Patterico's Pontifications

5/26/2011

Why I Think John Edwards Will Take A Plea Deal

Filed under: General — Stranahan @ 11:29 am



[Guest post by Lee Stranahan]

Based on what I know about John Edwards and my track record so far in predicting the course of his case, I’m going to disagree with Aaron and say I think he’ll take a plea deal. Don’t get me wrong; Aaron has pegged Edwards’s ego exactly correctly…but even Edwards has limits.

Specifically, Edwards does what he has to do when he has no other possible choice. That’s why he confessed to the affair but not the baby initially. That’s why he eventually confessed to the baby. Absolutely no choice.

This seems like it’s going to turn into one of those moments.

– Lee Stranahan

15 Responses to “Why I Think John Edwards Will Take A Plea Deal”

  1. I think he will reject initial offers of a deal, and only seek out a plea agreement after the trial is underway and it becomes blindingly obvious how utterly screwed he is…

    Scott Jacobs (d027b8) — 5/26/2011 @ 11:33 am

  2. His GINORMOUS ego will have him trying everything to avoid taking a plea, but yeah . . . when it comes down to it he will cave.

    Icy Texan (3f01f5) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:12 pm

  3. How much jail time will the prosecutor settle for? 6 months?

    rbj (9ae8d9) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:15 pm

  4. Lee

    well needless to say there is not like science or math where there can be answers determined with certainty. And bluntly legal experience doesn’t help much.

    So i will say that I am sticking with my very unscientific estimate of his character… but if you turn out to be right, i won’t be surprised, either. its just my money is he won’t ever believe he can lose this.

    Aaron Worthing (e7d72e) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:28 pm

  5. Community service … how about two years as an unpaid reporter for the National Enquirer?

    أيمن محمد ربيع الظواهري‎ (0b933c) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:37 pm

  6. it makes no sense why he needed that old bat’s money to hide his hoochie – he’s rich! He has an Escape Hybrid! That means he can afford to piss his money away on uneconomical purchasings when he wants to.

    I don;t get it.

    I hope it goes to trial so they can splain it to me to where I can understand.

    happyfeet (a55ba0) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:37 pm

  7. btw, on the other hand there is this.

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304520804576345304156346920.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories

    Aaron Worthing (e7d72e) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:37 pm

  8. He will take a plea. Less than a year, if any, at a Fed minimum security country club.

    JD (318f81) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:40 pm

  9. The department pointed to a 2000 Federal Election Commission advisory opinion suggesting donors can’t get around disclosure laws just by asserting the donation isn’t linked to politics.

    In the 2000 case, a donor consulted the FEC about giving a gift to a candidate “to express deep appreciation…for [forgoing] opportunities in the private sector in order to serve his country,” according to FEC documents. The donor said his gift wasn’t aimed at influencing the election, but the FEC ruled the money would be considered a campaign contribution and subject to regulation.

    ok who is this loser?

    People are stupid.

    happyfeet (a55ba0) — 5/26/2011 @ 12:42 pm

  10. I hope Edwards loses everything. Home, family, money, career.

    But I’ll settle for jail time.

    Jack (f9fe53) — 5/26/2011 @ 1:06 pm

  11. That it took a supermarket tabloid to break this case speaks volumns about the state of US media.

    If there’s any question about a Republican the major media outlets are all over it. Palin, then an unknown named GOP VP candidate…dozens of nationally known reporters flock to Alaska.

    Edwards…nothing.

    VoteOutIncumbents (bd5def) — 5/26/2011 @ 1:09 pm

  12. John Edwards is a Silky Phony.

    DohBiden (15aa57) — 5/26/2011 @ 1:52 pm

  13. Edwards was meeting with Rachel Mellon today.

    She’s the money behind the coverup. If ABC is to be believed, it was a $700,000 effort.

    I wonder what they talked about? I’m sure there are many people worried that their role in this mess will be better understood if this goes to trial. Mellon says she didn’t know how her money was used. My guess is that she asked John to visit to make sure he’s on the right page.

    Dustin (c16eca) — 5/26/2011 @ 6:10 pm

  14. Were there any federal matching funds?

    SteveG (cc5dc9) — 5/26/2011 @ 7:28 pm

  15. No jail time. Edwards will sell everybody down the river, and if his signature is on any check he will say he was misled. Babymama did actually provide professional services, and a finished product.

    Let us not forget the way Edwards’ mind works, i.e. in his confessional press conference he said a) “99% of what I said was correct” and “at the time of this affair, my wife was in remission.” With a narcissistic worldview like that, he will spend every penny to stay out of jail and at some point the government will just take the money and the win. That’s my two cents…

    TimesDisliker (45ec72) — 5/28/2011 @ 3:09 pm


Powered by WordPress.

Page loaded in: 0.0867 secs.