Nothing you don’t know, but interesting to see it expressed so clearly in Big Media. The piece is titled Analysis: George Zimmerman Probably Won’t Be Convicted of Murder or Manslaughter — Here’s Why:

I drew a legal conclusion on “Good Morning America” Saturday that would have surprised the Dan Abrams who covered the George Zimmerman case leading up to, and shortly after, his arrest.

Now that the prosecution’s case against Zimmerman is in, as a legal matter, I just don’t see how a jury convicts him of second degree murder or even manslaughter in the shooting death of Trayvon Martin.

. . . .

Zimmerman’s injuries alone — his broken nose and cuts on the back of his head — are objective evidence to support his account that he shot Martin as he was being pummeled.

Just as important is the testimony of neighbor John Good, who lived directly in front of the location where Martin was shot. He very precisely (but reluctantly) testified that he saw the lighter skinned man in the red jacket on the bottom of the scuffle with the darker skinned man with the darker clothing on the top in a “mixed martial arts position.” He said he now believes that Trayvon Martin was on top of Zimmerman. . . . Good’s testimony in conjunction with Zimmerman’s injuries are likely enough to cast reasonable doubt on the key question, which is whether Zimmerman reasonably believed he needed to shoot Martin to prevent “great bodily injury.”

This is not a close call.

Your Zimmerman thread is here. If it starts getting too unwieldy, let me know, and I’ll start a new one tomorrow.