The Jury Talks Back

1/22/2018

Three-Week Funding Agreement Reached; Women & Minorities Hardest Hit

Filed under: Uncategorized — JVW @ 12:17 pm

[guest post by JVW]

You know it’s bad when even CNN agrees that Schumer and the progressive wing of the party got worked over in the three-week extension. Apparently there is a plurality, if not a majority, of Americans who don’t think granting amnesty to DACA recipients is important enough to shut down federal government operations. The network of Jim Acosta sees Senate Democrats up for election this year as benefitting from the compromise, while Senate Democrats up for election in 2020 and 2022 end up being (far-)left in the lurch (pardon the pun). Indeed, it notes that the most strident progressives in the Senate such as Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Corey Booker, and Bernie Sanders — all of whom have higher ambitions — were among the 18 who voted against the compromise (along with Republicans Mike Lee and Rand Paul).

As usual, in the matter of reconciliation the House is at the mercy of what the Senate does. Pelosi and Hoyer have vowed to vote against this bill, but Politico reports that the Democrat whips are not seeking unanimous opposition. In return for being frozen out of the compromise, the House leadership will likely push for new restrictions on chain-migration and national visa lotteries, so the battle lingers on. But it has to be very troubling for Democrats that their attempt to have the GOP take the heat for the government shutdown — which prior to now has always been how these things go — backfired so badly.

UPDATE: Here is the roll-call vote on breaking the filibuster. Much of it is expected: joining Paul and Lee in voting no were both Senators from lefty states like Oregon, California, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Vermont, and New Jersey. Jon Tester of Montana was a surprising “No” vote, seeing as how he is up for reelection this year in a red state and had been considered to be a foe of illegal immigration in the past. I would be interested in knowing what Tester’s motivation is here — is he worried about a challenge from his left flank, even knowing that he faces a tough fight in the general election?

Also worth noting is that both of Minnesota’s Democrat Senators voted to end the shutdown, as did both Democrat Senators in New Hampshire, Delaware, Maryland, New Mexico, Virginia, and Washington.

– JVW

5 Comments »

  1. UPDATE: Here is the roll-call vote on breaking the filibuster. Much of it is expected: joining Paul and Lee in voting no were both Senators from lefty states like Oregon, California, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Vermont, and New Jersey. Jon Tester of Montana was a surprising “No” vote, seeing as how he is up for reelection this year in a red state and had been considered to be a foe of illegal immigration in the past. I would be interested in knowing what Tester’s motivation is here — is he worried about a challenge from his left flank, even knowing that he faces a tough fight in the general election?

    Also worth noting is that both of Minnesota’s Democrat Senators voted to end the shutdown, as did both Democrat Senators in New Hampshire, Delaware, Maryland, New Mexico, Virginia, and Washington.

    Cross-posted at The Jury Talks Back.

    Comment by JVW — 1/22/2018 @ 12:51 pm

  2. Tester’s vote is interesting. He says he voted against the CR because it does not provide community health funding that rural Montana residents need. Maybe he is being a loyal Democrat to please the base, but he voted against DACA in 2010 and Dreamers don’t seem to be a big issue in Nevada.

    Comment by DRJ — 1/23/2018 @ 9:06 am

  3. Ah, thanks for the info on Tester, DRJ. I do get the feeling that he’s trying to have it both ways: raise money from the Tom Steyers of the world (or perhaps keep Steyer from funding a primary opponent) by singing from the progressive hymnal, then pivot back in time for the election. But it will also be interesting to see if he ends up having to find a fig leaf for a vote against whatever immigration reform bill is ultimately cooked up, in order to keep progressives at bay.

    Comment by JVW — 1/23/2018 @ 10:50 am

  4. I agree. But I don’t think the Dreamers motivate Democrats the way abortion, SSM, BLM and other social justice issues do. They want to help them legally and are happy to fund activists and lawyers, but I don’t think they see a desperate need to stop deportations. If anything, trying to keep immigrants in the US is a slap at the nations/cultures they came from. Democrats like all cultures except traditional white conservative culture.

    In addition, I doubt Hispanics are loyal Democratic voters the way many elites and blacks are. Elites and blacks feel a connection to Democratic issues/culture that Hispanics don’t. Hispanics are Democrats when they are in need but more conservative when they have jobs.

    Comment by DRJ — 1/23/2018 @ 11:20 am

  5. Maybe Ted Cruz should be Senate Majority Leader.

    Comment by DRJ — 1/26/2018 @ 6:49 pm

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