Watching the Presidential Polls
[Guest post by DRJ]
President Obama’s Gallup approval poll has slipped into negative numbers:
“President Barack Obama’s job approval is the worst of his presidency to date, with 46% of Americans approving and 48% disapproving of the job he is doing as president in the latest Gallup Daily three-day average.
Obama’s approval rating has hovered around 50% since November, but in the last two days has declined to the point that slightly more Americans now disapprove than approve of his performance in office.”
It’s starting to look like President Bush’s Gallup polls in 2005, when the war in Iraq hit a low point. As Charlie Cook says, health care will be Obama’s Iraq and “one of the biggest miscalculations that we’ve seen in modern political history.”
Nevertheless, I don’t think this is President Obama’s miscalculation. Massive government regulation and involvement in American’s lives is what he wants. It’s the American public and rank-and-file Democrats in Congress who have miscalculated by believing in Obama.
— DRJ
Hopeychangey is teh suck.
JD (236586) — 3/18/2010 @ 6:57 pmfor all the morons who voted for him: I TOLD YOU SO!!
redc1c4 (fb8750) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:01 pmI’m proud to have contributed to this. I took a call from Gallup the night before last and one of the questions they asked me was the presidential approval question.
Patterico (c218bd) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:18 pmJD and redc1c4:
I promise you that a couple of morons that voted for him will be along very soon to tell you that his problem is he hasn’t been strong enough in forcing his hope and change through and we’re too stupid too realize how perfect his world will be when he and his cohorts are successful.
Ag80 (f67beb) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:19 pmSadly, Ag80, you are likely correct.
JD (6a02c8) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:25 pm3.I’m proud to have contributed to this. I took a call from Gallup the night before last and one of the questions they asked me was the presidential approval question.
Glad to hear that. I always wondered who it was that got called, since I’ve never had the honor.
MD in Philly (59a3ad) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:34 pmPatterico – Now you’re off their list.
daleyrocks (718861) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:41 pmHe really doesn’t know why he is losing the public. He is all about the ideology that his mentors told him for years the public was waiting for. It must be awful to learn that your life’s work is rejected by everyone.
Mike K (2cf494) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:44 pmMaybe Mike. He seems like a person who thinks that anyone will fall for his BS if only they are compelled to listen long enough. He really seems baffled when people don’t swoon at his words. That was one of the hilarious parts of his interview with Baier on Fox.
SPQR (26be8b) — 3/18/2010 @ 7:47 pmI agree, SPQR. He seems to believe if doubters listen long enough they too will inevitably fall under his spell and realize that all along, he was the light. It speaks to an extraordinarily high opinion of himself. Maybe mother and grandmother raised him as a precious, and as he’s come up the Chicago ranks, he’s been a political precious… Too bad though he isn’t smart enough to surround himself with a few people who weren’t afraid to tell him when necessary that he’s full of crap.
Dana (1e5ad4) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:03 pmToo bad though he isn’t smart enough to surround himself with a few people who
Dana (1e5ad4) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:07 pmweren’taren’t afraid to tell him when necessary, that he’s full of crap.“Too bad though he isn’t smart enough to surround himself with a few people who weren’t aren’t afraid to tell him when necessary, that he’s full of crap.”
Dana – If they can’t get a word in edgewise, how can they tell him he’s full of crap? You saw that Fox interview last night. The man can’t shut up!
daleyrocks (718861) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:11 pm… POTUS is a turd. He could care less about listening. He has the ego and certitude of Jim Jones.
HeavenSent (a9126d) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:15 pmNot just Gallup. The overall Real Clear Politics *Average* now has him in negative territory, for the first time. Amazing.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html
wt (2cd385) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:23 pmI did see it, daley, and President Obama couldn’t stop talking because he knew Baier’s push back was smart and correct, and only Obama’s typical avoid and distract m.o. would get him through: fill the airspace with hot air and kill the clock.
Dana (1e5ad4) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:23 pmDo you think he even knows how low he is in the polls? Do you think his handlers dare tell him?
elissa (5602f9) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:50 pmWow, I didn’t realize that his numbers mirrored W’s.
My take is this: he has zero experience in lawmaking or legislating or even practicing law. All he has is ideology, and so he goes long for an ideological triumph. If he wins, though, he loses–the next four years of taxes and fights about who gets what when the benefits kick in will make this look like a, well, tea party. It will be vicious. I honestly fear violence. And if he loses, he loses. He looks like a dopey professor who bet the farm. Which is what he is, I guess.
Patricia (e1047e) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:54 pmw got his low numbers after 4 years of democrat bashing supported by the msm. o got his numbers despite msm support and the republicans not bashing o.
Jim (582155) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:56 pmAs far as I’m concerned, at an approval level of 46%, the guy still is getting way more support than he deserves.
I do wonder if future analysts and historians (assuming they’re not of the left) will look back at 2008 as the moment when the US, by putting the ego- and hubris- crazed, two-bit “Goddamn America” dude into the White House, jumped the shark.
Mark (411533) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:56 pm“My take is this: he has zero experience in lawmaking or legislating or even practicing law”
Pulling off health care would be some LBJ level legislating. Even more impressive if he has “zero experience.”
imdw (8f8ead) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:57 pmIndeed, imdw, indeed.
Ag80 (f67beb) — 3/18/2010 @ 8:59 pm“Pulling off health care would be some LBJ level legislating.”
imdw – LBJ was a world class liar and bribery artist. Maybe that should be Obama’s legacy.
daleyrocks (718861) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:00 pmObama supplied no legislative language, no detailed structure for the legislation, and every time he campaigned for the bill, support dropped.
Yep, I’m sure Obama will claim credit for it.
SPQR (26be8b) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:01 pmDana @15 – Obama also didn’t want to let on that Baier had him nailed about spending the same dollars over and over in his claims and had him flustered.
daleyrocks (718861) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:03 pm“Yep, I’m sure Obama will claim credit for it.”
It’s not his fans that call it “obamacare.” Claim or no claim, it’s his now. There’s no escaping that — not by him nor by whoever else wants credit.
imdw (7ae49a) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:08 pmYou have to wonder just what goes through the mind of a man who thinks he is the one “we” have been waiting for, the one who will make the oceans return to their rightful shores and the sick can (finally) look to being healed, who accepts the “crown” before the trappings of the Roman Empire.
The place where most people who claim they control the oceans and miraculously heal the sick end up is not the White House.
MD in Philly (59a3ad) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:08 pm“Yep, I’m sure Obama will claim credit for it.”
SPQR – Only if ir looks like it will succeed. If it looks like a debacle, it will be somebody else’s fault and he will be dodging all responsibility the way he has for everything else in his life – they messed up my ideas in Congress!
daleyrocks (718861) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:14 pmI’m looking for a bumper sticker that says
Hope and Change = Bait and Switch
Mike Myers (3c9845) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:22 pmThis isn’t about health care. It’s about a lying impostor who is deliberately and willfully trying to destroy America. The health care taxes begin right away, and during the first four years there are virtually no health care expenditures during that time. The idea is to overtax, and then bankrupt the nation, by any means necessary.
Official Internet Data Office (3def0e) — 3/18/2010 @ 9:28 pmhe might as well, since no one else seems eager to claim credit for it.
redc1c4 (fb8750) — 3/18/2010 @ 10:25 pmhell, they don’t even want to vote on it……
He has a 19 vote majority in the Senate, and a 75 vote majority in the House. This should be f*cking easy.
JD (b537f4) — 3/18/2010 @ 10:39 pmEar Leader inspires optimism……
heh.
redc1c4 (fb8750) — 3/18/2010 @ 10:42 pm“He has a 19 vote majority in the Senate, and a 75 vote majority in the House. ”
LBJ also had large democratic majorities.
imdw (ca383e) — 3/18/2010 @ 10:53 pmThen how is that anything other than an exercise in power?
JD (b537f4) — 3/18/2010 @ 11:07 pm“Then how is that anything other than an exercise in power?”
I called it “LBJ level legislating.” If all you take away from this is that all it takes is having people in your party in congress to do your bidding, then … well, then the world is a pretty uncomplicated place and i hope that works out for you in life.
[note: fished from spam filter. –Stashiu]
imdw (bb2587) — 3/18/2010 @ 11:17 pm> It’s the American public and rank-and-file Democrats in Congress who have miscalculated by believing in Obama.
***I*** Never believed in the son of a bitch.
*I*ve said, since he was first nominated by the Dems, that he would make us appreciate that mound of quivering incompetence that is Jimmy Carter. And that has never had one single, solitary thing to do with his skin color.
IgotBupkis (79d71d) — 3/18/2010 @ 11:42 pm> The place where most people who claim they control the oceans and miraculously heal the sick end up is not the White House.
Yeah, but unfortunately, six feet under is very likely the next place of residence for a lot of those who DON’T believe him, too (yes, where they go after that is another story, I concur…)
IgotBupkis (79d71d) — 3/18/2010 @ 11:46 pmIt took the assassination of John F Kennedy for LBJ to make history. Barack Obama will have to settle for killing off Uncle Sam.
ropelight (bbd695) — 3/19/2010 @ 3:39 amNaw, more like his Stalingrad.
Lazarus Long (a4f63e) — 3/19/2010 @ 5:37 amLet me ‘splain.
The Nazis approached the city, managed to penetrate and take over most of it in house to house fighting, and then the Sixth Army was surrounded and annihilated.
Lazarus Long (a4f63e) — 3/19/2010 @ 5:40 amDon’t ever misunderestimate Big Zero’s arrogance or fecklessness.
GeneralMalaise (f0137a) — 3/19/2010 @ 6:19 am“*I*ve said, since he was first nominated by the Dems, that he would make us appreciate that mound of quivering incompetence that is Jimmy Carter. ”
I am REALLY REALLY ticked. I always enjoyed saying that Jimmy Carter was the worst President in my lifetime.
Having to update that “Worst. President. Ever.” marker to Obama is quite depressing.
And BTW, #39 is right. The Obamacare=Stalingrad analogy is apt…
http://travismonitor.blogspot.com/2009/12/obamacare-becoming-stalingrad-for-obama.html
However, the point has been made (Fred barnes?) that passing ObamaCare will be not the END but the START of putting this big honking socialistic pile o’ crap in the center of our politics for YEARS.
What that means is that if it fails, its Stalingrad, a classic attempt at overreaching hubris … if it passes, it will be like Iraq, it will define Obama as President and hang around his neck forever- a political and economic quagmire that we cant get out of for a loooong time. It will destroy the Democrat majority for years. If we are LUCKY, it will get repealed, if we are unlucky, the GOP will ride into the majority on the wave of resentment, and just as the Democrats couldnt pull the trigger on withdrawal, we wont be able to do the same.
Travis Monitor (9e010e) — 3/19/2010 @ 8:17 amIf Obamacare fails, Obama is a lame duck.
If it passes, look for a budgetary trainwreck in 2011 as the Republican Congress refuses to fund it.
Kevin Murphy (3c3db0) — 3/19/2010 @ 8:33 am“The Government that governs Best, governs Least!”
Mr. Jefferson would be appalled.
AD - RtR/OS! (b083e4) — 3/19/2010 @ 8:53 am“Wow, I didn’t realize that his numbers mirrored W’s.”
They don’t. Bush had the highest approval rating of any president in the history of the Gallup polls after 9/11.
It took several years of relentless attacks (and endless lying) by the MSM to drive his approval ratings down…unfortunately for the liberals (but, fortunately for America) they weren’t able to pull it off before the 2004 election.
Dave Surls (cda7bc) — 3/19/2010 @ 10:44 am“If it passes, look for a budgetary trainwreck in 2011 as the Republican Congress refuses to fund it.”
You know what happens now right? “GOP is cutting health care.” Is the line.
imdw (1f837b) — 3/19/2010 @ 10:47 amI expect the President’s approval rating to drop below 40% in the next few months. Congressional numbers – are they single digit yet?
Corwin (ea9428) — 3/19/2010 @ 11:36 am