Patterico's Pontifications

Raffensparger (the guy who did recorded the infamous phone call ) will probably get to the runoff. He will not win outright. We’ll see how that works out and whether Trump holds rallies for him.

Wonder if Mo Brooks wins in Alabama. That might be an even better rebuke to Mr Angry Orange.

Appalled (fd0d53) — 5/24/2022 @ 9:00 am

Fewer and fewer people seem to have time for #StolenElection!!1!”. Maybe inflation and shortages are political liabilities, after all.

nk (aa7b70) — 5/24/2022 @ 9:17 am

Perdue will beat spread but stil lose.

urbanleftbehind (8b3fdf) — 5/24/2022 @ 10:20 am

That may have been the plan, or it may not have been. Still, defeating the Trumpie is reason enough. This is why I remain in the GOP — it’s the only way to vote against all these people.

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/24/2022 @ 10:39 am

@2: hopefully so few that people are embarrassed to mention it.

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/24/2022 @ 10:40 am

We’ll see how that works out and whether Trump holds rallies for him.

The Raffensparger/Walker dynamic will also be interesting. I don’t think that either of them can distance himself from the other, as both need every vote they can get.

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/24/2022 @ 10:42 am

Tangential but….CAT FIGHT!

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/former-trump-staffers-kellyanne-conway-163857119.html

urbanleftbehind (8b3fdf) — 5/24/2022 @ 10:47 am

If GA state elections were like Chicago and LA City elections (all parties primary), Kemp would clear 50% and not need to be in a runoff round, I think a lot of the “ATL” are sick of or put off by Abrams, but won’t say it out loud.

urbanleftbehind (8b3fdf) — 5/24/2022 @ 10:50 am

If GA state elections were like Chicago and LA City elections (all parties primary), Kemp would clear 50% and not need to be in a runoff round…..

Under GA election law, if Kemp receives less than 50% of the vote, there will be a runoff. However, the RCP average is Kemp +19.4, so that is unlikely.

A Fox News poll released last week showed Kemp leading Perdue 60%-28%. If neither candidate receives 50% of the vote, the race will go to a runoff election in June.

Source

Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:03 am

Still, defeating the Trumpie is reason enough.

Remember your Crash Davis; batting .333 gets you into Yankee Stadium. It’s Trump’s party. And American Populism is rooting deeper and deeper, thanks to good’ol-inflation-driving-not-18-wheeler-driver-Irish $8.00-a-can-for-Ralph’s-coffee-Joe. He’s the POTUS, not The Donald. But ‘Mister Donald the Trump’ welcomes the attention for sure. 😉

DCSCA (cc071a) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:05 am

Rip, I think ULB was suggesting that Raffensberger would get over 50% of a jungle primary, beating everyone including Abrams.

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:11 am

Being against Biden doesn’t mean you’re for Trump. Not even if they both get their nominations in 2024 (although neither will).

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:12 am

Kemp, but you are correct otherwise Kevin.

urbanleftbehind (8b3fdf) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:12 am

Gasoline pushing $5.00/gallon, the cost of everything is going up, the value of everyone’s 401K is dropping day by day, we have a president with dementia, and vice president who is an imbecile. But hey no mean tweets!!! Thank you Never Trump, who have our gratitude.

Eric (e057f2) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:21 am

Kemp, but you are correct otherwise Kevin.

Sorry, my bad.

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:30 am

DCSCA,

It’s a populist party now — it may be moving away from being a Trump
Party. I am curious how Georgia works out. Perdue ran a terrible campaign. About his only argument was “stolen election” and that hasn’t been enough. He’s gonna lose without the need of a runoff. The interesting thing is how the Secretary of State race works out. Raffensparger will not avoid a runoff and I think he’s doomed after that. If he escapes the wrath of Don, though, that’s something.

Then there is Mo Brooks in Alabama. If he wins, that is a huge rebuke to the Donald.

Political power relies so much on perception. If Trump starts looking like a loser, then maybe 2024 isn’t the sure thing it looked like at the beginning of the year.

Appalled (434feb) — 5/24/2022 @ 12:28 pm

@16. Check his batting average. The only thing that’ll bench him is time.

Or three scoops of Dolly Madison vanilla heaped on German chocolate cake. 😉

It’s his party.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UB33p5Ru_Ic

“Swing for the fences.” – Donald Trump

DCSCA (cc071a) — 5/24/2022 @ 12:42 pm

#17

And I remember the inevitability of Hillary Clinton — twice.

Appalled (1a17de) — 5/24/2022 @ 12:49 pm

@14. Just got gas half an hour ago before the holiday price bump. Gas prices at the closest local station to home: $6.33/gal for regular; $6.53/gal., for premium and $6.63/gal., for hi-test. Diesel is soaring as well- which only adds to the costs of goods trucked to stores. The same can of coffee that was priced $5.99 at the end of April is $8.00 today.

Joe’s gone ‘asiatic’- talks up his green wind and solar future. Sink the nukes, eh, Joey; howzabout floating your plans for solar-powered submarines and a 21st century square-rigger navy, Joey.
_____

BREAKING: Mass shooting at Texas elementary school; multiple fatalities.

DCSCA (cc071a) — 5/24/2022 @ 12:53 pm

More voter fraud arrests! Three republicans in seminole county Fla. including party officials arrested for vote fraud.

asset (1009d6) — 5/24/2022 @ 12:56 pm

@18. She did get the larger popular vote. Thank the EC for sinking that old “dread-not.”

Don’t underestimate feminism rage, especially w/ R vs. W in play; they’re setting Kamala up for the dump. Won’t be surprised if a Biden/Clinton 2024 ticket is floated. Given Joe’s age/health issues, if he survives to 2024, she’d take the #2 spot out of ambition and opportunity– and waltz into the Oval if he retires or croaks in office without ever having to run in primaries or raise a POTUS run funds. and if the ticket loses, it’ll all be on Joe; people vote for the top of the ticket.

DCSCA (cc071a) — 5/24/2022 @ 1:04 pm

5 GOP candidates in Michigan ineligible after fraud, election office says
…….
Those the elections bureau said were ineligible include former Detroit police chief James Craig and businessman Perry Johnson, who have been considered the leading candidates for the GOP nomination for Michigan governor. Others were Donna Brandenburg, Michael Brown and Michael Markey.
……
State investigators identified 36 people who circulated petitions “who submitted fraudulent petition sheets consisting entirely of invalid signatures,” according to an elections bureau report published Monday night.

“In total, the Bureau estimates that these circulators submitted at least 68,000 invalid signatures submitted across 10 sets of nominating petitions,” the report stated. “In several instances, the number of invalid signatures submitted by these circulators was the reason a candidate had an insufficient number of valid signatures.”

The gubernatorial candidates were required to collect at least 15,000 valid signatures to appear on the ballot. According to the elections bureau, Craig’s campaign submitted 11,113 invalid signatures and only 10,192 “facially valid” ones, while Johnson’s campaign submitted 9,393 invalid signatures and 13,800 facially valid ones, leaving both below the required threshold.

The bureau’s investigation also found that Brandenburg’s campaign submitted 11,144 invalid signatures and 6,634 facially valid ones; Brown’s campaign submitted 13,809 invalid signatures and 7,091 facially valid ones; and Markey’s campaign submitted 17,374 invalid signatures and 4,430 facially valid ones.

The elections bureau noted that this level of fraud — both in the number of invalid signatures submitted and the number of campaigns affected — was unprecedented. Some of the fraudulent petition sheets tended to show “no evidence of normal wear,” or showed evidence of having been “round-tabled,” a practice in which each person in a group takes turns signing one line of a petition in an attempt to make the signatures appear authentic, the bureau said.
……..
The elections bureau said it did not have reason to believe specific candidates or campaigns were aware their petitions were being fraudulently circulated, but made their recommendations to disqualify five of them based on whether a candidate met the 15,000-signature threshold after invalid signatures were removed from their petitions.
……..

Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 5/24/2022 @ 1:54 pm

OT- BREAKiNG: FOX NEWS reports 14 STUDENTS & A Teacher DEAD in mass school shooting at Texas elementary school. Shooter dead; killed grandparent as well.

Another day of gun play in the good ol’USA.

DCSCA (cc071a) — 5/24/2022 @ 2:00 pm

Shooter was under 21, too. Why didn’t the law stop him?

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/24/2022 @ 2:30 pm

DCSCA never letting a tragedy go to waste without a snide comment.

Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 5/24/2022 @ 2:49 pm

@25. Pfft. Poor Rip: nothing snide about a statement of FACT.

Pray the victims RIP; Rip.

DCSCA (cc071a) — 5/24/2022 @ 2:52 pm

NRA ANNUAL MEETINGS & EXHIBITS IN HOUSTON, TX OVER MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND!

https://www.nraam.org/

Timing in life, is everything, Rip. Joe’s gonna do a Rob Burgundy teleprompter address to America tonight.

Comforting.

NRA finally admits taking money from 23 Russian-linked sources

https://americanindependent.com/nra-russian-funding-ron-wyden/

Oops, comrades.

DCSCA (cc071a) — 5/24/2022 @ 3:02 pm

Stacey Abrams wins Georgia Democratic primary for governor; GOP contest is too early to call, NBC News projects – CNBC.com

DCSCA (e9888c) — 5/24/2022 @ 5:02 pm

With 69% reporting, Kemp is holding steady at 72.7% versus Perdue’s 22.6%. With 67% reporting, Raffensperger is also maintaining his 51.1% over Jody Hice’s (Trump) 34.1%.

nk (05cdd9) — 5/24/2022 @ 7:29 pm

The Kemp family, BTW, is older than the State of Georgia, and I would also venture that modern-day Georgians have already had enough of New York carpetbaggers many of them also country club Republicans telling them how to run their elections.

nk (05cdd9) — 5/24/2022 @ 7:33 pm

And I should certainly hope that Stacey Abrams would win a race in which she ran unopposed.

nk (05cdd9) — 5/24/2022 @ 7:36 pm

Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 5/24/2022 @ 1:54 pm

LMFAOOOOOOO

what a scandal indeed

the only commenter here who admits to fraudulently signing petitions is Rip

JF (f25071) — 5/24/2022 @ 7:47 pm

trump’s batting avg would put him in cooperstown

nevertrump is the hot shot prospect (just ask him) that can’t get out of single A and keeps switching teams

JF (f25071) — 5/24/2022 @ 7:55 pm

I heard that he could hit a golf ball farther than any pro, too.

nk (729b82) — 5/24/2022 @ 8:00 pm

People said Obama could play in the NBA when he’d have struggled to play at an 0-24 D III school

steveg (dad4ff) — 5/24/2022 @ 8:04 pm

With 91% reporting, Kemp is at 73.2%. Herschel Walker is at 69%.

nk (729b82) — 5/24/2022 @ 8:34 pm

MTG is at 70.1%.

nk (729b82) — 5/24/2022 @ 8:37 pm

And here’s the real deal, comrades. Of all the “Friends Of Trump”, Perdue is the only one who was actually recruited by Trump to run against Kemp. All the others got Trump’s “endorsement” after they made their own decision to run.

Playing baseball gets you into Cooperstown. Not betting on the winners.

nk (729b82) — 5/24/2022 @ 8:48 pm

@38. Cooperstown is for the retired and the dead; the place for “players”… is Yankee Stadium.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UB33p5Ru_Ic

‘Swing for the fences.’

DCSCA (bd6bf7) — 5/24/2022 @ 8:54 pm

A big 50+ plus point Kemp blowout is larger of a margin than many were expecting, outperforming by polls by at least 20 percentage points. But even more so is Raffensperger winning outright, and avoiding a runoff. No polling captured that. Really sucks that MTG won handily, but her district is uber red and super MAGA, so it’s not really surprising.

HCI (10b869) — 5/24/2022 @ 11:13 pm

Oh, somewhere in this favoured land the sun is shining bright,
The band is playing somewhere, and somewhere hearts are light;
And somewhere men are laughing, and somewhere children shout,
But there is no joy in Mudville — mighty MAGA has struck out.

nk (729b82) — 5/25/2022 @ 4:46 am

In the important Georgia ballgame, the Trump team went 0-for 3. Even old Raffy who beaned Trump In the 2020 World Series (according to Trump) struck him out on a 3-2 count. They say Trump blew it by swinging at everything wide and outside.

That worked out well. Now if the Braves could start winning some ballgames.

Appalled (259543) — 5/25/2022 @ 5:10 am

LMFAOOOOOOO

what a scandal indeed

the only commenter here who admits to fraudulently signing petitions is Rip

JF (f25071) — 5/24/2022 @ 7:47 pm

Don’t believe everything you read on the Internet, especially on forums where posters use pseudonyms.

Rip Murdock (0bbf4f) — 5/25/2022 @ 5:29 am

Obama wasn’t good enough for high school hoops, throwing bricks like an Antifa “protester”. An embarrassment to all us lefties.

Paul Montagu (5de684) — 5/25/2022 @ 5:35 am

BTW, Raffensperger, the guy who did it right by ordering a manual recount and audit/canvas days after the November 2020 election and who stood up to a bully president trying to steal an election, got 52% of the vote and is the GOP nominee for GA SecState. He should sail to easy win in the general.

Paul Montagu (5de684) — 5/25/2022 @ 5:40 am

They sound like lightweights, honestly. They should have known that challenging nominating petitions is the most common tactic used to knock opponents off the ballot, and one bad signature invalidates all the signatures on that page (10 in Illinois local elections). It’s how Obama won his first election.

nk (729b82) — 5/25/2022 @ 5:44 am

James Craig down….massa coming for Richard Irvin next!

urbanleftbehind (8102d1) — 5/25/2022 @ 5:54 am

At least MTG through a bone (mental illness, meds) about the shooting relative to many in her party, this BTN girl might just Thatcherize before our very eyes.

urbanleftbehind (8102d1) — 5/25/2022 @ 6:08 am

Kemp was expected to win by something like 20 percentage points — and they weren’t sure.

Instead, Brian Kemp resoundingly defeated Davis Perdue by over 50 percentage points, about 74% to 22%

According to the New York Times results, as of 4:10 am EDT:

Brian Kemp 879,397 73.7%
David Perdue 260,170 21.8%
Kandiss Taylor 40,920 3.4%

Total reported 1,193,361

Sammy Finkelman (b434ee) — 5/25/2022 @ 6:22 am

Herschel Walker never heard Trump say that the election was stolen. And he graduated as class valedictorian, at the top 1% of his class, from the University of Georgia despite having dropped out at the end of his junior year.

Those Trumpers are amazing! They’ll lie right to your face and keep on lying.

nk (729b82) — 5/25/2022 @ 6:30 am

Anybody want to start a pool on when Trump comes out and says “I never said the election was stolen”?

nk (729b82) — 5/25/2022 @ 6:32 am

Pardon for me not having an NYT ‘scription, but do the total votes/votes for Abrams appear in their results section and could you post them…I just want to see if she has than about 460,000, lower than that would mean Kemp would have an outright single-round primary win.

urbanleftbehind (8102d1) — 5/25/2022 @ 6:36 am

I don’t see them anywhere I went to with Google, either, urbanleftbehind. I guess it’s a secret.

nk (729b82) — 5/25/2022 @ 6:53 am

Okay! 708,559 according to the Georgia Secretary of State.

nk (729b82) — 5/25/2022 @ 6:59 am

Thank you sir, saw that on the NBC news site as well

urbanleftbehind (8102d1) — 5/25/2022 @ 7:17 am

I just want to see if (Abrams) has than about 460,000, lower than that would mean Kemp would have an outright single-round primary win.

Since Georgia has an open primary, there are reports that Democrats voted for Kemp (safe in the knowledge Abrams would win) to stick it to The Donald.

Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 5/25/2022 @ 9:01 am

56, in Illinois people do the same, but is there party registration prior to ballot taking, or is open declaration at the registrars table on Election day as with Illinois?

On the real, that tactic probably accounted for Raffensburger avoiding the runoff.

urbanleftbehind (8102d1) — 5/25/2022 @ 9:45 am

On the real, that tactic probably accounted for Raffensburger avoiding the runoff.

That’s what GP believes.

Rip Murdock (d2a2a8) — 5/25/2022 @ 10:14 am

@40. Pfft. Fantasy baseball is just that.

Reality check:

Republican candidates that received endorsements from former President Donald Trump have dominated in their state’s primary elections as they vie for a coveted spot in Congress against their democratic opponents. Since May 18, 96 percent of Trump-endorsed candidates won their primaries, Fox News reports.

https://thepostmillennial.com/trump-endorsed-candidates-win-primary-races-nationwide

DCSCA (1a7366) — 5/25/2022 @ 10:23 am

56 & 57. That’s fine.

“Trump’s endorsement makes Democrats cross party lines to vote for your opponent.”

Say it out and say it loud.

nk (09b0ae) — 5/25/2022 @ 10:53 am

55-57:

So people who were really Democrats voted for Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensperger for election integrity reasons, but voted for Herschel Walker, where that didn’t matter, to get a weaker opponent for Rafael Warnock? Or they found him better?

Sammy Finkelman (02a146) — 5/25/2022 @ 2:40 pm

#60

Walker did not have serious opposition. For myself, I didn’t vote for anyone in the primary.

Appalled (0ac0f9) — 5/25/2022 @ 5:03 pm

That worked out well. Now if the Braves could start winning some ballgames.

Freddie is gone. The Dodgers are doing well now, thank you.

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/25/2022 @ 7:39 pm

The guy who is going to get the NM GOP nomination for Senate has been dismissive of Trump in the past, although I expect he’ll simply avoid the topic now. Trump was kinda toxic here.

Kevin M (eeb9e9) — 5/25/2022 @ 7:42 pm

5/24/2022

It’s Kemp Buries Perdue Day

64 Responses to “It’s Kemp Buries Perdue Day”

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