Oh, how I have waited to write that headline.
Ted Cruz, who took a principled stand against ethanol mandates, has won Iowa. Now, the same idiots who said it was GENIUS for Trump to skip the debate are eating a little crow tonight. I won’t reproduce it all, but I made sure to prepare a nice meal of crow for John Nolte of Breitbart (with whom I have been friendly in the past but have never personally met), and I served it up tonight on Twitter. (If you’re not following me on Twitter, then what the hell is wrong with you? — and you can correct your error by clicking here.)
Just as losing Iowa would not have assured defeat, winning it does not assure victory. Cruz has almost no chance of winning the stupid state of New Hampshire. F**k them anyway.
But for now? Winning beats losing. Oh — and did I mention?
DONALD TRUMP IS A LOSING LOSER WHO LOSES.
P.S. I should probably add: ALWAYS TRUST CONTENT FROM PATTERICO.
Last night: “I have said I think Cruz will take it. It goes against the conventional wisdom, but I’m sticking with it.”
Pundits are so used to Trump doing crazy things and not having it hurt him, that they are blind to how badly all this will hurt him. It won’t change anyone’s mind who already decided with all their heart and soul to support Trump. But those undecided between Trump and Cruz are going to flock to Cruz now.
I still think he gets back in. It’s such a stupid move to skip the debate, and Trump, while a moron on policy, is not generally stupid on matters like this. But maybe his personal pique is so great that it overshadows his usual judgment on such issues.
And here’s Nate Silver from tonight:
With 19 percent of Iowa precincts reporting, Donald Trump has 27.1 percent of the Iowa vote. That’s not a bad result by any means: Trump trails Ted Cruz by just 3 points and could very easily win the state. Still, a case can be made that (contra the pundit conventional wisdom at the time) Trump was mistaken to have skipped last week’s debate.
Finally, me, January 26, 2016:
Alternate title: “Trump loses Iowa.”
Did I mention?
ALWAYS TRUST CONTENT FROM PATTERICO.
P.P.P.P.S. You get it.