Patterico's Pontifications

1/14/2010

“It’s a Brown-Out”

Filed under: Politics — DRJ @ 7:47 pm



[Guest post by DRJ]

The Instapundit is all over the Scott Brown-Martha Coakley Senate race, including new poll results that show Brown leading Coakley 50-46:

Although Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.

“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.”

Brown has also raised an incredible $1M every day this week.

Democrats learned the power of internet fundraising in the Presidential race last year and, to a certain extent, Republicans should have learned it from Ron Paul’s campaign. But the Brown-Coakley race shows how internet fundraising can potentially turn state or local races into national races. That strikes me as a very big deal. It’s also a big deal that, like the last election, the motivating factor seems to be Obama — only this time it may be Obama’s opponents who show up at the polls.

— DRJ

25 Responses to ““It’s a Brown-Out””

  1. So is health care dead?

    Or will one of the RINO’s turn coat?

    HeavenSent (ae267e)

  2. It is a big deal–although you would never know it from the media. It shows it’s not the internet that drives the campaign, but always the candidate. We all get it now; we all know how to use Paypal.

    This is even more sophisticated than the last prez election. I would guess most people who donate to Brown have figured out (again, not from the MSM) that he is all that stands between Obama and our medical future.

    I have hope again for the republic.

    Patricia (b05e7f)

  3. Heavensent,

    You bring up a truly powerful point. This bill has the votes of the majority of Senators. And the leaders of the houses realize now they can spend hundreds of billions without raising an eyebrow. They can buy many of these Senators if they get leverage in one issue.

    It’s like Bush with Iraq. He agreed to all kinds of stupid shit if they would just fund our soldiers’ food clothing shelter and equipment in Iraq. Politics is a brutal sport.

    Brown will surely disappoint on 100 issues, too. He’s clear on that. He doesn’t owe the GOP a damn thing, and will likely be the best Senator this state has had in 100 years, but he’s going to be called RINO very soon.

    Health Care Reform will never die, and they only have to pass the entitlement once. We have to win every single attempt forever, and they have to win a single time.

    Dustin (b54cdc)

  4. This is a good thing, but far from over.

    JD (9cf90a)

  5. I live 3000 miles from Massachusettes (sp? 😉 ) have absolutely no inside information, so take my words with a grain of salt. But I remember when it seemed like Clarence Thomas was in the clear to be confirmed. The late pre-Internet muckraker Jack Anderson said that the NOW was searching high and low for dirt on Thomas as the confirmation vote loomed days away. With hours to spare, NPR’s Nina Totenberg leaked word that Anita Hill’s deposition with allegations (STILL unproved) of sexual harassment was not going to be addressed in his hearings, and the outrage held Thomas up for a week of a white-hot spotlight and vilification he will never completely live down.

    Don’t be too surprised if a Brown former girlfriend pops up with salacious allegations. The stakes are just about as high now with Brown as they were with Thomas, and mark my words, folks: There’s no depths to which the same crowd won’t go.

    L.N. Smithee (e1f2bf)

  6. Health care is even deader since they decided today to exempt unions and government workers from the insurance tax. Just us poor slobs have to pay it.

    Democrats at work today were not happy at all. And if Scott Brown actually wins, the rats will all jump.

    Kevin Murphy (3c3db0)

  7. The NPR whores are most unamused.

    [Coakley] has a strong record regulating banks, defending gay marriage and protecting children.

    vs.

    Brown favors the death penalty. He’s against gay marriage. He questions whether global warming is man-made or natural. And he’s been endorsed by an anti-abortion group.

    happyfeet (e9e587)

  8. feets – Coakley has been involved in a number of cases what make me think those NPR hoochies got the protect children part wrong.

    daleyrocks (718861)

  9. that’s just how the NPR whores roll I think

    happyfeet (e9e587)

  10. I have hope again for the republic.

    Comment by Patricia — 1/14/2010 @ 7:56 pm

    It’s always a pleasure to see republic used over the term democracy in reference to a governing system. In the words of Churchill:

    “The best argument against democracy is a five minute conversation with the average voter.”

    Now a democratic republic is a completely decent merger of the two. They had me at the Articles of Confederation. Wished they’d stopped there. The Big C started off nicely, but has been zombied and interpreted ad nauseum into a centralized govt quagmire of haste, waste, and corruption. All legal and constitutional, of course. I can deal with it without whining, just do what I need to do for my family, vote my conscience, and stay under the radar as far as possible. It just rankles when one considers how much better it could have turned out. Dream on.

    political agnostic (d399fe)

  11. You guys heard the latest? Coakley now suggests that Catholic doctors who are opposed to the Culture of Death agenda probably shouldn’t work in emergency rooms.

    God, Brown winning this seat would be a great moment. I’m trying not to get my hopes up, though, since I have a feeling that Mass Dems are going to do something underhanded to win, just as L.N. Smithee suggests in this comment above.

    JVW (48cbba)

  12. It’s also a white out.

    Apparently the White House is clamoring to prepare, just in case Brown really is going to win. They want to ram a bill through as quickly as possible, if not before the election, just after Brown wins (And before he is certified).

    Negotiations are occurring, as we speak, deep into the night. Lots of White House staffers are working overtime.

    One of them posted a pic to 4 chan, pointing out that he was working late. Using an iphone, he took a picture of a bunch of cocaine. He was too stupid to realize that iphones include the GPS location in the metadata.

    Anyway, someone’s snorting coke off a government desk, on my dime. Obama famously snorted coke and joked about it in his memoirs, so it’s no surprise that his staff thinks this is a good habit. I somehow doubt this desk had cocaine on it during the W administration.

    Anyway, wheels within wheels, the White House is preparing for the worst with Brown’s election.

    Dustin (b54cdc)

  13. Personally, I think Coakley will win, probably by a wide margin. The people of Massachusettes :) actually seem to like living in a Soviet state.

    But, it has been fun seeing the Democrats scared.

    Ag80 (76c798)

  14. Ag80 – It is fun to see the Democrats scared and I think turnout will be the key. The critical fact to remember is that the unaligned or independent block of voters is the largest block in the state by far and is leaning heavily toward Brown. In the 2008 election, the independents represented 49% of the registered voters, Democrats 37% and Republicans 12%. Do the math.

    daleyrocks (718861)

  15. Did you see the comment section in that Boston Herald article? Hoo boy! I read 6 pages of comments and nearly every one of the comments was excitement. And some coming from self-proclaimed registered Democrats who are voting Brown. Knowing what I know about Massachusetts voting, I can’t call this for Brown, but the fervor has to be shocking every Democrat in political office across the country.

    This is definitely a wake-up call to the Democrats, regardless of how they spin it. Too bad the Republicans aren’t waking up, or this whole thing could be cataclysmic.

    John Hitchcock (3fd153)

  16. The way these assholes act in office as though they are immune to those that elected them, because, “the problem is national” divorcing themselves of what their actual employers, no make that enablers asked of them.

    YES they are all NATIONWIDE officials.

    2010 is going to be very good year!

    TC (0b9ca4)

  17. TC, 2010 will be a good election year. I won’t go so far as to say “very good” because the Republican power-brokers still aren’t listening to the people. And that’s what will prevent the 2010 election cycle from being a great election cycle: GOP arrogance in the face of the uprising.

    John Hitchcock (3fd153)

  18. I just hope Rush Limbaugh doesn’t say anything to screw it up

    jimboster (fe0b27)

  19. They can buy many of these Senators if they get leverage in one issue.

    That’s always a possibility, but with one big caveat: they know that if they’re bought off, their electorate will have their heads on a platter, pronto. Nelson was just hounded out of a restaurant in Omaha two days ago, and that was less than two miles away from his home. The diners were screaming at him and telling the restaurant manager to “get him the hell out of here!” So don’t be too sure about the bribery aspect working in the future, unless the politico in question has immediate post – political office plans in their futures.

    IOW, Obama doesn’t have an infinite supply of inane and obscure ambassadorships to ladle out.

    Dmac (539341)

  20. I have been saying this for days, but if you are interested in stopping the health care mess and are wont to give money to campaigns, give to this guy, Brown. dollar for dollar, it will make more impact than on any other you might spend this year. even a close loss might freak out the democrats enough to make them back down.

    A.W. (e7d72e)

  21. So is health care dead?

    Or will one of the RINO’s turn coat?

    Comment by HeavenSent — 1/14/2010 @ 7:50 pm

    Although Brown’s stand on the health care is known I wonder how long he would be in office before the conservative base began criticizing him as a RINO for his more moderate view of things. Kind of like hero today goat tomorrow.

    voiceofreason2 (8e6b90)

  22. […] learned last night that another poll had Brown up by 4 points. Ace is optimistic. He admits that the new poll is an […]

    Patterico's Pontifications » Poll: Brown Up by 15 Points (e4ab32)

  23. I think if Brown wins and succeeds in stopping the health care debacle (as well as the other insane programs), the GOP will gladly welcome him into it’s arms – the party has the best chance of returning to their successful “big tent” philosophy of the Reagan years. I don’t agree with the party’s prior stances regarding Collins, Snowe and Spector, however. When members of your own party consistently side with your opponents, they really cease to be worth having as party members in the future. It all depends on what the party will define as a true RHINO – Brown will be strong on monetary and foreign policy issues, but may be somewhat moderate on some social ones (save for abortion). What else could they expect from someone representing MA?

    Dmac (539341)

  24. voice of reason…

    oh you mean like that republican senator who was a vice presidential candidate and then only 6 years later was deemed too centrist and faced a challenge from its hard core wing, and lost the primary when trying to be reelected to the senate, and then went on to run as an independant and win anyway?

    Oh, sorry, my bad. that wasn’t a republican. that was a democrat: Joe Lieberman. Sorry.

    A.W. (e7d72e)

  25. First things first, or Can’t you just feel the disconnect:

    Haiti is prostrate and bleeding and needs all the help it can get, yet Bill Clinton, UN Special Envoy to Haiti and recently appointed by Barack Obama to co-chair fund raising efforts for Haitian relief has other fish to fry.

    He’s in Boston today, stumping at a Democrat campaign rally for Martha Coakley.

    ropelight (b3084f)


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