Patterico's Pontifications

2/12/2008

Potomac Primaries

Filed under: 2008 Election,General — Patterico @ 9:06 pm



Obama and McCain swept the Potomac primaries. Those close to Hillary conceded early in the day that she needs to win Ohio and Texas — and in the view of at least one superdelegate, win “comfortably” — to have a chance.

Penn Jillette says Obama is the next president, based on the reception his audiences have been giving to an anti-Hillary joke he has been telling. Pretty convincing. (The language is not completely clean.)

6 Responses to “Potomac Primaries”

  1. Patterico:

    I know you and Penn are 106% convinced that no Republican can possibly win in November. But do you mind if we hold the vote anyway, just for giggles and grins?

    Seriously, the fact that the audience hooted like gibbons at an anti-Hillary joke doesn’t logically prove that Obama will beat McCain. Trust me: I’m a math guy.

    Hop in the ol’ hammock, have a glass of tawny port (I recommend Dow 10-year, or Sandeman 20-year, if you’re feeling extravagant), reread that WLS post downstairs, and relax…

    Dafydd

    Dafydd ab Hugh (db2ea4)

  2. “in the view of at least one superdelegate”

    These are the currently elected/appointed dems that she hopes to influence to vote for her, possibly via a vince Foster, encouragement program.

    Even if she has not had sex with them, yet! Not that a current offer would be deemed acceptable either. They probably would just for bragging rites!

    Hmmmmm, seems she may now have to look to a g/f or BILL for such, and neither will provide the intended results. Gratification or votes!

    TC (1cf350)

  3. “Bragging rites” must specify the exact condescension in one’s voice and the specific angle of smirk that must accompany any boasting about one’s hot new car.

    Dafydd

    Dafydd ab Hugh (db2ea4)

  4. I doubt very much that Penn’s audience will vote in this election or has ever voted in any election. And Hillary may be a lot of things, but “nasty bitch” fits Penn much more than it does her.

    nk (616f8b)

  5. JFK was drawing huge crowds against Nixon but had he not stolen Illinois he’d have lost the election. Crowds don’t seem to mean all that much in politics since they are motivated by friends and media. And McGovern drew the crowds, the enthusiasm, and all the media; Nixon won the election in a landslide, with a 23 percentage points margin of victory in the popular vote.

    Howard Veit (cc8b85)

  6. Jillette’s joke about Hillary only predicts the result of the election assuming the Vegas audience is a representative cross-section of the voting public (I don’t know if that thought scares me or not) and that their reaction liquored up and unrepressed is reflective of how they’d consciously feel sober in a voting booth (unless this is an election that drives voters to drink before they trundle off and vote). However, it’s a great joke. It’s more didactic as discussed in the video than it probably was on stage, although I was surprised that Patterico actually tells it pretty humorously himself.

    Lloyd Handler (d428d9)


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