[Posted by Karl]
There’s more voting today, especially on the GOP side. Here’s your Google Map for tracking results. Most people will focus on Alabama and Mississippi, which have a quasi-proportional allocation of delegates, based on a 20% and 15% threshold, respectively. Although the polls have been close in both states, the demographics do not favor front-runner Mitt Romney. However, Romney wasn’t letting that bother him (publicly):
“You don’t know from polls what will happen but obviously if the polls are anywhere near correct, we’ll end up with, I don’t know, a third of the delegates,” he said, balancing a box of St. Patrick’s Day cookies in his hands. ”And if that’s the case, why that inches us closer to that magic number.”
Indeed, if Romney gets above 25% in the South, he is likely on track to the nomination.
Plus, Romney is favored to win the Hawaii caucus, which has goofier rules than the typical state. Mitt will likely sweep in American Samoa, which reportedly has a sizable Mormon poulation, but is decided by about 50 people in a bar.
Update: Santorum wins Alabama, although it looks like Gingrich and Romney will also pick up delegates. If Gingrich does not win Mississippi, there will be more talk about how he should leave, even though there’s little data suggesting that even a united NotRomney has the critical mass to beat Romney.
Update 2: FNC calls Mississippi for Santorum. However, Romney may do better in the delegate count here. IIRC, Santorum never led in a poll there, but the turnout was low and churched.