 amwhembly, I think had the Obama administration tried to institute a plan to prevent a transfer of power to Trump and instead install Clinton as President and made substantially more extravagant claims than they did, and instigated a riot that sought to overthrow democracy, then maybe you could make your question and sound like a reasonable person?
Nate (1f1d55) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:08 amThe Jan 6 report documented that Trump knew he was lying about the election but lied anyway. Here is a summary.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:37 amYup… this is where I’m at. (but willing to be convinced otherwise!):
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:44 amhttps://www.nationalreview.com/2023/08/this-trump-indictment-shouldnt-stand/
@38
I’m not sorry here… I don’t take the J6 report as gospel as it was an one-sided affair.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:47 am#7
Oh, sure, I’m the unreasonable one and but you have to resort to hyperbole to make your point.
Yeah, not buying what you’re selling.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:49 amDRJ, did you see my 8:49pm?
BuDuh (853714) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:53 amMcCarthy is being as misleading as Turley. It wasn’t Trump’s “mendacious rhetoric that was criminal, it was his criminal acts, such as his orchestrating a Fake Elector scheme to overturn the legitimate certified election result, and which has nothing to do with the 1st Amendment.
As for obstructing an official proceeding, I agree with Rep. McCarthy: “The president bears responsibility for Wednesday’s attack on Congress by mob rioters.”
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 8:03 am@43
The “Fake Elector” scheme is overwrought imo as I understood it, states can always submit an alternate elector slate to Congress.
Did I misunderstood that?
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 8:46 amMan… I just got caught up on the Ashely Biden diary saga.
I don’t think you can look at this, and not come to the conclusion that our President is a legit, honest-to-god a pedo.
Imma go puke.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:03 amYes, true, they can, whembly, but the point is that none of the states approve an alternate slate, because none of them were approved by any state legislature. The problem is that these Fake Electors tried to pass of their alleged Electoral Votes as legitimate, and therefore committed electoral fraud.
And this leads to a question: Has been any state secretly passed a law or resolution or edict any other official act by a group of elected officials hiding out in the capitol basement when the legislature in not in session? Because that’s what these fraudsters did, and it’s not how government business should be conducted.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:08 amI did not, Buduh. Thank you for your comment. I see what you were saying now.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:51 amWhembly,
Ok. The parts of the report that document Trump knew he was lying are based on witness testimony — people who were with Trump, not Democrats.
Would the only evidence that will convince you be that Trump admits he knew he was lying?
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:54 amMan… I just got caught up on the Ashely Biden diary saga.
I don’t think you can look at this, and not come to the conclusion that our President is a legit, honest-to-god a pedo.
No, the pedos are the wingnuts who concocted the fiction you read.
nk (c54ea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 10:01 amIt is real, nk, but what she said is that she sometimes showered with her father as a little girl and she thinks that contributed to her sex addiction. She also said she was “sexualized” by another family member. The person’s name was redacted but since Joe’s name/role was not redacted from reports about her diary, it is unlikely she was talking about her father.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/2/2023 @ 10:15 amOK, here’s a question I posed at The Dispatch: when would an assertion of power by the executive branch move from being constitutionally defective to criminally unlawful? Let’s say that Pence had buckled, electoral votes were thrown out, others substituted, and Trump declared the winner. The process would then be for Biden to challenge Trump’s interpretation of the Electoral Count Act in court with the ultimate decision going to the Supreme Court. Now aside from the obvious chaos this would cause and even the potential for civil unrest, the result likely would be a 9-0 decision for Biden, with Thomas maybe a bit grudging. Both Pence and Trump would likely have been impeached, with the national outcry greater for removal….though again, likely after they had already left office.
Now I tend to come down on whether the assertion of power was in fact good faith…or not. Here, I don’t think it was. All of the experts at Trump’s disposal counseled otherwise. This was not a close call and such an assertion of power was in fact illegal.
AJ_Liberty (5f05c3) — 8/2/2023 @ 10:44 am@48
I think people are attributing too much there.
He’s acknowledge that lost the election. (obviously, as he’s not that POTUS now)
But, he’s also argued that the election was unfair.
I think people are hanging their hats on the “lost the election”, and ignoring his arguments that if the election was held fairly, he’d win.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 10:48 amAnd even that would be wholly unbelievable because everything out of mouth is a lie!
Dana (771705) — 8/2/2023 @ 10:49 amWe often sentence people to vote unlawfully harshly. In some cases even when the unlawful vote was cast in good faith due to a legitimate error around eligibility.
The reason is to enforce the norms about voting being important and discourage anyone from a large scale ballot stuffing activity.
I think we should be equally strict with fraudulent electors and anyone that broke the law in furtherance of a fraudulent elector scheme.
Trump’s behavior and actions went far beyond sour grapes/complaints about losing. There’s compelling evidence that he was pushing a scheme to delay recognition the results of the lawful election based on lies with the end result being that he be certified as having won based on those lies / flawed legal theories.
Not every bad act is criminal. But if he (or others) broke the law as part of this scheme and the evidence meets the standard he should be indicted.
So far I’ve seen little to no evidence that DOJ has been treating the Jan 6 defendants unfairly or unusually harshly (it’s been somewhat gentle from what I can see) so I don’t see much reason to assume
Time123 (3ffea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 10:55 amThis is malicious or unjustified.
There certainly was a lot of law clarifying after Trump “lied” about a novel scheme.
It is almost as if lawyers were being lawyers on the face of ambiguity and were hoping the judiciary would have intervened.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:09 am…in the face of…
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:11 amBuduh, do you believe Trump’s claims were made in good faith and based on assertions that are supported by evidence?
Time123 (3ffea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:15 amHe’s made many statements.
Some of them can be categorized as “unfair or illegitimate” which could be argued to include events that fall within the law such as the media not covering events in the way he wanted.
Some of the others can be categorized as “determined by fraudulent votes.”
It’s the second one that’s more of a provable statement of fact, and from what I recall motivates many of his supporters.
Time123 (3ffea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:21 amWhat law do think was broken based on their statements?
Durham looked hard for that law and didn’t find much he could prove in court.
Time123 (3ffea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:24 amI agree with Paul and Rip that until every last shred of evidence has been turned over to the public either outright, through hearings, or through a trial, we have no way of knowing what is partisan tripe.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:24 am@57
I’m not Buduh…
But, I genuinely believe Trump claims were made in good faith.
The evidence is belied by the fact that in much of those contested states, election laws were update/laxed due to COVID with massive influx of absentee ballots.
When you have massive absentee ballots, like in 2020, you’re leaving the election vulnerable to shenanigans by the simple fact that “chain of custody” is almost non-existent, and impossible to prove wrong doings.
Trump knows he lost the election. He’s not LARP’ing around in his Trump Plane™ running the executive branch.
He continually believes there were fraud. 10 seconds on Truth Social will tell you that.
If you continue to believe something is “x”, then you are acting in good faith based on that, even if you end up being wrong.
That’s why I don’t think the Government would have an easy time convicting Trump on whether he knew his fraud claims was a lie. However, I’ll assert that in a DC court/jury, I’m betting that he’ll be convicted easily simply because of the partisan nature.
whembly (7baeb9) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:27 am@59
Because Durham isn’t using the same rationale as Smith.
Also, Durham can see that he won’t get a favorable court case in DC, so why press the issue? He literally caught that lawyer red-handed in forging the FISA records, and the lawyer basically got off scott-free.
whembly (7baeb9) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:29 amYes. States can only submit elector slates the support the certified election results, and the fake election slates weren’t the Trump electors that would have been submitted had Trump won those states. The fake electors were recruited after the election results were certified.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:41 amDurham didn’t catch the lawyer. The IG caught him and gave it to Durham to prosecute. Durham chose to plead it out.
Time123 (3ffea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:41 amI know partisan tripe when I see it here.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:45 amI have seen a few internet commenters say that this indictment is a real close version of the Impeachment articles. Some suggested that if that were true, then double jeopardy may come into play.
Here is the how the jury voted on the Impeachment:
An interesting concept to debate, IMO.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:45 amLOL!
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:45 amBuDuh, care to enlighten me about where/when I said that?
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:46 amMaybe I misunderstood the Hunter Biden evidence requests.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:49 amImpeachment is not a criminal prosecution, therefore double jeopardy would not apply. The only “punishment” is removal and/or ban from office. A person’s liberty is not at issue in an impeachment.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:52 amSo not an interesting concept to debate.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:53 am@66 BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:45 am
Impeachment isn’t a judicial prosecution. It’s a political process.
So, no double-jeopardy claims here.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:53 amoof…
Rip ninja’ed me XD
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:54 amSee here.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:54 amAhhh.
Thanks.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:57 amBuDuh has made it clear he is against law breakers and law breaking, folks. It’s just that he cannot ever find an occasion when an indictment against Trump involves a law he might have broken.
Appalled (bad7ac) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:00 pmNot that he’s saying Trump is innocent or anything…he’s just pointing out flaws in the arguments.
Time123 (3ffea7) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:05 pmAppalled goes for the win!
Wahoo!!
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:09 pmI couldn’t have done it without Time123’s able contribution.
Appalled (5135d6) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:16 pmThis looks interesting, but I will have to read it later.
Whether a Former President May Be Indicted and Tried for the Same Offenses for Which He was Impeached by the House and Acquitted by the Senate
The Constitution permits a former President to be indicted and tried for the same offenses for which he was impeached by the House of Representatives and acquitted by the Senate.
August 18, 2000
Memorandum Opinion for the Attorney General
I skipped to the conclusion:
I wonder what the “reasonable argument” is. Hopefully it is outlined in the memorandum.
Is this something else that has not really been tested?
This article has an interesting question as well: https://verdict.justia.com/amp/2020/01/03/can-a-president-who-is-reelected-after-being-acquitted-in-one-impeachment-case-be-retried-by-a-subsequent-senate
At least it is interesting to me.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:16 pmGood on you for the shout out, Appalled.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:17 pmA situation where Trump is convicted before the election, then wins on appeal after the election, would be a worst case scenario for the Republic. A criminal suit targeting a political opponent had better be slam dunk, considering all possible appeals. Novel legal theories are not to be played with. That his claims of a rigged 2020 election are bogus won’t matter when you hand him the legal high ground to claim the 2024 election was rigged. I’d rather his claims remain in the bogus domain.
lloyd (ba21a9) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:35 pmMorning Consult Republican Primary Tracking Poll (Pre-Third Indictment Edition)
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:38 pmMaybe you did, BuDuh, because that was a partisan and tripey thing of you to do, putting your words in my mouth.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:38 pmI don’t recall saying much about Hunter and evidence.
I do recall saying that a serious allegation such as Joe Biden taking a bribe while VP demands serious evidence, but that’s just common sense, right?
From the Weekend Open Thread:
………
I think Trump wasn’t charged with insurrection or sedition is that they are hard to prove “beyond a reasonable doubt.” The reason the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys were convicted of sedition is that the was text message trails within each group that linked members in a common conspiracy to commit sedition. Unless the Special Counsel had the same type of evidence linking Trump to those two groups it would almost be impossible to charge him with those two crimes. Trump’s Ellipse speech alone would not be enough, the First Amendment protected that speech. The SC would need to identify overt acts committed by Trump to justify an insurrection and/or seditious conspiracy indictment. I doubt we will see a superseding indictment for these crimes.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:52 pmTo those bringing up the False Elector scheme is enough to convict Trump:
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 1:01 pmhttps://www.nationalreview.com/corner/you-cant-change-reality-just-by-sending-lies-to-the-national-archives/
Another point I’ve seen making rounds, is this:
If these crimes that Smith are so heinous, with such grave implications… why isn’t he charging the co-conspirators?
By not indicting the co-conspirators, Jack Smith has unwittingly lent support to the notion that this is all about stopping Trump from being President again than to seek justice.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 1:19 pmRip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:52 pm
And reality. You couldn’t start a riot with that speech even if you wanted to. There’s legitimacy behind this first amendment ruling.
Trump could not be guilty of causing the storming of the Capitol unless he was in secret planning with the “insurrectionist” and the evidence is that he did not expect it (although some of his top aides, like Mark Meadows, were worried – and the disorder had already started in fact when he left the podium at the Ellipse) and schemed to prevent him from going to the Capitol, where he intended to give another speech, and then probably go inside and lobby Congressional Republicans in person. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy dearly did not want him to go into his office and communicated that several days before.
There were none. Not on the part of Donald Trump. He had other plans which conflicted with that. It should not have been in the impeachment resolution.
This indictment is based entirely on the “legal” and peaceful strategy, and on some attempts to get some people to act contrary to the constitution or to the law, (including an aborted attempt to get the Department of Justice to issue a statement saying they had found evidence of significant election fraud, which they had not!) most of which came to nothing..
Trump simply didn’t have the votes for any of what he was doing to work, and not enough Republicans were corruptly influenced. They were most influenced where they knew it wouldn’t matter. (i.e. they voted to object to electoral votes when they knew the vote would lose.)
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 1:32 pmwhembly, I think Smith is prioritizing Trump over his henchmen, for timing reasons, and I see nothing wrong with that. Also, it’s possible they could flip, like Meadows did.
As for McLaughlin’s piece, I don’t think Trump should get a pass because his scheme was ill-conceived and amateurish and badly executed. Intent matters, and Trump intended to reverse a legitimate election result. Should a bank robber be any less penalized because he tripped and fell on his face on the way out, and then his getaway car stalled?
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 1:36 pm84. Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 12:38 pm
There was an allegation that might be about Joe Biden (but actually might be about Jim Biden) and is anyway likely false, because Zlochevsky had an interest in claiming to have bribed people too big to touch.
But the IRS agents had a legitimate complaint in that this not followed up.
You just let something like that hang there?
Let’s say Zlochevsky laundered money, maybe pocketed most of it himself
Where was it really going?
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 1:40 pmWhembly @86 seems like a fraudulent elector (not to be confused with a faithless one) would be far more material then a single (or even a few thousand) fraudulent votes. Yet we prosecute voter fraud aggressively.
Details of the specific laws will matter a lot obviously.
Time123 (f0a8ca) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:04 pmWhembly,
I always thought the alternate electors scheme was kind of pathetic. However, had January 6 gone as planned, it was one of the steps precedent to overturning the election. So I think these little pieces of paper are material to Trump’s corrupt scheme. They were meant to provide a basis for objecting to the election.
Appalled (0003aa) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:09 pmA lot of things.
Maybe they could use the fact that several people gave Trump detailed point by point rebuttals of the election fraud claims he was getting, and he would seem to concede the point, but later repeated allegations again as though he’d never heard the rebuttals.
Acting Attorney General Jeffrey A. Rosen and the others who were with him went through all of them.
https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/day-5-of-jan-6-committee-hearings-6-23-22-transcript
And then there was the attempt to get DOJ to say something it did not believe:
The indictment says it was to affect state election officials. But the testimony is that Trump said he wanted some members of Congress to use this (false) statement by DOJ in an argument.
Trump may have believed there was fraud to find but they were telling him that to date they had not found any such thing. None of these allegations had checked out.
You can use things like that to argue that Trump knew he was lying.
But not the mere fact that a lot of people told him that the election wasn’t stolen from him.
And I personally do not believe that Trump thought any of these allegations were true. Because he can’t be that stupid.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:11 pmThat’s true, at least for that point.. Although he could have changed his mind. But Trump is willing to say anything he likes that some other people have previously said.
What is not proof that he knew he was lying is that plenty of people he should have trusted told him that he lost the election and that’s the thing I don’t like..
Point by point rebuttals is more like it.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:19 pmEveryone?
Everyone I’m willing to talk to.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:19 pmAppalled (0003aa) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:09 pm
No, the basis was the stolen election claims.
The little pieces of paper were to give him some other Electoral votes that Congress could accept, if there were the votes to do it. But there weren’t, and there weren’t going to be, and truthfully it wouldn’t end there if Congress did.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:24 pmPaul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 1:36 p
Trump intended to try and this was like a bank robber who came up with a plan for robbing a bank that could never work.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:27 pmI think Trump wasn’t charged with insurrection or sedition is that they are hard to prove “beyond a reasonable doubt.”
But insurrection, or at least aiding and abetting same, doesn’t rely on proving a state of mind, only in proving actions and their logical consequences. It might be hard to prove, but what they did charge is no easier, at best.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:30 pmThe insurrection lasted until Trump told them to go home. He delayed doing that for hours, despite family members and aides pleading with him to do so.
You may not be able to prove that he instigated the riot, but he abetted it and that can be proven.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:32 pmwhembly (c88dc4) — 8/1/2023 @ 6:24 pm
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:32 pm99. Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:32 pm
But before he told them to go home, he told them not to attack the police. This is routinely omitted.
Trump simply didn’t want to end the rally just because some of the people there had stormed into the building..
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:36 pmBuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:45 am
It’s more like what the second impeachment resolution should have been, because it is more truthful.
Whether to convict depends upon how egregious you think Trump’s actions were.
There;s no issue of double jeopardy in any case.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:42 pmThe regular Republican electors apparently weren’t willing to go along. The hope was the state legislature might retroactively authorize them.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:44 pm@99
What specific statute is that? The “he abetted it and that can be proven“???
We need to be careful here and clearly denote what is a political speech/action vs criminal acts.
Impeachment/Removal was absolutely the right thing to do there and Congress F’ed up there.
These indictments smacks of impeachment via Criminal Lawfare.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 2:53 pmThe criminal charges that Trump abetted the insurrection are the indictments that involve Trump conspiring with co-conspirator 4.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/2/2023 @ 3:21 pmBut before he told them to go home, “he told them not to attack the police.” This is routinely omitted.
FIFY.
Did you know that, during Prohibition, grape growers would sell grapes through the mail, with careful and detailed instructions on how NOT to make wine accidentally.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 3:30 pmWhat specific statute is that? The “he abetted it and that can be proven“???
18 USC 2383:
Whoever incites, sets on foot, assists, or engages in any rebellion or insurrection against the authority of the United States or the laws thereof, or gives aid or comfort thereto, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than ten years, or both; and shall be incapable of holding any office under the United States.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 3:33 pmFolks: can we please not have candidates who are alternately egomaniacal and senile? I am so tired of people on both sides defending Trump or Biden.
One can hold one’s nose when voting—I always have—but this is ridiculous. Trump lacks all self control and defeats his own goals, and Biden is now completely run by various special interest groups.
No one can think these are good candidates, despite all the cheerleading.
Me, I want NONE OF THE ABOVE as an option on every ballot. And if it wins a plurality, things have to start over.
I just read AllahNick’s essay. You all should too.
https://thedispatch.com/newsletter/boilingfrogs/were-not-coming-all-the-way-back-from-this/
What a terrible world we live in now.
Simon Jester (c8876d) — 8/2/2023 @ 3:36 pmNo, Sammy. There was an allegation, based on the FD-1023 form that Grassley released, that Zlochevsky paid $5 million to Hunter and $5 million to Joe while he was VP. But it’s an allegation, there’s no evidence of such payments occurring.
That’s a separate issue, and that’s really between Ziegler-Shapley and Weiss.
It’s not up to me let something hang or not hang. Weiss is going to testify under oath next month, and I’m reserving judgment until he does. I saw Ziegler on Smerconish and he made a strong case. But again, that’s a conflict between DOJ and Treasury.
Let’s not say, because I’d rather not engage in hypotheticals. We do know that he was investigated by the UK for laundering $23 million, and Shokin blocked the UK’s efforts.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 3:56 pmCheer up, Simon. We still have the DOJ to trust. They will get us back on track.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/2/2023 @ 3:59 pmIf a person has moments of acquiescence to election results being fair, is every denial of those results that follows, a lie?
Am I right in guessing the lie needs to be established?
I see Trump as arguing he has been overwhelmingly consistent in saying for 2.5 years that he believes with his heart, body and soul that his win was stolen, and the statements to the contrary attributed to him were at best, snapshots in a turbulent time as he was considering alternative points of view.
steveg (596202) — 8/2/2023 @ 4:08 pmI see Trump as arguing he has been overwhelmingly consistent in saying for 2.5 years that he believes with his heart, body and soul that his win was stolen
Grifters grift by making you think that they believe the BS.
norcal (b2912a) — 8/2/2023 @ 4:11 pmI agree, norcal. Trump needed more than the public to nelieve him he needed lots of very specific people to believe he won or had votes stolen — lawyers, election officials, state officials, Pence and other federal officials, etc. Trump had to stick to the stolen election script to make that happen.
But I don’t think the legal requirement is what did Trump believe in his heart of hearts. I think it is enough to show that his public statements were not consistent with his private statements.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/2/2023 @ 4:28 pmThe 6th criminal co-conspirator is Boris Epshtyn. All six are lawyers, and they should’ve known better.
Also, I echo Simon’s comments about Catoggio.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 5:09 pmI argued as far back as 2016 that the GOP needed to split. If all that can happen now is for Trump to be renominated, the actual Right needs to find another path.
Sure, it will result in disaster in 2024 (and maybe 2026), but the split is now unavoidable. It’s happened before (the Democrat Convention of 1860 for one), but in the end, that split settled the issue that split it. It happened in 1828, when the Democrat Party split into Jacksonian and Whig factions.
It needs to split now. Hijacking the “No Labels” effort might be a way.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:10 pmIf God wants to intervene, it’s fine with me.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:12 pmThere may have been issues with how states promoted mail-in voting, and some of that may have been unfair. But ALL Trump needed to do was get his people voting by mail too and he would have won handily.
Then again, he probably never understood Statistics, which is odd for such a frequent liar.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:15 pmFrom AllahNick’s piece:
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:15 pmtrump and biden the two party system in action. As a progressive I am waiting to see which titanic hits the iceberg first. AOC 2028!
asset (7479fb) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:24 pmtrump and biden the two party system in action
asset (7479fb) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:24 pm
For the umpteenth time, it’s not the “system”. It’s dumb voters.
norcal (b2912a) — 8/2/2023 @ 6:55 pmLol.
NJRob (eb56c3) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:05 pmFor the umpteenth time, it’s not the “system”. It’s dumb voters.
It may be worse than that. It’s the Internet. Before the Internet, people had a hard time discovering the “preference cascade” — like minded people who didn’t know how common their views were and believed the gaslighting from the top.
Now, they’ve discovered that many many people believe, like they do, that the Moon landing was faked, that W was behind 9-11, and that vaccines are the Devil’s work (as is that “Science” and “Math” stuff that flunked them out of High School).
Now, they have POWER, and won’t be fooled again.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:19 pm@107
That’s really stretching it there my dude.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:22 pmwhembly, it is actually stretching the benefit of the doubt to say he did not do ALL of that.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:31 pm@108
I’m right there with you. Why do you think I’m an advocate for DeSantis?
However, if it’s Biden/Harris/Newsom/pick-your-flavor-Democrats vs. Trump in the general? I’m voting Trump. Because I truly think Democrat policies will be far lasting than any mercurial Trumpian things he’d do in 4 years.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:39 pm@124
It’s not really stretching the benefit of the doubt.
You’d open the barn door of placing legal consequences on politicking and speech.
So, let’s break down 18 USC 2383:
Trump’s behavior, while deplorable, doesn’t not rise to the legal standard if incitement.
We know he didn’t do that.
He’s where you’re pointing out Trump may qualify – what actual material assistance did he provide to those folks who rioted?
Seeking redress to courts and government isn’t a rebellion nor insurrection. Publicly announcing that he believe the election was stolen, while wrong, isn’t any of the above and his political speech.
Again, Jack Smith, who’s a hack in his own right, is twisting and pulling these statute in hopes that anything sticks.
I want Trump out of the picture here, but not at the expense that pandora’s box is opened and political acts can be prosecuted.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:47 pmThis is our problem
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:53 pmI want Trump out of the picture here, but not at the expense that pandora’s box is opened and political acts can be prosecuted.
I think that it would be healthy to dial back what politicians can claim.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:54 pm@128
That’s for Congress…and ultimately the voting public to decide.
Not for the justice system to curtail free speech.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 7:56 pmKen White characterizes that NRO assertion as an outright lie:
As they say, read the whole thing.
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/2/2023 @ 8:01 pmThat’s for Congress…and ultimately the voting public to decide.
Not for the justice system to curtail free speech.
I’m pretty sure that Congress passed the laws that DoJ is using. Look, you have to be deeply in the tank to think that Trump did not intend and was not pleased with what happened on Jan 6th.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 8:07 pmhttps://www.nationalreview.com/corner/anti-indictment-and-pro-editorial/?utm_source=recirc-desktop&utm_medium=homepage&utm_campaign=right-rail&utm_content=corner&utm_term=first
I want to see a debate between Ken White and Andrew McCarthy.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 8:12 pm@131
Kevin, Andrew McCarthy and other lawyer commmentators (albeit Ken White objects, but I think he’s willfully ignoring recent SCOTUS precedents) is arguing that fraud in legal context must be of financial context. He breaks it down really good in the link I posted above, particularly with the recent precedents set by SCOTUS.
I don’t think he intended for J6 riot to occurred, but I’m sure it didn’t bother him as much as, imo, he took too long to act as President.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/2/2023 @ 8:16 pmLol. So Ken’s not just overlooking it, mot just misunderstanding it, but willfully ignoring it. And your evidence for that is? Did you read his post? He specifically addresses the recent SCOTUS precedents. He addresses McCarthy specifically as well as the NRO editorial, and how each of them mis-cited precedent. Care to respond to Ken’s actual legal argument? It’s not complicated.
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:01 pmTrump’s a moral cretin. Obviously he was delighted by what unfolded. But being happy that something awful is happening isn’t proof you caused it. There’s a reason I’ve been telling you since day one that he’ll probably be indicted for the crimes (or similar ones) he was charged with, and not for insurrection, sedition, or under any circumstances treason. You have to be able to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that he intended and conspired in, caused or abetted the actual things you’re accusing him of conspiring in, causing or abetting. If that proof exists for Trump, Jan.6 and sedition or insurrection, I’m still waiting for it. Reasonable suspicion? Absolutely. Proof beyond a reasonable doubt? Not that I’ve seen.
Prove me wrong. I’ll be thrilled. Start by tying Trump beyond a reasonable doubt to the assault on the Capital. Without that tie, what you’re left are the crimes for which he’s been charged, and for which I hope he’ll be convicted.
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:27 pm*what you’re left with*
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:29 pmKen’s piece is masterful. I referenced it at the Dispatch for someone clearly cribbing from the NRO article and relying on Ciminelli. It’s hard to argue with Ken’s reasoning, though perhaps his use of “lying” might be a little overheated.
Still, with all of the intellectual firepower available at NRO, it is a bit disturbing that they appear to have the law wrong. Sloppiness in rushing to print? Unhealthy advocacy? I just wish people would slow down and really think through what they are saying. For instance, the implications about what some are saying about the 1A and political speech is staggering. I mean you can lie and complain….ala Stacey Abrams….you can’t lie to enable fraud. And the kicker as brought out by Popehat is you don’t need a pecuniary element.
It’s discouraging that so many flawed analogies are going unchallenged. Seek truth….not just partisan talking points.
AJ_Liberty (77970e) — 8/2/2023 @ 9:37 pm@133, please see 130.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 10:58 pmIt’s not complicated what I want: Trump hanged on the National Mall as an example to all future wannabe Emperors. I realize I won’t get that, but those Roman senators had the right idea when they stitched up Julius Caesar.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/2/2023 @ 11:00 pmYeah, when there’s any doubt, give me Hanlon’s razor. Ken seems to think there is no room for doubt, that McCarthy and NRO are too smart and well-informed to have made that mistake innocently. That’s hard to dispute, but I’d still be less categorical about calling it a lie. If our times have taught us anything, it’s that even extremely smart, well-informed people are capable of honestly persuading themselves of falsehoods they have an interest in believing.
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/3/2023 @ 12:09 am#139
Geez, all I want is having him have to sit in jail while awaiting his trial, while being denied a phone. He won’t be able to feel his humiliation while hanging stone cold dead on the Mall.
Appalled (526f03) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:06 amThis all should have been done in February, 2021. Intead of the meaningless impeachment. But it’s still the same sh!t, different year. The Democrats don’t want Trump gone or in prison. They want him out and about doing his best to help them win elections.
nk (bb519a) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:22 amI’d say that Mr. White was rightfully impassioned, lurker, all the more so because he used to write there.
It’s not the first time I’ve seen intellectual dishonesty from Andrew McCarthy in defense of Trump. Disappointing.
Hillary was wrong about a lot of things, almost all things, but she was right about this.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:23 am#142
Emotionally, I feel the way you do. But let’s devil’s advocate — how long does it take to put together a case like this under our current legal system? My “what took you so long” is a real question. (One I have always hoped our gracious host would post about.)
Appalled (526f03) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:30 am@144, yes, it would be great to hear Patterico’s insights into building these cases….and the tactics that Smith might be considering. A lot we just don’t see. We don’t know if Meadows and Kushner are cooperating. We don’t know how likely Giuliani will testify against Trump to avoid finishing his mortal time on earth in a cage without hair dye. But it would be valuable to hear what he believes Smith’s toughest challenges will be….and whether all of this can realistically happen before convention time, especially with the inevitable appeals and requests for delays.
It’s nice to see him chime in occasionally at The Dispatch. I understand why he prefers to post there as there are just a lot more eyeballs.
AJ_Liberty (77970e) — 8/3/2023 @ 6:20 amTo change the subject. Do you remember earlier in the week that Comer had the whole Hunter Biden thing nailed down via his all important hearing featuring Hunter’s partner? Comer even provided a summary of the testimony? Well, it’s being reported that Comer didn’t even show for the hearing.
https://news.yahoo.com/james-comer-skipped-panel-big-173657040.html
It’s hard to take this stuff seriously if the people promoting this don’t seem to do so.
Appalled (f49231) — 8/3/2023 @ 7:02 amOne last link — for those interested. Devon Archer’s testimony is now fully available:
https://oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Devon-Archer-Transcript.pdf
Have at it.
Appalled (03f53c) — 8/3/2023 @ 7:54 amGeez, all I want is having him have to sit in jail while awaiting his trial, while being denied a phone.
To be mean, you could fill his cell with books.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:13 amFrom Appalled’s link:
I don’t know about all the rest of the Shokin malarkey in the excerpt I selected, but the part of the excerpt that I bolded should clear up any confusion as to who The Big Guy is.
I am hoping that the LOL defense that Hunter partnered with an untrustworthy criminal gets used again. Double edged character assassination is a sight to see.
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:15 am@144, 145:
Garland could have appointed a special prosecutor in 2021 and we’d be done with this now. Instead he Gollumed the thing until he was forced to act. The result, intentional or otherwise, is to thoroughly ratfu*k the GOP nomination process.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:17 amAs I said before, proving incitement or assisting an insurrection would require overt acts, and the mens rea, to prove such a charge. Unless there is evidence (like text/email messages, witnesses to conversations, etc.) it would be very difficult to prosecute Trump for insurrection. Apparently there is not any evidence to prove it “beyond a reasonable doubt.”
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:36 amConvicted felons (and those on the lam) always make the best witnesses.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:37 amRegarding Trump’s admission that he lost, yes, he admitted, and I’m sure Smith has more witnesses.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:37 amUnfortunately, much of the evidence developed by the January 6th Committee and the Justice Department wasn’t available at that time. In addition, many of the witnesses actively resisted providing any testimony.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:40 amFIFY. Given Trump’s current mortal lock on the Republican electorate (both in polling and betting markets), neither do Republican voters.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:46 am8:15:
8:37:
LOL!
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:58 amThis could point to Hunter being an unregistered agent under FARA, and if he’s guilty, then he should pay the price.
However, the excerpt isn’t an indictment against Joe for getting Shokin fired, because this “capital tied up” were funds laundered by Zlochevsky under investigation by the UK, not Shokin.
The $23 million was one of the reasons why US diplomats in Ukraine, like Pyatt, wanted Shokin out.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:01 amI thought I was pretty clear that I didn’t post the excerpt for that reason nor did I speculate about anything you discussing.
My focus was narrow.
Archer describes two kinds of help. “Specific” which is “the big guy,” and “amorphous” which is “help in DC.”
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:16 amI’m responding to the words in your excerpt, BuDuh. I’m not obligated to follow whatever focus you want it narrowed to, but I did comment about Hunter and FARA.
Also, I note that Archer demurred on Jordan’s leading and false question “…at this time were you aware that Viktor Shokin was investigating Burisma?”
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:33 amLastly, there’s no indication that the US government “helped” Zlochevsky by pressuring Shokin to not cooperate with UK authorities.
It is possible that Trump is hopelessly corrupt AND that the Biden DoJ is weaponized. Trump being the low-hanging fruit.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:38 am👍
BuDuh (681e00) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:59 amPaul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:33 am
That’s a big issue.
And he also could have been conducting a sham or minor investigation.
Actually the right question here is:
Did Zlochevsky want anything done with regard to ukrainian Prosecutor General viktor Shokin?
After all, wa=hat matters is not whether or not or how seriously Viktor Shokin was investigating Burisma, but what Zlochevsky or Burisma wanted done.
Sammy Finkelman (bb74ac) — 8/3/2023 @ 10:08 amThe “delusion defense” (that Trump genuinely believed his own lies about election fraud) is being teased by Trump’s legal team:
But the indictment takes on Trump’s “delusions”:
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 10:15 amAppalled (03f53c) — 8/3/2023 @ 7:54 am
It was reported that it might take several weeks to get the transcript approved.
I am not too surprised that was wrong.
Sammy Finkelman (bb74ac) — 8/3/2023 @ 10:16 amThat’s what I referenced earlier except I had it “I can’t believe I lost to this guy.”
When saying he won wouldn”t work, sometimes Trump conceded with the person he was talking to that he lost.
Bill O’Reilly said yesterday that he talks to Trump (Trump calls him, not vice versa) and he thinks Trump truly believes that he won (Why>) “Because he wants to believe it, It’s not hard.”
I think Trump is just being a good actor who stays in character,
Sammy Finkelman (bb74ac) — 8/3/2023 @ 10:21 amWhy wasn’t Trump charged with insurrection?
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 10:30 amTrump plane about to take off for 4 pm arraignment in DC.
Also, LIRR train derailment in Queens.,
Sammy Finkelman (bb74ac) — 8/3/2023 @ 11:11 amThat may be your right question, Sammy, but it’s not mine.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 11:11 amThe false claim that keeps being made by the Trumpist Right is that Shokin was investigating Zlochevsky and Burisma when VP Joe urged his sacking, the clear implication being that Joe was shielding his son from investigations by Ukrainian authorities, but there’s no evidence Shokin did any kind of investigation into the matter. More the opposite, going by his stonewalling UK authorities.
Although there are witnesses who heard Trump admit he lost, per my Reason link above, such admission may not be necessary. To this non-lawyer and non-expert on the US Code, it sounds plausible because the acts speak for themselves. Res ipsa something, because who can accurately divine the mental spaghetti that is Trump’s Brain.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 11:19 amSo I re-read Ken White’s recent post, and after you get over his aggressive “they’re lying to you”, I do think he’s right in that, it’s the control precedent and SCOTUS hasn’t ruled on that section, as they did with the section NRO’s position did that it must be financial.
I’m still worried about issues surrounding 1st Amendment principles and that fraud must be a) deceptive and b) Knowing wrong. Not sure how the government can navigate this.
whembly (3fad18) — 8/3/2023 @ 11:43 amThat’s separates a crime from merely lying.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 11:58 amI would encourage everyone to list to the podcast The McCarthy Report.
He addresses obliquely Ken White’s position.
tldr: McNaulty (sp?) is the controlling precedent. It doesn’t matter that there are older precedent (that Smith is using) to make the case that fraud can be for non-financial acts. In McNaulty, the court emphatically says the in federal law “fraud” is only to be use for financial/property cases.
I don’t think McCarthy (nor editors of NRO) is going to be persuaded by the likes of Ken Whites.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/3/2023 @ 1:40 pmI don’t think McCarthy (nor editors of NRO) is going to be persuaded by the likes of Ken Whites.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/3/2023 @ 1:40 pm
That reflects poorly on NRO. From my experience, Ken White is as astute as they come.
NRO lost its luster when it started holding back so as not to offend Trump voters. It has to worry about subscribers. Ken White? Not so much.
norcal (515f12) — 8/3/2023 @ 1:54 pmItem 3 could trip Trump up. SC Smith better a list over to Trump’s lawyers.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 1:55 pmI think #1 could be a problem too. 🤣
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 2:08 pm😂🤣😂😂😅
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/3/2023 @ 2:09 pmI think #1 could be a problem too. 🤣
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 2:08 pm
Ahaha!
norcal (515f12) — 8/3/2023 @ 2:12 pmMcNaulty (sp?) is the controlling precedent.
Congress overruled McNally, and Trump has not been charged under the federal mail fraud statute.
Source
“Honest services fraud” is a scheme to to defraud another of the intangible right to honest services through a scheme to violate a fiduciary duty by bribery or kickbacks, none of which applies to this case.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 2:25 pmCorrected link to federal mail fraud statute.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 2:31 pmSee Pub. L. 100–690, title VII, § 7603(a):
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 2:41 pm
@181 Rip…
SCOTUS in Skilling v. United States narrowed this definition:
“§ 1346. Definition of ‘scheme or artifice to defraud’ “For the purposes of this chapter, the term scheme or artifice to defraud’ includes a scheme or artifice to deprive another of the intangible right of honest services.”
As unconstitutionally vague.
Pulled from Gorsuch’s controlling opinion in Percoco v. United States from a few months ago, citing Skilling v. United States:
So the Skilling controlling opinion, the precedent, is that Congress’s honest-services statute applies only to bribery and kickback schemes.
Putting it all together:
#1 ‘Fraud’, in federal criminal law is confined to deceptive schemes to obtain money or tangible property, and to bribery and kickbacks
#2 Per the control opinions of SCOTUS, the concept of fraud could be expanded that’s kosher with the Constitution, but:
whembly (5f7596) — 8/3/2023 @ 3:11 pm(a) that could only be done by Congress, not by creative prosecutors and judges, and…
(b) if Congress so chooses to enact a new law, it must articulate with sufficient clarity that the average person can reasonably be expected to understand the scope of what is prohibited (citing Scalia here).
Irrelevant. None of portions of the US Code are cited in those SC decisions are mentioned in Trump’s indictment.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 3:42 pmTrump is not charged with “honest services fraud”, or under the mail or wire fraud statutes. If you want to make the case, cite SC decisions interpreting the US code sections mentioned in Trump’s indictment.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 3:46 pmThe judge gave Trump a choice of August 21, August 22 or August 28 for his next court appearance. His lawyers chose August 28, probably following their general policy of delay.
Trump must also appear August 25 in the documents case in Florida, if I got that right.
Sammy FInkelman (1d215a) — 8/3/2023 @ 3:52 pm169. Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/3/2023 @ 11:11 am
I said the key question actually is whether Zlochevsky and Burisma asked Hunter Biden (and others e could influence ) to do anything with regard to Shokin, whether he was or was not (seriously) investigating Zlochevsky or Burisma.
Sammy FInkelman (1d215a) — 8/3/2023 @ 3:56 pm@183 Irrelevant. None of portions of the US Code are cited in those SC decisions are mentioned in Trump’s indictment.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 3:42 pm
It’s important because if you read those opinions, you’d see how SCOTUS would rule if such a case came before them.
Prosecutors (and really Congress), really need to take heed from cases like these.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:01 pmThe SC has changed a lot since those cases were decided, and the crimes that Trump has been charged with a far more serious than honest services, mail, or wire fraud. We shall see.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:05 pmFirst of all, Shokin was not fired at the time of a Joe Biden’s visit to Kiev in March 2016. He was replaced in June 2016 and that’s when the loon guarantees (not cash) were made
Nobody wants to debunk it. The Republicans because it conflicts with their narrative, and the Democrats because it would sow that Joe Biden lied about causing the firing of the prosecutor at the Q&A session of his speech at the Council on Foreign Relations on January 23, 2018.
The Washington Post attempted to move Joe Biden’s intervention to December 2015: (while still not saying Biden lied. A lie, I think, Vladimir Putin exploited to influence Giuliani and Trump in 2019)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/10/02/correcting-media-error-bidens-ukraine-showdown-was-december/
But the loan guarantees were not made in March. They were made after the Ukrainian Parliament passed some anti-corruption laws the U.S. favored.
https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-ukraine-crisis-usa-idUKKCN0YP10E
Joe Biden had nothing to do with withholding or approving the loan guarantee, and the loan guarantee was not tied just to Shokin
That Vice President Joe Biden personally withheld the loan guarantees and caused the firing of a prosecutor is a BIG LIE which has escaped notice because it’s not in the interests of either the Democratic Party or the Republican Party to debunk it, and because nobody checks it out, or listens carefully..
Republicans say that Biden had a corrupt motive in causing the firing of the prosecutor and Democrats say firing the prosecutor was U.S. government and other country’s goal and not just something Joe Biden wanted.
Sammy FInkelman (1d215a) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:20 pmThe BIG LIE updated version (The beta version was in an online addendum to the August 2016 issue of the Atlantic Monthly)
Je Biden made tis whole story up.
Sammy FInkelman (1d215a) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:26 pmThe beta version of Biden’s lie, the one with the flabbergasted U.S. Ambassador (but not the abruptly cancelled press conference in Kiev):
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/08/joe-biden-interview/497633
Sammy FInkelman (1d215a) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:30 pmI wonder if Obama told Biden in June that this whole story could explode.
Sammy FInkelman (1d215a) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:31 pmAs long as we’re talking about the law, you all know that status crime are unconstitutional, right? It’s not a crime to be a vagrant, or mentally ill, or an addict, for example. Now, from that point of view, has Trump done anything more than be Trump?
nk (60bf82) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:32 pm@182. As Rip suggests, you’re ing that Skilling narrowed the meaning of fraud only under the wire fraud statute, a statute that includes the “money or property” requirement Thomas relied on in Cimineli. Who knows, when Trump’s case reaches the Supreme Court, maybe they’ll extend Skilling and Cimineli to overrule Hass v. Henkel and Hammerschmidt v. US‘s reading of Sec.371. But as of now, Hass and Hammerschmidt are still good law.
Just to remind you, here’s what CJ Taft said in Hammerschmidt:
As I said earlier, I won’t call NRO’s and McCarthy’s posts lies, but they’re certainly misleading at best.
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/3/2023 @ 4:59 pm*you’re eliding*
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:00 pmFor what it’s worth, I’ve long considered counts 2 and 3 (the obstruction counts) the strongest ones. If Trump is convicted of those and skates on 1 and/or 4, whether by the jury’s doing or SCOTUS’s, I’ll sleep just fine.
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:16 pmIf we are going to make SCOTUS predictions, I think the Court might treat the requirement of proof Trump knew he was lying like Countermann vs Colorado (discussed recently by Popehat).
In that case, Countermann sent messages to a local musician that she found threatening and he was arrested for stalking. His defense was free speech. The law required a showing that Countermann intended the speech as threatening. The Court held instead of subjective proof of threatening intent, it was enough to show he was reckles in how his words would be perceived.
In Popehat’s words:
There us more to it so read the link, but I can see courts holding that proof of subjective intent isn’t required. It is enough to show recklessness.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:45 pmSpecifically, a Court might hold that the First Amendment requires that, at a minimum, the government prove that a speaker was reckless about whether their statement would be interpreted as false.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:48 pm… or interpreted as true.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/3/2023 @ 5:55 pmThe question really isn’t whether Trump lied (he did) or even whether he believed his lies (probably not). Both are protected activities. What is important are the actions he undertook to subvert the electoral process beyond lawsuits, and these are spelled out in paragraph 10 (“The Manner and Means,” on pages 5-6) of the indictment.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/3/2023 @ 6:08 pmAll are important because all are required elements.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/3/2023 @ 6:10 pmAnd when you say he “probably” knew it to be false, that is reasonable doubt to defense counsel.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/3/2023 @ 6:28 pmFrom our erstwhile Attorney General:
After all, who among us hasn’t refused to rule out voting for someone whose criminal abuse of our fundamental system of self-governance was so nauseating and despicable that they have no business being anywhere near the Oval Office?
Lol.
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/3/2023 @ 8:55 pmIt has to worry about subscribers.
See The Weekly Standard.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:38 pm“Can you believe I lost to this guy?” — Trump while watching Biden on TV after the election
Somewhere, Hillary is screaming.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:40 pmstate election boards could have relied on that indictment as the predicate to disqualify Trump.
I suspect they will anyway. It would be interesting if they refused to let him onto the primary ballot.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:43 pmThe NM courts kicked a county supervisor off his board because he had been convicted of trespassing on J6. The “it wasn’t insurrection and I didn’t do that anyway” defense didn’t work.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:44 pmTry that again.
The NM courts kicked a county supervisor off his board because he had been convicted of trespassing on J6. The “it wasn’t insurrection and I didn’t do that anyway” defense didn’t work.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:45 pmAnd when you say he “probably” knew it to be false, that is reasonable doubt to defense counsel.
But if you say “he didn’t care” if it was false, we are back at “reckless.”
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 9:48 pmwhembly (5f7596) — 8/3/2023 @ 1:40 pm
Here’s more on the distinction you, McCarthy and NRO editors elide between fraud under the mail and wire fraud statutes and fraud under Section 371. This time the source is McNally v. US, the 1987 SCOTUS decision that articulated the pecuniary requirement for fraud under the mail and wire acts:
[Some citations and paragraph breaks omitted]
lurker (cd7cd4) — 8/3/2023 @ 10:12 pmLooks like trump will get an all black jury in D.C. Trial.
asset (1f3ef1) — 8/3/2023 @ 10:33 pmSo, wait, there is no such thing as election fraud?
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/3/2023 @ 11:29 pmThat’s not as much of a guarantee of a guilty verdict as you think, asset. Even if all their clothing and victuals are purchased with direct and indirect swamp money.
urbanleftbehind (f725ae) — 8/4/2023 @ 5:38 amSammy, I don’t doubt that Biden lied and exaggerated about his role in Shokin’s sacking, but that’s not really the issue. Politicians lie and exaggerate about their exploits as easily as they breathe, and Biden is no exception in this case. Biden wanted to sound like the tough guy who put Ukraine in its place, the white hat who came in and cleaned house, using loan guarantees as his chin-music fastball.
The reason the sacking became an issue were allegations of corruption, that Joe got the Chief Prosecutor fired because he was investigating the VP’s son and his employer, and the corruption allegations only grew when the accusation was made about Joe getting a $5 million bribe from Zlochevsky while serving as VP. There’s no evidence of any of it. This is not a “scandal of unprecedented proportions” as one commenter declared, but trying to overthrow a democracy is.
It’s a phony story, but there’s no end to it because the Trumpist Right needs a boogeyman in Hunter to deflect from Trump’s extensive and proven corruption, to declare that “the Biden crime family” is worse than Trump when there’s actually no equivalency or comparison whatsoever, legally or morally.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/4/2023 @ 5:47 amThe Big Guy
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 6:16 amEvery once in while there’s some good stuff in a Disqus comment section.
“When I was drunk I absolutely believed I wasn’t, even though all my friends and the bartender tried to convince me I was, so I asked my ‘lawyer’ crazy drunk Rudy at the end of the bar, and he told me he didn’t think I was drunk, and I wanted to believe him, so I did. So I’m innocent of DUI.”
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/4/2023 @ 6:40 am–Donald J. Trump, if ever arrested for DUI
Hahahaha! WhooHoooo hooo! Hohoho!!! Hahahaha!!!
That is funny stuff!! Brilliant!!
😂😂😂😂
Excellent.
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 6:42 amBuDuh is also in the bar. He’s the little guy giggling that, though Trump is drunk, he’s going to get away with it, because he always gets away with it, because there is always an exception to the laws that might apply to Trump and Trump always finds the exception. Not that BuDuh supports him, mind…
Appalled (03f53c) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:05 amCaricature assassination!!
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:08 amAppalled, do you have any doubts that Joe Biden is also know as The Big Guy to Hunter’s business partners?
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:12 am…known as…
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:12 am@197
There us more to it so read the link, but I can see courts holding that proof of subjective intent isn’t required. It is enough to show recklessness.
@198
@199
Thanks…this was an interesting read.
Let me put my contrarian hat on for a bit – Shouldn’t we avoid advocating for laws/interpretation that a particular speech was “reckless”?
How does that square with current understanding of incitement laws (Brandenburg test ??)
It seems too subjective and would open the courts to a lot more frivolous cases.
I mean, but that standard, the government *could* argue that it doesn’t infringe on 1st Amendment principles if they censored anti-COVID vax people.
Michael Brown’s stepfather, stood on top of a car and gave an angry speech to an agitated crowd and ended it by angrily saying”…we go’n to burn this mf place down!”. That night, Ferguson had the worst night if riots/crimes/arsons. Would he be in legal jeopardy of being “reckless” with his speech, and should’ve been held to account, sans Brandenburg?
I think Congress and Courts would do well to foster, bright and clear lines what the 1st Amendment does and doesn’t protects.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:14 amFor over at The Dispatch
“Goldman and the Democratic staff pressed Archer on the lack of evidence implicating Joe Biden’s direct involvement. Archer agreed that Hunter’s presentation was “an illusion of access to his father” aside from the social niceties exchanged over the phone or at a few dinners. He affirmed that Hunter would take credit for actions his father took but in which Hunter had had no role. “It’s not that Hunter Biden was influencing U.S. policy,” a member of the panel proffered to Archer. “It’s that Hunter Biden was falsely giving the Burisma executives the impression that he had any influence over U.S. policy.” Archer affirmed the assessment: “I think that’s fair.””
AJ_Liberty (58300b) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:15 amAbout that “illusion of access:”
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:21 amBuDuh,
Hunter was clearly peddling influence using his father’s name and position and it appears Joe knew it and let him. If you guys weren’t so intent on running the fascist coup plotter, I’d be more exercised about it. (Should it come to Biden vs Trump, you’ll vote Trump)
Archer did not get us any closer to Biden actually taking actions based on what Hunter was peddling. As Hunter’s business partner, he ought to know whether Joe was getting a piece of the action.
The Justice Department has definitely played games with this investigation. In normal times, that is where the Congressional committee would put its focus. But they want the big kill, without caring that they don’t have the support.
By the way — I will stop needling you if you stop the passive-aggressive “I’m just an idiot with stupid positions so why are you arguing with me because I agree I’m an idiot” stuff. You can make cogent, serious arguments, when you choose to do so, and I don’t mind engaging.
Appalled (03f53c) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:36 amJudge Cannon’s mistakes in a jury trial last June does not instill confidence, especially after her botched rulings wrt Trump last September.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:38 amHer jury trial experience amounts to four as a federal judge and four as a federal prosecutor.
Then why do you mind answering whether or not, in your opinion, that there is little to no doubt that Joe Biden is also known as The Big Guy to Hunter’s business partners, Appalled?
This stems from your own link to the transcript. Let us both be cogent on this one topic. Please.
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:43 amGood point, but I am not sure that is the standard. I was speculating about SCOTUS.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:49 amBuDuh:
Honest answer is that I have not read the entire transcript and don’t understand the importance you assign to this. I have stated my thought — Hunter made millions peddling his name. There is evidence Biden did nothing to disrupt his kid’s business plan. That creates an appearance of impropriety for Joe of the kind that would cause a problem if you are a judge or work in the accounting profession.
But so far, no demonstrable quid pro quo.
Appalled (fdfe42) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:55 amwhembly,
I have no problem with a “reckless standard” for incitement or any free speech issue.
Courts are always dealing with limits on the Bill of Rights. Due process, search and seizure, gun ownership, and free speech limits have changed over time as the rules are refined and experimented with. The Internet Age is changing free speech concerns and a “reckless standard” seems like a reasonable approach to try, as SCOTUS has done in Countermann.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:59 amI am not asking about quid pro quo.
Thanks for making an attempt.
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:04 amHunter was clearly peddling influence using his father’s name and position and it appears Joe knew it and let him.
That’s not clear at all. That’s just speculation.
Who is Devon Archer’s father? How did he get on the Burisma board?
Hunter’s father got him Yale and Georgetown and a DC political sea in which he swam since birth. Sure, he would not have been possible without Joe Biden, but only in the sense that Kobe Bryant would not have been possible without Joe Bryant either.
nk (4f2ac5) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:09 amThe jury is not going to read statutes or cases. It will hear instructions. And the instructions will have been worked out in advance, in the judge’s chambers, and will be based only on what the government has made a prima facie case of. If the Circuit has relevant pattern instructions, those will be used. If not, the parties and the judge will draft them, and those may or may not be the subject of an appeal. After the verdict.
nk (4f2ac5) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:14 am#231
Well, I am still in the dark on why it matters that Hunter Biden referred to Joe Biden as the Big Guy. Maybe you’ll connect the dots?
Appalled (03f53c) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:20 am@230
I’m not sure where I land on this “reckless standard” proposal.
But, I’m worried that it can be abused by the government, since it’s proven that the Biden administration tasked willing Tech company to censor unorthodox speech on their behalf.
In short, my worry is that some form of “reckless standard” in the free speech sphere would all government to censor by proxy.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:22 am…would allow government….
whembly (5f7596) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:22 amLet me know when you have read enough to have made the decision as to whether or not Hunter’s business partners also knew Joe Biden as “The Big Guy,” Appalled. Then I can reengage.
Thanks again.
Later.
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:27 am@234
Because there’s documented correspondence that the “Big Guy” gets 10%.
There’s correspondence by Hunter who said that his dad makes him give his dad ‘half’.
Ten percent of what?
Half of what?
The Bidens haven’t given us a colorable explanation, and instead, steadfastly avoiding to address it.
Look. It’s rare for these sorts of things that you’ll see something akin to a photograph showing a suitcase full of money being handed to Joe Biden.
You look at the totality of what we know, and we can infer.
Even if Biden wasn’t POTUS, it would still be of concern and worthy of investigation.
But because he’s POTUS, it’s doubly concerning because we don’t know if his policies were truly steered in a way that is not in America’s best interests.
I suspect, that much of this reflective “defense” of the Bidens is simply because Trump is in the picture. Folks don’t want to admit, that Biden may be doing something bad enough that gives Trump some cover to his malfeasances. But, I would implore you to take Trump out of it. He doesn’t matter. Biden is the POTUS, and his actions, along with all the evidence we’ve seen should cause you to at least understand where his distractors are coming from.
whembly (5f7596) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:31 amYeah. Disregard that Biden said he did it. NeverTrump claimed Trump wishing someone would get Hillary’s emails was proof of Russian collusion.
If you were any further in the tank for Biden you’d be on the payroll.
NJRob (eb56c3) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:32 amI am filing this under “Things That Never Get Said or Considered at The Dispatch.”
BuDuh (9a76cd) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:39 amI get that. It might. But consider something nonpolitical like cyberbullying, which some state laws treat as harassment. Texas law defines harassment as abusive behaviors with the “intent to harass, annoy, alarm, abuse, torment, or embarrass” someone. I think a reckless standard is reasonable for the intent element even though it could and probably would limit speech.
I can understand not wanting to limit political speech, but is a reckless standard that bad? The legal standard for reckless is that someone is “aware of but consciously disregards a substantial and unjustifiable risk that the circumstances exist or the result will occur.” This would still require proof of defendant’s state of mind.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:43 amAn orange baby lost re-election by more votes than any seating President in the history of the United States, and his sycophants are striking out blindly in all directions like scorpions with sunstroke.
nk (4f2ac5) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:46 am#238
It is not in my power to take Trump out of the picture. That belongs to the GOP, who won’t.
You see, what Biden is alleged to have done is far, far less than what we know Trump did. And our system is dishing out binary choices, lesser of two evils, etc etc. This is what you get. Mediocre senescence with a side of family shenanigans is better than a President for Life wannabe and his band of rag tag racists.
So, you find in my case that I really don’t care as much about Hunter Biden and his laptop than perhaps I should. I do believe that the IRS investigation and plea deal smells very bad and that should be investigated. I don’t care much about H Biden’s own words, because it is in his own interest to lie to other players, to keep the dollars flowing. There is a phrase in political science called “rational ignornance” — and that, in my case, applies to the ins and outs of Hunter Biden.
Appalled (03f53c) — 8/4/2023 @ 8:56 amLet me be more practical. We have a speech problem and despite what politicians say, it doesn’t come because government is criminalizing speech. Politicians benefit from angry constituents so they encourage it.
Our speech problem comes because people threaten other people and have forgotten how to be tolerant of other views. They don’t have to accept or believe other views but they do have to tolerate them, and this isn’t a right or left problem. If religion and morality no longer makes that happen, maybe the law should.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:06 amFree speech should be protected. The freedom to threaten should not.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:08 amThe difficult question for me is the freedom to incite people to take action. Trump is a master at that, and it is part of politics. But I think he may have crossed the line in 2020.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:14 amWe give more protection from defamation for public figures. Maybe we should give them less free speech protection for threatening, inciting or harassing.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:18 amWhich is why he wants to move his trial to West Virginia:
Trump won WVA by over 40 points.
I doubt the jury will be all one race. Depending on how long the trial is expected to last, most of those who can serve for a long trial would be those whose employers provide for more than 5 days jury duty. Most small businesses don’t even do that.
Speculating how the Supreme Court would rule on anything (assuming it gets that far) is fool’s errand. You might as well predict who will win the 2024 general election.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:29 amFree speech should be protected. The freedom to threaten should not.
Nor should the freedom to libel be protected, but it mostly is.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:29 amI doubt the jury will be all one race. Depending on how long the trial is expected to last, most of those who can serve for a long trial would be those whose employers provide for more than 5 days jury duty. Most small businesses don’t even do that.
I’m pretty sure that Trump’s lawyers will attempt to avoid that outcome. I doubt it will be all registered Democrats either.
On the other hand, public employees and those receiving government benefits get full income while on jury duty.
On the gripping hand, jury pay is a national disgrace. Minimum wage would be the rock-bottom minimum. What’s good for the goose….
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:33 amAt least three things are giving Trump cover:
1. Hunter Biden and DoJ collusion.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:37 am2. The insanely Trumped-up picayune charges in the NY case.
3. The perceived political animus from the federal establishment wrt Trump.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/2/2023 @ 8:03 am
It seems to be a claim that to misuse official acts or to try to get others to =do so is “fraud”
Sammy Finkelman (868801) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:54 am“with all the evidence we’ve seen”
I don’t think we share the same understanding of those words.
Hunter Biden appears to tell a lot of whoppers, especially with regards to his father. Also, an addict burning through 100’s of thousands of dollars will say and do anything, and would likely not be sharing payoffs unless he absolutely had to. I agree with Appalled. Either Joe Biden knew or he (or his people) should have known what his son was up to. So, he’s created the appearance of a problem and he should pay politically for at minimum the appearance of corruption. But I still need more due diligence on discerning what of Hunter Biden’s statements can be factually established. Him saying that the “Big Guy” got a cut does not prove that the “Big Guy” actually got a cut….any more than Hunter saying that he influenced some US policy actually proves that he did. Preferably one needs an actual money trail.
Nothing changes whether there’s Trump or no Trump. Again, both are awful candidates though I again agree with Appalled that in the pantheon of outrageous conduct, Trump leads handily. I also suspect that going forward, Hunter/Joe shakedowns aren’t going to happen because the gig, if there was ever one, is up. With Trump, I suspect the awfulness will actually get ratcheted up. I suspect further that no one in his perspective cabinet will have stones to push back on whatever “retribution” Trump imagines (yes Trump lies prolifically too, but this one I think comes from teh man’s heart). The days of General Kelly and Pat Cipollone are over. We will get “yes” men and conspiracy cranks. I can only cringe at who will being running Trump’s DoJ and what “reform” will look like. The risk of future corrupt and criminal behavior seems much higher with Trump. That creates an awful choice that I wish more in the GOP would take to heart.
AJ_Liberty (5f05c3) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:55 am…even if he didn’t tell the people he was urging to do wrong things that they were wrong – and he usually didn;t, although there’s things like telling Pence (according to Pence – he put it in a book) “You’re too honest.”
Sammy Finkelman (868801) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:57 amJust call me a fool!
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:09 amAJ_Liberty (5f05c3) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:55 am
Republican investigators want to insist, or at least assume as a starting point, that they are not whoppers..
Steohen Bannon interpreted something Hunter wrote as meaning just that — but I think the context is his nuclear family
Sort of…..
But he no doubt wanted his son to stay on the right side of the law, Ethics is another story..
He had every reason to claim > his father would get asecret cut in order to establish credibility..
Which I think Joe Biden is confident does not exist..
It was up in 2019. Of course, there’s the paintings and people paying his taxes for him. But any quid pro quo is different.
That’s true..
But there’s the problem of needing Senate confirmation for many positions.
Sammy Finkelman (868801) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:09 amAJ Liberty 253,
Exactly.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:10 amLike father, like son.
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:16 amDodging the Question:
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:23 am“You’re too honest.”
Words to live by. They’ll stad proudly along with “The buck stops here”, “We have nothing to fear but fear itself” and “Ask not what your country can do for you…”
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:51 amSo, I happened to be listening to some Fox show on my XM radio, and they did a “people in the street” segment about “what is these new charges against Trump.” It is amazing just how ignorant and/or stupid the common person is. Unflipping believable. The funniest thing was that Fox thought this was an indictment of the DoJ, not the foolish and insipid morons they interviewed.
There should be some itsy-bitsy floor to who can vote. Being able to name the nation’s capital, from a multiple-choice list would be an improvement.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:57 amKevin, those are words to live by. But they were also words that did not represent the events at those moments.
DRJ (2e4ac4) — 8/4/2023 @ 11:01 am@Rip, @Paul and @AJ
whembly (5f7596) — 8/4/2023 @ 11:51 amhttps://twitter.com/HouseGOP/status/1687508548480122880
Whembly
From what I took away from Archers testimony Hunter was selling his ability to open doors because he was Biden’s son and knowledge of who to talk to. Archer didn’t seem to be saying Hunter promised to sway Joe or that Joe offered that. He seemed to be saying that Hunter was selling his “importance” as being Joes kid.
Also, I read up on FARA and I think you’re right that Hunter is in violation of it.
Time123 (62e27f) — 8/4/2023 @ 12:19 pmhttps://nypost.com/2023/08/03/number-of-joe-bidens-sitdowns-with-hunter-biden-clients-is-damning
Sammy Finkelman (868801) — 8/4/2023 @ 12:25 pmIt’s hard to believe that Biden did not know what his kid was doing. That’s like believing Trump honestly beleived the election was stolen from him.
What has not been proved was that Joe was profiting.
Appalled (03f53c) — 8/4/2023 @ 12:34 pm@266
That’s why it’s important for Congress to begin impeachment hearings.
We only have of the picture based on correspondences:
Ten percent of what?
Half of what?
whembly (5f7596) — 8/4/2023 @ 1:12 pmThe fact that Joe Biden had knowledge of some of Hunter’s business partners is a long way from being actively involved in the actual business dealings…and the Tucker interview did not bring out any information about that. And then there’s a much bigger jump to then show Joe Biden illegally profited from Hunter’s dealings. Again, I think Joe should have known what Hunter was up to….as VP then as a prospective Presidential candidate…someone on his campaign side should have been on Hunter detail. I remain unconvinced that especially at this stage of life and his career, that Joe Biden would risk everything…including his legacy….to shake down people for a few million….when he’s already a millionaire. If he’s supposedly done this his entire 50 years, are we to believe that he’s so smart that he’s left no evidence of clear corruption until now? He’s has to be both brain dead and gaffe machine and a master criminal. Trump’s had a history of grifts and questionable actions…he’s always had a sketchy side to his business and personal affairs. Nothing being alleged is outside his character sketch. Everything seems like a bit of a reach for Biden. many of the Republicans whipping this horse can’t bring themselves to see anything wrong with anything that Trump does. If you’re lying to me using false equivalencies and bad legal analysis, how can I trust you aren’t lying to me about supposedly connecting dots on Biden. This is a big problem for me right now…they’ve burned any sort of benefit of the doubt…
AJ_Liberty (5f05c3) — 8/4/2023 @ 1:33 pmNot with Trump hanging around, Whembly. Also, this is better for hearings (you know, ones not featuring Hunter Biden’ nekkid flix) rather than go straight for impeachment for what is still an allegation.
Appalled (a63ae8) — 8/4/2023 @ 1:33 pm269
Apologies for a misread of your comment, Whembly. I believe the H Biden matter needs investigation that is far more credible than what we have seen and I have no faith the House GOP cares to deliver that, because an actual investigation would shut down all the fun speculations they have been doing.
Appalled (a63ae8) — 8/4/2023 @ 1:38 pmIf he’s supposedly done this his entire 50 years, are we to believe that he’s so smart that he’s left no evidence of clear corruption until now?
Who’s naive now, Kate?
This kind of thing may be so rampant that only people who rock the boat get smacked, and Biden is not a huge boat-rocker. Then again, you may believe in “good government” more than I do. Chicago has always been crooked, but the city worked until the honest ideologues took over.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 2:23 pm* Kay. Old man brain fart.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 2:23 pmHe’s has to be both brain dead and gaffe machine and a master criminal.
It’s possible that this is just elder abuse. Hunter may just be working the defenseless old man.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 2:25 pmBut, AJ, I get it that your argument is that attention should be on Trump. It’s just that his opponents create all these stupid distractions. Even GOP candidates prattle on about policy and reform when they should ALSO be focused only on Trump and his crimes.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 2:27 pmPlea deal for Trump:
All but one felony dismissed.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 2:54 pmServes a term of 10 years home confinement.
Cannot hold public office during the confinement term.
Cannot hold public office during the confinement term.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 2:54 pm
That sounds unconstitutional to me, but IANAL.
norcal (dc1a5d) — 8/4/2023 @ 3:08 pmUhhhhh…… Not Gonna Happen:
Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 8/4/2023 @ 3:32 pmI didn’t deny anything, Rob. Biden said that he threatened to withhold loan guarantees (and such withholding is not illegal) unless-until the corrupt Chief Prosecutor was sacked (urging a foreign power to clean house, like what you need to with this sad-sack Republican Party, is also not illegal).
Do you understand what Biden said, exactly? Because it seems that you don’t, because what he did was Diplomacy 101, using a bit of financial leverage to move a country to make the right decision.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/4/2023 @ 6:57 pmFrom that video snippet, whembly, Archer said that Biden was “aware” of Hunter’s business dealings. Biden surely lied when he said earlier that he didn’t know what his son’s business affairs were, but being “aware” of Hunter’s dealings is not illegal. And like I mentioned previously, Hunter is not off the hook because he could well have run afoul of FARA.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:08 pmThanks again displaying your hyperpartisan brainlessness, Rob. What I’m doing is calling balls and strikes, and you’re the chucklehead in the dugout with the rally cap on, screaming that the belt-high fastball down the middle was really a ball.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/4/2023 @ 7:15 pmI’m sure everyone else has read it by now, but David Brooks (not usually a fan) has an extremely insightful column about Trumpism: What if We’re the Bad Guys Here? (free NYT link)
Is it any wonder that the middle and working classes are receptive to Trump’s message that they are getting screwed? Because they are.
Brooks ideas here aren’t all that new. Charles Murray pointed out much the same thing in early 2016 in his classic “Trump’s America” explanation.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:48 pmSorry about the repeat burp. I miss the preview.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 9:50 pmAllahnick has a bit today about televising Trump’s trial. He seems to focus on what the utility would be on a help/harm Trump axis. I think that’s wrong. NOT televising it would allow the reality to be replaced by a constant stream of unrebuttable misinformation. As always, the best solution to liars is more speech, not less.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/4/2023 @ 10:52 pm@Kevin@281 I was talking with my parents the other night about how it was understandable that people voted for Trump the first time around. There’s a lot of anger in my generation and the millennials about economic factors that in part led to both occupy wall-street and Trump (my guess is probably it was underlying in black lives matter too, but I have no expertise in that area) and no outlet for it. Our congressmen don’t really care because all the money is from the wealthy and business interests and they think they can placate the masses by talking about benefits or religion. The Republicans yell about “social issues” while most people under 50 don’t give a flying fig at a rolling doughnut that gay people are existing publicly and the Dems want to yell about trans-rights and there are only 12 of them. It’s all a distraction in the hopes we won’t notice that so many of our jobs disappeared to China and our towns are falling apart and we will not be doing better than our parents did (or even own our own homes for many). It is the economy, stupid, but not the one that they were talking about and lowering income taxes on people who make 80 gazillion dollars at a company that mostly employs people outside the US doesn’t help us.
Nic (896fdf) — 8/4/2023 @ 11:08 pmTrump won’t take a plea deal (he would need to admit he was guilty which would destroy his reputation and image among his supporters) but his punishment will be a problem.
Rip Murdock (b0912e) — 8/5/2023 @ 6:19 amThat sounds unconstitutional to me, but IANAL.
He can always choose prison. It’s a deal: they can ban chewing gum if they have cause.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 6:26 amTrump won’t take a plea deal (he would need to admit he was guilty which would destroy his reputation and image among his supporters) but his punishment will be a problem.
Fine, then after he’s convicted, it can be imposed.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 6:26 amIt’s all a distraction in the hopes we won’t notice that so many of our jobs disappeared to China and our towns are falling apart and we will not be doing better than our parents did (or even own our own homes for many). It is the economy, stupid, but not the one that they were talking about and lowering income taxes on people who make 80 gazillion dollars at a company that mostly employs people outside the US doesn’t help us.
More. That whole meme about an educational elite that cripples the middle class is exacerbated by the costs of going to a elite private college for those middle-class kids who can make the cut. Starting life with wealthy parents is a heck of a lot better than starting with $100K in student loans.
As someone who actually made that transition (I was raised by wolves) many years ago, I am also concerned about the chances for a white middle-class first-in-family kid to get into one of those schools in the first place. The only thing they have to compete with are test scores and grades, and those are exactly the things that are being deprecated in admissions. So they go into the “not encouraged to apply” folder.
It’s not just that the educational elites look down on those without the proper accreditation, but the doors to higher learning aren’t as open and the costs are usually beyond their means. An engineering degree from CalTech is a bit more of a door opener than one from Cal State Dominguez Hills.
This should be no surprise — the idea of democracy is to level the playing field and the idea of elites is to prevent that. This is why I am, in principle, not opposed to bouts of Populism. It is a necessary corrective force when things get too uneven. Even though it is a blunt hammer, it only comes at a time when the elites have refused to see reason.
The real pity is not Donald Trump, but that someone better didn’t get in front of the parade.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 6:40 am“Is it any wonder that the middle and working classes are receptive to Trump’s message that they are getting screwed?”
Still, in the past 3 years, has Trump been on the trail flushing out a grand economic revitalization plan….or has he been predominantly talking about the 2020 election and how badly he’s been wronged?
I don’t think Trump’s continued popularity is driven by anything but personality and weird cultism. The devil is in the details of what he was actually able to achieve over his four years in office. The one signature piece of legislation…the tax cut…was largely authored by Paul Ryan and it principally cut corporate tax rates. So a lot of rich people benefited. We can argue trickle down but that’s generally anathema to the populist eat the rich gripe.
Certainly Trump was tough on immigration but his signature “wall” project shrunk in scale and scope as the term progressed. There was no art-of-the-deal magic that produced an end-product that one could proudly marvel at…or even applaud. Immigration…and its economic incentives…requires a comprehensive approach that Trump lacks the political skills to realize. This is an issue that requires leadership, consensus, and compromise. Trump doesn’t offer any of this. Walling off the country is not the solution.
What about trade deals? By rejecting TPP, did we accomplish much or only leave the door open to Chinese influence in the trans pacific? Is the new NAFTA demonstrably better than the old NAFTA? There are some protection carve outs where government picks some winners with there being some losers. The same goes for tariffs and trade wars. How many farmers were hurt and required bailing out? Most of populism’s knee jerk reactions are just poorly thought-through. It’s checkers played in a chess match.
Trump’s energy and regulatory policies are certainly preferable to Biden’s, but they differ little from what any Republican would advocate. We are no closer to using more nuclear power in our energy mix to buy us time for technological innovation. Does anyone really believe that our long-term solution is just more drilling? Should national policy be driven by naivety?
There is no magic way to return us to 1950 and our manufacturing dominance. There’s no way to uninvite China from the world economy. It’s a bad idea to have government involved in picking winners and losers. A bigger pie requires more trade partners and opening markets. The idea of walling off the country to competition is just another version of picking winners and losers. Government does not produce wealth…it either gets in the way or gets out of the way. Populism wants it to get in the way more.
So though Trumpism has some root in marketing and exploiting economic angst, the man himself doesn’t really have the intelligence and political skills to actually get anything done, let alone solved. This is just “Trump Steaks” or “Trump University” as national policy. Cynical marketing to satiate a narcissist’s need for attention is nothing that I can applaud. Those being grifted first need to understand the grift…
AJ_Liberty (604c13) — 8/5/2023 @ 6:49 amTamam, effendi! Tamam!
nk (1c9c4c) — 8/5/2023 @ 7:10 amI don’t think Trump’s continued popularity is driven by anything but personality and weird cultism.
AJ, you are still looking at this from your perspective.
1) The tax cut may have helped corporations, but taxes were raised on the upper-middle class (through SALT elimination, tightening other deductions and tiny changes in brackets. For those in the top bracket in California, their 2.8% rate cut was matched by eliminating a 13% tax deduction (worth 4.8% at the federal level). It was a 2% tax hike for every California billionaire.
OTOH, the giant increase in the standard deduction (from 12.7K to 24K for marrieds, half that for singles) helped everyone making under, oh, $70K and also got a marginal rate cut and didn’t much care about the SALT cap. It stopped taxation entirely on everyone on Social Security with no other taxable income.
2) No argument on immigration and Trump’s inability to solve it. But I would point out that the most brilliant plan would have died in the Senate, as have the last few, scuttled by bumper-sticker arguments dumber than Trump. Enforcement of the law to the letter is probably the only way to nudge the needle off “tilt.”
3) Trade deals. TPP was a sweetheart deal for corporations, particularly on copyright laws that have twice now reneged on anything going to the Public Domain. As for trade with China, Biden is, if anything, doubling down on Trump. Almost all of Trump’s tariffs are in place or increased. Relations are worse and worser, despite Hunter Biden’s efforts.
Tariffs need to be viewed as a sin tax. Don’t buy from China, capice? Again we get back to a conflict between “cheap goods for the affluent” and “jobs for the middle-class.” No lawyer, professor, doctor and damn few engineers lost a job to China. Their stock portfolios did well. Assembly workers took it in the shorts and they noticed.
4) Manufacturing is already coming back. If not to the US, then near-shoring to places where people immigrate from for lack of work. The transfer of IC manufacturing to Asia is in full reverse. Invest in Intel. THey are the only game in town for ICs in the USA and that will become more and more important.
I agree that governments should not pick winners and losers, even though the last, oh, 500 years have seen them do just that with regularity. It’s called “governing.” I much prefer unbiased rebates to buyers of socially-helpful products, but Biden’s EV and Solar rebates are stuffed with conditions and favorites. They penalize Tesla, for example, for not having union workers. This will hit Toyota and other non-union shops even after then have US-produced batteries.
You cannot blame Trump for stuff that has been going on since Elizabeth turned England’s trade policy over to the the Earl of Cumberland and the East Indies Company.
The people who were harmed Open Borders and the hollowing out of US manufacturing are still hurting, and might well react to Trump’s claim that “they” want him out of the way so “they” can continue the screw. Just because it is not hurting you does not mean they have no cause.
The real pity is not Donald Trump, but that someone better didn’t get in front of the parade.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 7:34 amShorter: By the time that Bill Clinton became president, both parties were pandering to the investing class pretty shamelessly. A rising tide is supposed to lift all boats, but with the rush to Asia a lot of domestic boats were left in drydock. The Obama-Romney match (which I look back now with some fondness) was to many the last straw. Ask yourself which of those two was even tangentially concerned with the plight of the middle and working classes (more welfare doesn’t count).
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 7:42 amTamam, effendi! Tamam!
Yet he managed to eat the entire Republican Party’s lunch. They did not have to let that happen. The Teas showed the way, but the GOP leadership conspired with Obama to suppress them.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 7:44 amIs it grift when someone correctly points out that you are being screwed? And by whom and why? Trump’s actual grift was pretending that he could fix it. But no one else cared to upset the donor class, so it was Trump or the status quo ante.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 7:46 amAs my link in post 285 suggests, the Secret Service may have a problem with that.
Let’s see if Trump is convicted before we engage in fantasies regarding his punishment. Assuming his convictions in any of his cases are upheld on appeal, he will probably avoid prison time as an elderly, first time, and non-violent offender with special security needs.
Rip Murdock (b0912e) — 8/5/2023 @ 8:06 amI would also expect that if a Democrat wins in 2024 his federal sentences would be commuted as an act of mercy.
Of course most of the Republican candidates have already said they would completely pardon Trump.
Rip Murdock (b0912e) — 8/5/2023 @ 8:10 amAs my link in post 285 suggests, the Secret Service may have a problem with that.
They can be his guards. In shifts. It may suck,but it’s better than chasing counterfeiters in Fairbanks. But, given a choice between the run of Mar-a-Lago or a Supermax, I’ll bet that Trump will accept some conditions.
“I am altering the deal. Pray I don’t alter it any further.”
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 9:24 am— D. Vader
Of course most of the Republican candidates have already said they would completely pardon Trump.
Except for Ratsaswarmy, none have said that. They have mostly said no, or been non-committal.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 9:29 amHow bad is Trump’s corruption for the GOP?
Let’s look at two historically “corrupt” GOP presidents: Grant and Harding.
Grant: The GOP won every election between 1868 and 1908, except for the two that Grover Cleveland won. 9-2
Harding: Harding won election with a 26% margin. Coolidge won 25% up and even Hoover had a 17% edge. Then, of course the crash of ’29 where Hoover lost re-election by about 18%. But that was not Harding’s fault.
Grant is on the $50 bill, a status Trump will never achieve unless they start printing the $3 one.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 9:45 amKevin, do you believe that “Trump University” was a grift? Do you think that Trump raising $250B after the election to fight “the stolen election” was a grift? Much of Trump’s signature casino businesses are built on the false allure of easy money. Using his resort sites for business and charging the secret service to stay there is a grift. Grifters grift. Hopefully that much is not in question.
Now are there Americans in economic duress? Are there roots in globalization and immigration? Certainly and I’m sure that every politician alive acknowledges this. The Left advocates for more government subsidies, training programs, and trade protectionism; the Right typically looks at economic growth spurred by lower tax rates, less regulation, and more opportunities for trade. As with anything, circumstances may dictate what blend is best. For example, I strongly endorse the government helping to expand advanced IC fab facilities in this country…for both supply chain immunity and national security goals. I also have no problem with government seeding development of technologies when the market fails to do so (say with advanced batteries for electric cars or power system energy storage), though this can be risky without clear industrial buy-in and potential marketable products. That is, not all public investment is bad, though history shows much can be.
With Trump, he took a truism and aggressive marketed simplistic solutions: a wall, scrapping trade agreements, tariffs, and guaranteeing the biggest and best tax cut…along with providing the best health care system, cutting the deficit in an unbelievably short time, and curing cancer if he put his big brain on it. So a lot of what politicians do with the added flair of a prolific marketer. Targeting the angst of the middle class is smart politics but the rubber hits the road with the proposed solutions. Populist solutions seems too simplistic because they generally are. Did Trump run for President because he really wanted to solve these problems or because he saw it as a way to promote his brand and create a cult of personality worship? You know where I stand. I think everything, including pushing the envelope with trying to ban Muslims from entering the country, was designed to enable the largest ever political grifts. His inability to even try to push for legislation beyond the tax cut plan shows not just his lack of skill, but I think his lack of actually caring that much about the immigration problem.
So I look at Trump as getting into politics no because he genuinely wanted to Make America Great Again, but because he saw an opportunity and saw a market for drama and simple solutions that he can sell. Grifting? Yeah I kinda think it is.
AJ_Liberty (5f05c3) — 8/5/2023 @ 9:59 amwhoops $250M
AJ_Liberty (5f05c3) — 8/5/2023 @ 10:10 amTrump was the status quo ante, he just yelled louder about stuff people wanted to hear.
Europe and Canada have mostly done a better job of balancing the world economy with national needs while we have basically ended up deeper and deeper in a Vimes Boot Theory cycle.
Nic (896fdf) — 8/5/2023 @ 1:24 pmKevin, do you believe that “Trump University” was a grift?
Dear God, but can you not understand that the attraction to Trump was not because of his grift but IN SPITE OF IT? He was the only person actually listening to the vast center of this country that was increasingly disaffected. Populism is not an aberration, it’s a normal reaction to elites that do not do their &@^%ing job.
PLease stop talking about “Trump and his grift” when that wasn’t part of the deal. Of course he’s a grifter, and a stupid one a that. But so is Joe Biden. He’s just not venal, his grift is different (e.g. “Romney’s gonna put you back in chains”). His son is though.
This has no relation to the popular support he gets.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 1:35 pmNow are there Americans in economic duress? Are there roots in globalization and immigration? Certainly and I’m sure that every politician alive acknowledges this
Biden has co-opted every last trade policy that Trump proposed. Go take a look at his last SotU speech.
Kevin M (ed969f) — 8/5/2023 @ 1:36 pmElection Interference Indictment: This is Why Most Republican Politicians Back Trump
It’s where their voters are.
Rip Murdock (af637b) — 8/5/2023 @ 3:02 pmPaul Montagu — 8/1/2023 @ 8:58 pm
The context in which Pence quoted Trump as saying to him “you’re too honest” was in supporting some claim(s) Trump wanted to make in a lawsuit. Pence was against making some claim.
Trump by the way, just deied ever saying that to Pence (naturally)
Pence didn’t use that quote until the indictment (beyond putting it in his book) precisely because it is obvious he wasn’t being generally honest withthe public. But them Trump didn’t say Pence was honest, but just more honest that he wanted him to be
Sammy Finkelman (598e7c) — 8/6/2023 @ 12:29 pmNikki Haley has said, in regard to the documents case, that she’d be inclined to pardon Donald Trump, but only after a conviction.
Sammy Finkelman (598e7c) — 8/6/2023 @ 12:32 pmYou’re parsing, Sammy. Again.
Paul Montagu (d52d7d) — 8/6/2023 @ 12:48 pmOne, the “you’re too honest” comment wouldn’t have been in the indictment without corroboration.
Two, preceding “you’re too honest” was this: “The Vice President responded that he thought there was no constitutional basis for such authority and that it was improper.” Trump didn’t say “you’re wrong” or “I disagree”, he said “you’re too honest”, the implication being that Trump wasn’t honest, i.e., was lying to get what he wanted.
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2022/nov/09/trump-pence-honest-jan-6-capitol-attack-lincoln-project-book
Sammy Finkelman (598e7c) — 8/6/2023 @ 12:55 pmTrump actually offered no opinion as to whether the legal claim had merit — only that Pence should not let a lack of belief in the legal claim stop him from asking a court to agree,
Sammy Finkelman (598e7c) — 8/6/2023 @ 12:59 pmBuDuh to Appalled 8/4/2023 @ 7:12 am
There is little reason to doubt that Hunter intended his Chinese associates in 2017 to believe that his father would be getting 10% of the money sent to his company, but there is good reason to doubt it was true.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/10/2023 @ 2:32 pm267. whembly (5f7596) — 8/4/2023 @ 1:12 pm
Of whatever CEFC was going to pay Hunter and his partners.
Half of Hunter Biden’s salary, probably 25 years before, as means of Hunter paying back what his father had advanced him (best guess)
This was in response to his daughter Naomi who had asked him for money at the beginning of 2019. He said he wouldn’t ask for half her salary like “Pops” had done.
Hunter also said he’d been supporting his family for 30 years.
Sammy Finkelman (1d215a) — 8/10/2023 @ 3:31 pm