Patterico's Pontifications


The Politically Diverse Tea Party

Filed under: Obama,Politics — DRJ @ 9:27 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

New poll results show the media’s portrayal of Tea Party supporters as overwhelmingly Republican is a myth:

The national breakdown of the Tea Party composition is 57 percent Republican, 28 percent Independent and 13 percent Democratic, according to three national polls by the Winston Group, a Republican-leaning firm that conducted the surveys on behalf of an education advocacy group. Two-thirds of the group call themselves conservative, 26 are moderate and 8 percent say they are liberal.”

Overall, the poll shows that Tea Party supporters are united by financial issues:

The group is united around two issues – the economy/jobs and reducing the deficit. They believe that cutting spending is the key to job creation and favor tax cuts as the best way to stimulate the economy. That said 61 percent of Tea Party members believe infrastructure spending creates jobs. Moreover, given the choice Tea Party members favor 63-32 reducing unemployment to 5 percent over balancing the budget.”

… and this:

The group also vehemently dislikes President Barack Obama – even more so than those who called themselves Republicans in the survey. Over 80 percent of Tea Party members disapprove of the job he’s doing as president, whereas 77 percent of Republican respondents said they disapprove of Obama. The Tea Party members are also strongly opposed to the Democrats’ healthcare plan, with 82 percent saying they oppose it — only 48 percent of respondents overall were opposed.”

Some will inevitably say these respondents are just racists but I suspect what they don’t like is Obama’s socialism.


The Health Care Lawsuits

Filed under: Health Care,Law — DRJ @ 6:45 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

A number of lawsuits have been filed contesting ObamaCare, including a complaint filed in Virginia on March 23, 2010, by the Commonwealth of Virginia, a complaint filed by 13 states in Florida federal court on the same date, and a Liberty University complaint filed the following day. The complaints undoubtedly present a number of legal issues requiring voluminous briefs and memoranda, but a Houston Chronicle article suggests the ultimate result may hinge on limits on the Interstate Commerce Clause addressed in a 1995 Texas gun rights case:

“A Texas high school student’s decision to bring a .38-caliber handgun to school in 1992 could end up at the center of the legal fight over President Barack Obama’s health care reform plan.

Alfonso Lopez Jr.’s arrest at Edison High School in San Antonio set in motion a legal battle that may prove crucial to 13 state attorneys general fighting the new law.

Lopez, a senior when he was arrested for handgun possession in March 1992, ended up facing federal charges of violating the Gun-Free School Zones Act of 1990. But the Supreme Court, on a 5-4 vote, threw out his conviction five years later on the grounds that Congress exceeded its regulatory authority under the Constitution when it approved the 1990 law, which makes it a violation of federal law to possess a firearm in a school zone.”

The legal issue is the scope of Article I, Section 8, Clause 3 of the Constitution — the Interstate Commerce Clause — that authorizes the federal government “to regulate commerce” among the states:

“In filing a lawsuit last week challenging the new health care law’s mandate that everyone must have health insurance, the 13 state attorneys general — including Greg Abbott of Texas — cited the same legal reasoning that went into the Lopez ruling.

At issue in both cases is the Constitution’s commerce clause, which limits the regulatory powers of Congress to matters involving interstate commerce. In the Lopez decision, conservatives on the court led by then-Chief Justice William Rehnquist ruled that the 1990 gun law was unconstitutional because it had nothing to do with commerce between states.

Upholding the federal government’s right to control guns in school zones would give Congress “a general police power of the sort retained by the states,” Rehnquist wrote for the majority.

That’s almost exactly the argument the states are making now in a lawsuit filed March 23.”

The State complaints currently focus on U.S. vs Lopez, the 1995 Texas case, and U.S. vs Morrison, a Virginia case decided by the Supreme Court in 2000:

Abbott and the other 12 state attorneys general say that health care does not meet the legal definition of interstate commerce, rendering illegal the congressional mandate that all Americans must purchase health insurance.

“In the past 15 years the Supreme Court has scaled back Congress when they’ve tried to inject themselves into purely state matters,” said one of the 13, Michigan Attorney General Mike Cox, in an interview on MSNBC.

The Lopez ruling was one of two Cox cited, saying it was a case where the federal government “tried to criminalize purely state behavior within a state.”

Prior to the Lopez ruling [U.S. vs Lopez], the Supreme Court had for 60 years mostly followed the lead of Congress, ruling that congressional claims of regulatory power were valid under the Constitution. With the Lopez ruling, court watchers predicted a wholesale scaling back of such claims, clipping the wings of Congress to legislate in any area it wanted.

In the 2000 case of U.S. v. Morrison, the justices knocked down a provision of the Violence Against Women Act that gave victims of rape, domestic violence and other gender-motivated crimes the right to sue attackers in federal court. Rehnquist also authored the opinion.”

The lawsuits also object to the individual health care mandates on 10th Amendment grounds:

“Still, the attorneys general are hedging their legal bets. They also argue that the health care law’s insurance mandate for individuals violates the 10th Amendment, which states that powers not specifically delegated to Congress by the Constitution are “reserved to the states respectively, or to the people.”

However, it may be difficult to prevail since modern courts are often unwilling to sustain 10th Amendment and commerce clause challenges, and supporters claim health care is a federal matter:

“Critics of the lawsuit say the U.S. health care system is national in scope, transcending state lines, and that extending benefits to the uninsured is an economic activity that requires the participation of all in the insurance pool.

If Obama administration lawyers can establish a connection between the health care law’s goals and interstate commerce, the high court’s conservatives may be hard-pressed to rule against Congress, skeptics say.

“The courts are not supposed to overturn the will of the elected representatives of people; that is something that’s generally anathema to conservatives,” said Paul Rothstein, a law professor at Georgetown University. “Conservatives may not like the health care plan, but they don’t want to be put in a position of judicial activism, overturning what the people’s elected representatives put in place.”

I haven’t seen the Liberty University pleading so I can’t address it specifically, but it’s my understanding the plaintiffs (apparently the University and individual students) allege an adverse impact from ObamaCare — not only financial because Liberty is self-insured, but religious due to the abortion provisions. Courts may find it difficult to balance the legal interests involved.

Overall, my feeling is health care supporters will have a more difficult time defending the individual mandate than dealing with the commerce clause objections, but the ultimate results will undoubtedly make interesting law.


Balloon Incident in El Paso

Filed under: General — DRJ @ 4:46 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

Remember the Colorado balloon boy? It was a hoax but there was the real thing in El Paso today:

“Three small children were hurt when a jumping balloon they were inside of was picked up by a gust of wind Sunday afternoon in the Lower Valley.

Firefighters and witnesses said the balloon was lifted 10 feet in the air and carried into the back yard of a home three houses away in the 7300 block of Alpine.

The children, who were between 2 and 7 years old, were taken to a hospital with serious injuries.”

Blow-up jumpers are popular for kids in my community. I haven’t heard of an incident like this but West Texas has big winds, so there’s a reason they are supposed to be tied down.

I hope these kids will be okay. Their flight was “only” three blocks houses away and it shows how dangerous the balloon boy’s flight would have been.


Earthquake in Baja

Filed under: General — Patterico @ 3:46 pm

I just felt a very mild earthquake. I was the only one sitting down in the house and the only one to feel it.

Anyone else feel it?

UPDATE: Preliminary report: 6.9, centered in Baja.

UPDATE x2: L.A. Observed reports:

There’s now also been a 4.1 quake near The Geysers in Napa-Sonoma wine country.

And a 3.1, possible aftershock, in San Diego County 3 miles WSW of Julian.

UPDATE x3: L.A. Observed again:

And now a 4.5 magnitude quake near the border. Again likely an aftershock, at 4:09 p.m.

UPDATE x4: This report says it was a 7.2.

Here is a video of waves in a pool caused by the quake:

Our 50 States

Filed under: General — DRJ @ 3:40 pm

[Guest post by DRJ]

It’s a glorious Easter Day so let’s take a moment to share something positive about your State or region, or something it has given the world.

I’ll go first: I live in Texas and we’ve given the world Tex-Mex (and maybe chili), Ruby Red grapefruit, Pecos cantaloupes, bluebonnets, the iconic Lone Star, the spirit of the Alamo and “Don’t Mess With Texas.”


Happy Easter

Filed under: General — Patterico @ 3:14 pm

Hope the day is going well for all you readers.

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