The Jury Talks Back

3/18/2009

March madness

Filed under: Uncategorized — aunursa @ 8:00 pm

Interesting statistics about the seeds since the tournament expanded to 16-seed regions.  Each seed has been assigned to 96 teams since 1985.

  • #1 seeds – 44% reach the Final Four.
  • #2 seeds that reach the regional finals (44 out of 96) advance at a 48% rate.
  • #3 seeds have won 3 titles — no lower seed has produced more than 1 champion
  • #4 seeds – 41% reach the Sweet 16, and 15% reach the regional final.
  • #5 seeds reach the Sweet 16 about as often as #4’s, but hardly ever go further.
  • #6 seeds that win their opening game (66) are more likely than not to win their 2nd (34).
  • #7 seeds that win their opening game (60) have a 30% chance of winning their 2nd and a 10% chance of winning their 3rd.
  • #8 seeds win 20% of 2nd round #1-#8 matchups.
  • #9 seeds win 54% of 1st round games, but winners lose 94% of 2nd round games.
  • #10 seeds produce more regional finalists than #7, #8, or #9 seeds.
  • #11 seeds have nearly as many Sweet 16 appearances (11) as #8 and #9 seeds combined (12).
  • #12 seeds that win their opening game (31) have a better than even chance of advancing further.
  • #13 seeds pull off the opening round upset 18% of the time.
  • #14 seeds get an opening round victory 16% of the time.
  • #15 seeds have 4 wins – the most recent in 2001.
  • #16 seeds have come within 2 points 3 times – a 4th #16 took its goliath to overtime.

Good luck — I hope your team wins (… unless you’re playing my team!)

1 Comment

  1. I can’t begin to tell you how much I don’t care about March Madness…

    Oh Jesus, Baseball is starting soon too… Oh god help me.

    Comment by Scott Jacobs — 3/19/2009 @ 6:39 am

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