Patterico's Pontifications

10/6/2010

Poll: Coons 53%, O’Donnell 36%

Filed under: General — Patterico @ 10:01 pm



Here is the key quote:

Republican Senate candidate Christine O’Donnell is actually better known to Delaware’s likely voters than Democrat Chris Coons: 93% say they have heard of Coons, while 97% say they have heard of O’Donnell. Nonetheless, according to the most recent poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind, Coons leads O’Donnell 53%-36% in the special election…

Democrats have largely united behind Coons: 85% say that they will vote for their party’s nominee. However, only 68% of Republicans say that they will vote for O’Donnell. Independents lean to Coons by 46% to 37%.

Allahpundit says not to despair; she has lots of cash to spend and there is a debate coming up, so things could change. Also, at least some of the Republicans sitting on the fence will vote for her. I’d bet money she does better than this poll suggests. But the extremely high name recognition is not a good sign for her.

25 Responses to “Poll: Coons 53%, O’Donnell 36%”

  1. Maybe she can buy the votes she needs, The Chicago Way!

    daleyrocks (940075)

  2. I wonder how much of this is reverse-Bradley effect (people not wanting to admit to pollsters they are voting for the “dumb” candidate)?

    Kevin M (298030)

  3. I wonder how much of this is reverse-Bradley effect (people not wanting to admit to pollsters they are voting for the “dumb” candidate)?

    When you start discussing the Bradley effect for a candidate, it is over for that candidate.

    eva3071 (84db6c)

  4. This is a state that WILLINGLY voted Biden for decades why are we expecting it to go hard red?

    Hawkins (1fc204)

  5. “This is a state that WILLINGLY voted Biden for decades why are we expecting it to go hard red?”

    Specifically, a state that picked Biden over her.

    imdw (a544ba)

  6. Coons’ ads are all over the airwaves; O’donnell has been MIA since the primary. whoever is running her campaign is an idiot. She needs to emphasize Coons’ left-wing views and tie Coons to Reid and Obama but is not doing so. Helluva way to run a campaign.

    Maybe she is a DNC plant?

    Delaware Voter (9b1993)

  7. What a surprise. She basically has the rabid right votes she won in the primary plus a handful of Castle voters who can’t bring themselves to vote for a Democrat. She loses everybody else.

    And not that the rabid right will every listen, but in most races, and especially in states like Delaware, neither party can win a general election without winning a majority of the so-called moderates… and that doesn’t happen when you nominate someone who is not only hardline but a flake as well. A candidate could survive one, but not both.

    steve (369bc6)

  8. So, she’s basically where she was two weeks ago, the polls have been basically stagnant, if Castle
    had done a third party run, he might have siphoned
    more more of Coons vote, but is more important to
    keep the Delaware GOP impotent. There has been virtually no growth in 6 years

    ian cormac (6709ab)

  9. Yes, we’ve proven they will vote for an absolute idiot, who’s been wrong on every significant issue
    for the last 30 years, and he will be promoted to ‘two heartbeats’ away from the Presidency

    ian cormac (6709ab)

  10. 1. daleyhurlsstones

    “We make men without chests…and expect of them virtue and enterprise. We laugh at honor and are shocked to find traitors in our midst. We castrate and then bid the geldings to be fruitful.”
    – C. S. Lewis*

    Mouthing words like “honor”, “honesty”, and “integrity” and then proceeding with the politics of sabotage is an evident travesty, and ultimately self-destructive.

    What goes around comes around.

    *quote lifted from Geoff at Ace O’ Spades

    gary gulrud (790d43)

  11. whoever is running her campaign is an idiot

    One sign of a good manager is the ability to hire competent employees. O’Donnell hired her campaign manager.

    Some chump (4c6c0c)

  12. Her manager is Moran, who worked on Hoffman’s insurgent campaign, last year.

    ian cormac (6709ab)

  13. Malkin is reporting Castle was a sponsor in the House of TARP2 which just slipped quietly thru Leahy’s committee into Law before adjournment.

    Christie’s Waterloo?

    gary gulrud (790d43)

  14. 6.Coons’ ads are all over the airwaves; O’donnell has been MIA since the primary. whoever is running her campaign is an idiot.

    Or if she wins, a freaking genius.

    I haven’t seen any of Coon’s ads (coon!) ROTFLMAO, hes a raaaaaacccissst! Imagine if he was a republican with that name.

    But I imagine like the rest of the dumbocrats, he’s full on pretending to be a conservative. Nov. 5th that posing won’t be seen for another 5 years and 8 months.

    The Odonnell money probably won’t be unleashed until the final two weeks.

    Jimmah (f2564c)

  15. That’s a problem because of early voting, I’m sure she’ll be doling out slowly over the month

    ian cormac (6709ab)

  16. Like Rush said, why are they spending so much $ to help Coons? COD is defined as a non-factor with polls steady at (D)16-17+.

    Vermont Neighbor (a30317)

  17. Short memories, anyone? No thank you. I already have one.

    Scott Brown (R-MA) spanked the “shoe-in” Dem loser in bluest of blue Massachusetts after being written off. The political paradigm has shifted. Don’t dismiss how patently offensive the Obama “Fundamental Transformation” (i.e. post-Constitutional social justice revolution) is to most Americans. Even Dem drones are experiencing a re-awakening and are having buyer’s remorse after all the swooning hoopla of 2008 has thankfully faded away.

    Reality sucks. And sending Harry Reid’s “favorite pet” Coons to the Senate to rubber stamp the Progressive’s all-out assault on America’s traditions may cause many-a-thoughtful-voter to pause.

    O’Donnell has her warts, but who doesn’t? At least Delawarian’s can be confident she won’t continue to paddle America down the sewer stream it’s on.

    Elect Coons, and they get a champion oarsman.

    We@ http:// heir2freedom.blogspot.com/

    heir2freedom (d9456e)

  18. #10, LOL. Well said/written.

    #13, but but he is a Republican and lesser of two evils? Let us keep rewarding them under the guise of the “bigger bogey man theory.”

    Frankly, the whole anti-O’Donnell argument by many Republicans reminds me of the same argument the Landed Aristocracy made to the peasants …. we suck but we protect you from far worse people so pay no heed to those crazy enlightenment thinkers who want you to get rid of us. Remember, we protect you versus those foreigners and those enlightenment guys can’t!

    Javert_is_alive! (4f78d0)

  19. O’Donnell has her warts

    thought we were past the witch thingy

    EricPWjohnson (5895a8)

  20. “O’Donnell has her warts” …

    That is an understatement.

    Javert_is_alive! (4f78d0)

  21. #7, dammit, steve, quit speaking truths. you know people don’t want to hear truths.

    Tully (62151d)

  22. Ah yes, we were reminded nearly two years ago, that
    we needed solutions, Obama was the only one who had them, qed, that was your pitch back then, right

    ian cormac (6709ab)

  23. The problem is that she is so far behind that even if she cut Coons’s lead by half…she would still be way behind. Anything is possible, but I think it is very unlikely that O’Donnell pulls this out.

    Terrye (eec529)

  24. Let me see if I got this right:
    The GOP expects Tea party voters whose candidates lost in the primaries to vote for the establishment Republican in the race.
    But Tea Party candidates who won their primaries can’t rely upon establishment Republicans to vote for their candidates in the general.

    Luthien (2f6891)

  25. that’s about the size of it, seeing the temper tantrums of Murkowski, Tom Ross turning blue, at the very sight of Christine, and some other examples

    ian cormac (6709ab)


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