Patterico's Pontifications

6/8/2010

June 8 Results: California Senate & Governor

Filed under: 2010 Election — DRJ @ 8:22 pm



[Guest post by DRJ]

This post will update election results for the California Republican and Democratic primaries for Governor and the Senate.

UPDATE: AP called the GOP Senate race for Carly Fiorina. Her opponent in November will be Senator Barbara Boxer.

AP called the GOP Governor’s race for Meg Whitman. She will face former Governor Jerry Brown.

Fox News is covering results here and ABC News is covering all the races here. In addition, here are the California Elections Division’s webpages for the Senate returns and the Governor’s race.

MORE: There are several Propositions on the California ballot. Aphrael discusses them in this post at The Jury, and updates the votes in the comments here at this post. My thanks to Aphrael.

— DRJ

45 Responses to “June 8 Results: California Senate & Governor”

  1. My comment went away. (Of course, it was to the other governor post. :))

    Governor and Senate are basically foregone conclusions.

    The interesting races are AG in both parties and Lt. Gov. in both parties. And Prop 16.

    (And the amusing race is the Republican Secretary of State race, where Orly Taitz is waging an insurgent campaign).

    aphrael (04e965)

  2. I’m sorry, aphrael. My goof. I mistakenly deleted the Governor’s post when I was trying to add something, so I combined the Senate and Governor’s posts.

    EDIT: On second thought, I’m not sure what happened. The Nevada post is messed up, too.

    DRJ (d43dcd)

  3. aphrael,

    Also, if there are other races that are more interesting, please update them in the comments. I’m not a Californian so I’m not up on the nuances of the races.

    DRJ (d43dcd)

  4. 8.29pm report, 8.6% reporting (mostly early absentees at this point):

    Governor – Dem

    Brown 310,524 83.6%
    six others total 61,017 16.4%

    Governor – Rep

    Whitman 246,990 65.0%
    Poizner 98,008 25.8%
    six others total 35,151 9.2%

    Lt. Gov – Dem

    Newsom 194,273 53.4%
    Hahn 125,673 34.6%
    Korevaar 43,879 12.0%

    Lt. Gov – Rep

    Maldonado 177,965 50.8%
    Aanestad 87,592 25.0%
    4 others total 84,974 24.2%

    Sec State – Dem – Bowen unopposed

    Sec State – Rep

    Dunn 238,247 74.2%
    Taitz 83,200 25.8%

    AG – Dem

    Harris 102,496 29.2%
    Kelly 64,178 18.3%
    Torrico 50,658 14.4%
    Lieu 48,826 13.8%
    3 Others total 85,924 24.3%

    AG – Rep

    Cooley 182,250 52.6%
    Eastman 102,087 29.5%
    Harman 62,200 17.9%

    Prop 14

    Y 512,932 60.4%
    N 337,076 39.6%

    Prop 15

    N 471,165 57.3%
    Y 351,492 42.7%

    Prop 16

    Y 438,611 51.7%
    N 409,986 48.3%

    Prop 17

    Y 466,695 54.8%
    N 385,992 45.2%

    aphrael (04e965)

  5. Dem AG is astonishing. Harris with the most at 30% and a widely scattered field below her.

    aphrael (04e965)

  6. I missed Senate. 8.34pm report. 8.7% reporting.

    Senate – Dem

    Boxer – 297,460 79.0%
    Quintana – 59,237 15.8%
    Kaus – 19,853 5.2%

    Senate – Rep

    Fiorina – 220,017 58.7%
    Campbell – 83,635 22.4%
    DeVore – 60,539 16.1%

    aphrael (04e965)

  7. FOX reports that Meg Whitman wins.

    Have Blue (854a6e)

  8. 65/25 with 9% reported, that’s probably a safe call.

    aphrael (04e965)

  9. Orly Taitz?? Heh. Why not throw a birther in the nuthouse of California politics.

    Dana (1e5ad4)

  10. Hey, 19,800 or so people in California read the same Web sites I do. Interesting. Not that I would have voted for him. I’m not a Democrat.

    Ag80 (1b8eea)

  11. Thanks, aphrael. I may not last much longer so I added a link to your post at The Jury in an Update, and I hope you and others can update the CA returns in these comments.

    DRJ (d43dcd)

  12. OK. I’ll be taking a break to drive home around 9.30, but i’ll resume after that.

    aphrael (04e965)

  13. Moonbeam Brown and Gavin Newsom? Good Allah. And Californians wonder why the state is in the mess that it is in?

    JD (de02cc)

  14. 8.59pm update, 10.3-10.6% reporting (it’s changing as I go down the list)

    One thing to bear in mind is that early absentees skew conservative so the normal pattern for California elections is for the results to get less conservative over the course of the night as returns come in.

    Also, this election may be prone to wide variance from region to region (Dem Lt. Gov and Dem AG will be prime examples of this) and so some races may not be safe to project until there’s a minimum report from all of the large counties.

    Governor (Dem)

    Brown – 359,420 83.1%
    Others – 73,157 16.9%

    Governor (rep)

    Whitman – 292,822 64.7%
    Poizner – 118,335 26.2%
    Others – 42,052 9.1%

    —————————-

    Senator (Dem)

    Boxer – 341,921 78.4%
    Quintana – 70,691 16.3%
    Kaus – 23,513 5.3%

    Senator (Rep)

    Fiorina – 259,979 58.4%
    Campbell – 99,599 22.4%
    DeVore – 72,851 16.4%
    Others – 12,845 2.8%

    ————————-

    Lt. Gov (Dem)

    Newsom – 246,797 54.6%
    Hahn – 15,1103 33.3%
    Korevaar – 54,812 12.1%

    Lt. Gov (Rep)

    Maldonado – 215,342 50.6%
    Aanestad – 106,600 25.1%
    Others – 103,701 24.3%

    ——————-

    AG (Dem)

    Harris – 133,478 30.5%
    Kelly – 79,597 18.2%
    Torrico – 62,129 14.2%
    Lieu – 57,968 13.2%
    Nava – 44,004 10.0%
    Others – 61,357 13.9%

    AG (Rep)

    Cooley – 219,822 52.3%
    Eastman – 124,513 29.6%
    Harman – 76,4009 18.1%

    —————

    Prop 14

    Y 626,024 60.1%
    N 415,907 39.9%

    Prop 15

    Y 434,804 43.0%
    N 574,831 57.0%

    Prop 16

    Y 535,535 51.5%
    N 504,422 48.5%

    Prop 17

    Y 566,520 54.3%
    N 477,816 45.7%

    ———-

    Big gains for Kelly and Nava (Dem AG). Props 16 and 17 are slowly losing strength; my guess is 17 passes and 16 fails.

    aphrael (04e965)

  15. 9.20pm report, 12.4-12.7% reporting. I’m going to be driving home after this so my next post will probably not be until 10.30. 🙂

    Note that Orange, Riverside, and Santa Clara Counties have submitted no reports at all yet, while San Francisco has only reported early absentees, San Diego is 13.3% reporting, and LA is 7.1% reporting.

    ———–

    Governor – Dem

    Brown 82.7%

    Governor – Rep

    Whitman 63.9%
    Poizner 26.4%

    Brown and Whitman have it wrapped up.

    ———-

    Senator – Dem

    Boxer 77.9%
    Quintana 16.5%
    Kaus 5.6%

    Senator – Rep

    Fiorina 57.9%
    Campbell 22.4%
    DeVore 16.8%

    Boxer and Fiorina have it wrapped up.

    ————

    Lt. Gov – Dem

    Newsom 53.0%
    Hahn 34.1%
    Korevaar 12.9%

    Lt. Gov – Rep

    Maldonado 48.9%
    Aanestad 26.2%

    These are both too close to call – we can’t count Hahn out until LA reports, and Maldonado’s lead has been slipping.

    ————–

    Sec. State – Dem – Bowen unopposed

    Sec. State – Rep

    Dunn 75.5%
    Taitz 24.5%

    Thankfully, this seems wrapped up.

    ————–

    AG – DEM

    Harris 29.3%
    Kelly 18.5%
    Torrico 14.7%
    Lieu 13.6%
    Nava 9.4%
    Delgadillo 7.6%
    Schmier 6.9%

    AG – Rep

    Cooley – 51.4%
    Eastman – 30.2%
    Harman – 18.4%

    Wow. No candidate in AG/DEM with more than 30%, and only one with more than 20%? Wild.

    ———-

    Prop 14

    Y 60.2%
    N 39.8%

    Prop 15

    Y 42.4%
    N 57.6%

    Prop 16

    Y 52.2%
    N 47.8%

    Big jump since last report, unfortunately.

    Prop 17

    Y 54.1%
    N 45.9%

    aphrael (04e965)

  16. if these fools reelect Governor Moonbeam again, it will serve them right, and be further proof the household needs to abandon our native state for somewhere sane, like Texas.

    redc1c4 (fb8750)

  17. 10.26pm, 20.2% reporting. Orange 5.9%, Riverside 43.9%, san Diego 14.2%, LA 12.6%, SF and Santa Clara still missing.

    ——–
    Governor – Dem

    Brown 578,594 82.5%

    Governor – Rep

    Whitman 498,765 64.3%
    Poizner 202,651 26.1%

    more Republicans voting than Democrats; some of that is early absentee skew, some of that is that the Dems had no really interesting primaries (outside of AG and LG, but who pays attention to those?). But this might be bad news for Dems in Nov.

    ——–
    Sen – Dem

    Boxer 550,044 77.6%
    Quintana 118,549 16.7%
    Kaus 40,562 5.7%

    Sen – Rep

    Fiorina 434,386 56.9%
    Campbell 170,749 22.4%
    DeVore 136,415 17.9%

    ————-

    SS – Dem

    Bowen unopposed

    SS – Rep

    Dunn 523,984 75.0%
    Taitz 174,897 25.0%

    I find it truly astonishing that 174,000 people would vote for Orly Taitz.

    ————–

    AG – Dem

    Harris 238,588 31.5%
    Kelly 135, 458 17.9%
    Torrico 113,557 15.0%
    Lieu 94,096 12.5%

    Nava, Delgadillo, and Schmier are below 10% each.

    AG – Rep

    Cooley 372,553 50.0%
    Eastman 229.727 30.9%
    Harman 143,673 19.2%

    note that in the post-prop-14 world, these results come close to having a general election with two Republican candidates.

    ———-

    Prop 14 Y 59.5% N 40.5%
    Prop 15 Y 43.3% N 56.7%
    Prop 16 Y 51.5% N 48.5%
    Prop 17 Y 53.5% N 46.5%

    Prop 16 is holding steady, which surprises me.

    aphrael (73ebe9)

  18. Redc14: the major party choices for governor are the man who more than any single living politician is responsible for the current broken budget system, and a woman who bought the primary election and whose platform seems to be the same as arnie’s only somehow magically her combination of business acumen and political inexperience will bring about better results than his combination of business acumen and political inexperience will.

    I’m almost certainly casting a protest vote for a third-party candidate in November.

    aphrael (73ebe9)

  19. Moonbeam Brown and Gavin Newsom? Good Allah. And Californians wonder why the state is in the mess that it is in?

    Moonbeam refused to perform his constitutional duty to defend the state constitution.

    the major party choices for governor are the man who more than any single living politician is responsible for the current broken budget system, and a woman who bought the primary election and whose platform seems to be the same as arnie’s only somehow magically her combination of business acumen and political inexperience will bring about better results than his combination of business acumen and political inexperience will.

    I voted for Douglas R. Hughes.

    Michael Ejercito (249c90)

  20. 11.01pm update, 33.3-35.8% reporting; SF basically fully reported, LA at 19.4%, Santa Clara at 24.5, Riverside at 43.9, Orange at 5.9, San Diego at 19.6.

    ——–

    Governor – Dem

    Brown 839,259 84.3%

    Governor – Rep

    Whitman 608,671 64.4%
    Poizner 246,234 26.1%

    ——-

    Senate – Dem

    Boxer 802,247 79.9%
    Quintana 150,557 15.0%
    Kaus 51,580 5.1%

    Senate – Rep

    Fiorina 510,415 55.1%
    Campbell 226,744 24.5%
    DeVore 163,160 17.6%

    This map is pretty funny: it’s the result of both (a) the fact that Campbell is a local boy and (b) the fact that Silicon Valley voters really dislike Fiorina.

    ———

    Lt. Governor – Dem

    Newsom 561,874 57.1%
    Hahn 308,265 31.2%
    Korevaar 115,527 11.7%

    Hahn’s lead over Newsom in LA County (with 20% reporting) is too small to change the outcome. Newsom has it wrapped up.

    Lt. Governor – Rep

    Maldonado 412,846 47.1%
    Aanestad 241,569 27.6%

    Maldonado has it wrapped up.

    —————-

    AG – Dem

    Harris 316,932 33.3%
    Kelly 163,705 17.2%
    Torrico 142,325 15.0%
    Lieu 111,718 11.8%

    Harris’ percentage took a big jump when SF reported (no surprise). The fact that she’s also leading in LA – albeit very, very narrowly, with Rocky Delgadillo coming in a close second there despite not breaking 8% statewide – means she probably has this in the bag. Still too close to call, but getting closer.

    AG – Rep

    Cooley 436,955 49.4%
    Eastman 279,505 31.6%
    Harman 168,524 19.0%

    ————-

    210,272 people have voted for Orly Taitz.

    ————-

    Prop 14

    Y 1,314,525 58.4%
    N 938,353 41.6%

    Prop 15
    Y 965,174 44.0%
    N 1,224,195 56.0%

    Prop 16
    Y 1,111,175 49.3%
    N 1,141,464 50.7%

    SF and Santa Clara Counties are strongly against this. It’s unclear whether that will be enough to carry the day.

    Prop 17

    Y 1,157,495 51.3%
    N 1,100,163 48.7%

    aphrael (73ebe9)

  21. i think i’ll go finish dinner, just so i have something to throw up….. California, my native and lifelong state of residence, is FUBAR.

    between the morons’s we’re sending to Sacto, and the idiots in DC, accompanied by the delusional “free stuff” proposition voting, and the final touch that has dishonest and corrupt judges killing off any reform props that manage to get through, we’re screwed.

    to my fellow residents, especially you fing tourists that brought your stupid East Coast BS with you, i hate you all. die please, quickly, but painfully.

    bastards.

    redc1c4 (fb8750)

  22. In this particular election I don’t see any ‘free stuff’ propositions …

    aphrael (73ebe9)

  23. You guys are so boned out there. Sorry.

    daleyrocks (1d0d98)

  24. Measure E in L.A. County will not win needed 2/3 majority (more taxes for schools). About 40% reporting and it’s up only 54-46.

    Ed from SFV (f0e1cb)

  25. Meanwhile, it looks like the silly measure to use taxpayer money to help the 49ers move to Santa Clara will be passing.

    Bah.

    aphrael (73ebe9)

  26. i’m waiting for the day they ask these idiots to approve a bond issue to build an NFL stadium here in LA….

    thank whatever you wish Prop E is failing…. like the LAUSD needs more money.

    redc1c4 (fb8750)

  27. In this particular election I don’t see any ‘free stuff’ propositions …

    i do:
    Prop14: pick a party and participate. this “independent” or “undecided” horsesh1t is just that. don’t like the party, get active and change it. can’t be bothered? here’s a nice big mug of STFU. sit back and watch the adults.

    Prop15: let’s get the government involved…. see Prop 14. Daddy or Mommy isn’;t going to make the scarey world go away: get up off your a55 and do something or STFU.

    Prop 17: WAAAAAHHHHHH… i didn’t keep my longevity discount when i switched….

    duh, dumbass… now, if you leave your current insurer because they are hosing you, or if they dumb you, you get punished for it. so much for shopping around.

    my truck hasn’t moved in over a year, but now i get jacked for not having insurance? bite me.

    Prop E here in LA “But it’s for the children….”

    redc1c4 (fb8750)

  28. the same as arnie’s only somehow magically her combination of business acumen and political inexperience will bring about better results than his combination of business acumen and political inexperience will.

    Schwarzenegger is a philosophical squish, but some of that has to be laid at the feet of all the idiotic voters of California. The ones who pushed him to the left several years ago when they happily defeated his ballot propositions. The majority of the electorate of the “Golden State” who believe liberal sentiments — particularly expressed at the ballot box — makes a person sophisticated, worldly, generous, humane and loving.

    It will be interesting if California ends up in a race to the bottom with places like Greece and Spain, or perhaps a cross between societies like Mexico and Venezuela. Wish ’em luck!

    Mark (411533)

  29. Last update before bed. 12.13 AM, 50.4-53.6% reporting.

    Governor – Dem:

    Brown 1,000,409 83.9%

    Governor – Rep

    Whitman 734,509 64.2%
    Poizner 303,207 26.5%

    —————

    Senator – Dem

    Boxer 961,103 79.9%
    Quintana 179,811 14.9%
    Kaus 63,380 5.2%

    Senator – Rep

    Fiorina 627,465 55.8%
    Campbell 262,639 23.4%
    DeVore 203,105 18.0%

    ————–

    Lt. Gov – Dem

    Newsom 668,209 55.3%
    Hahn 401,516 33.2%
    Korevaar 139,695 11.5%

    Lt. Gov – Rep

    Maldonado 492,143 45.2%
    Aanestad 316,697 29.1%

    ——————

    Orly Taitz has 257,103. That’s 26.2% of the votes for Secretary of State in the Republican primary.

    It’s also 9.3% of the total votes cast in the race wih the highest vote total.

    ——————

    AG – Dem

    Harris 386,746 32.9%
    Kelly 193,990 16.5%
    Torrico 172,875 14.7%
    Lieu 133,460 11.4%

    wild regional variation in this result

    AG – Rep

    Cooley 520,561 48.3%
    Eastman 353,984 32.8%
    Harman 204,769 18.9%

    ————–

    Prop 14

    Y 1,528,605 56.6%
    N 1,173,322 43.4%

    Only San Francisco County is opposed.

    Prop 15

    Y 1,137,103 43.2%
    N 1,492,256 56.8%

    Only the Bay Area seems to support it.

    Prop 16

    Y 1,320,067 48.8%
    N 1,384,380 51.2%

    Still too close to call. The margin in LA is very, very, very close, and that will probably decide it.

    Prop 17

    Y 1,375,638 49.9%
    N 1,380,991 50.1%

    See what I said up above about the numbers changing overnight? SF came in overwhelmingly against, Santa Clara somewhat against, and then a late surge from LA put it under 50%. Still too close to call.

    aphrael (73ebe9)

  30. er, tough deal for kaus. sad, he was a real hope for sanity in his party.

    Aaron Worthing (e7d72e)

  31. Kaus was never going to win. As I said in the other thread: for incumbents to lose in a primary is an incredibly rare occurrance which requires that the party grassroots be incredibly angry at the incumbent.

    In the end, Props 16 and 17 failed.

    aphrael (73ebe9)

  32. I agree regarding Whitman – they should nickname her Meg WhiteToast for her bland and completely uninspiring campaign memes. I wish other states would take a serious look at Christie and folks like Brown in MA – who would’ve thought that the bastions of unions and far – leftism would be leading the way for serious reform in their own states? Proves that if there’s hope in those regions, there can be hope anywhere.

    Dmac (3d61d9)

  33. Oh well, it would have been nice to see Boxer bounced from the senate. I just don’t see Fiorina knocking her off. The HP baggage will undermine her main argument of corporate competence. I wish her well, but have little confidence that she will win.

    Largebill (1d1579)

  34. As a California Democrat, I will point out one result that is being over-looked by the intense focus on the Republican side of the aisle:

    20% of Voting CA Democrats said — HELL NO TO BOXER!

    Mutnodjmet (f37485)

  35. Comment by Mutnodjmet — 6/9/2010 @ 10:27 am

    They can show the rest of us their dedication to that sentiment by voting for Carly in November.
    I’m not going to hold my breath.

    AD - RtR/OS! (f15c7c)

  36. Largebill,

    Sure, Fiorina is behind in the polls, but 7 points is something she can easily achieve. She won a pretty tough contest in her primary because she’s a good campaigner. I don’t think she was the most able to oust Boxer either, but she’s got a real shot and she’s a massive improvement over Boxer. This is bigger than Scott Brown vs Coakley.

    Her choice of narrative, ‘Failed Senator’, has the benefit of being true. Boxer will have no choice but to attack viciously.

    Dustin (b54cdc)

  37. Mutnodjmet, AD-Rtr/OS: while I voted against Sen. Boxer yesterday, and while I will almost certainly be voting for at least two Republicans in the general election because I dislike their Democratic opponents, I will be voting for Sen. Boxer in the fall … because Mrs. Fiorina is completely unacceptable to me.

    aphrael (e0cdc9)

  38. Aphrael, might I ask why you find Fiorina less acceptable than Boxer?

    The reasons that appeal to me against Fiorina are that her temperament has been terrible sometimes, but I think Boxer is quite a bit worse in this department.

    Is it some policy issue?

    Dustin (b54cdc)

  39. (As an aside, I will almost certainly be voting for Lt. Gov. Maldonado, because Mayor Newsom is a toxic slimeball who should be kept away from any sort of public office; and I will likely be voting for DA Cooley, because DA Harris’ office has been plagued with problems. I’m less certain about DA Cooley than I am about Lt. Gov. Maldonado because I know less about him).

    aphrael (e0cdc9)

  40. Dustin: i’m a software engineer who worked in the industry during her time at HP … when she broke up the company into parts, sold off a bunch of their core technologies, changed the company culture, ended their tradition of not laying people off, executed a poorly conceived merger with Compaq, pissed everyone off, and ended up being fired by the Board of Directors.

    I am basically unwilling to vote for her for anything. If she were running against Mayor Newsom and there were no third party candidates I wouldn’t vote.

    aphrael (e0cdc9)

  41. Fair enough, Aphrael. You are always very to the point and clear about this kind of thing.

    I think HP was in serious trouble and needed some drastic steps to get it back to sustainability (steps I note were continued after Fiorina’s behavior got her kicked off the board). In other words, I think HP has something in common with the US Government today. Perfect is the enemy of the good, and I think the changes in HP, as would be the overhaul of US Federal spending, would cause great pain but hopefully get the US Government looking more like HP post Fiorina (sustainable).

    But I’m not saying your reasons are wrong. Character matters.

    Dustin (b54cdc)

  42. Character is, incidentally, one of my problems with Mayor Newsom. If the way he handled the politics of gay marriage weren’t bad enough, and in addition to the fact that he’s been a mediocre mayor whose eye has always been elsewhere rather than on his job, the way that he very publically betrayed his best friend (by having an affair with his wife) was contemptible … and shows him to be a man with little to no ethics who is unworthy of the public, or any really, trust.

    aphrael (e0cdc9)

  43. aphrael…I think we’re caught between the proverbial rock and a hard place re AG.
    Harris sounds like she has severe management problems, yet Cooley is the guy who just couldn’t find it within himself to prosecute Cardinal Mahoney for Obstruction of Justice (if not worse).

    It is unfortunate that John Eastman didn’t get into campaign mode earlier – at least we would have the choice of someone with principles.

    AD - RtR/OS! (f15c7c)

  44. Newsome is really quite a scumbag – he’d be most welcome here in IL.

    Dmac (3d61d9)

  45. not quite on topic, but interesting… the dem nominee for senator in SC? apparently has an outstanding felony charge for sending porn to a college student. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/blogs/beltway-confidential/sc-democrat-senate-nominee-faces-felony-charge-95979754.html

    And, btw, that is the same guy who literally ran no campaign and beat his challenger.

    Aaron Worthing (e7d72e)


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