The Miers Implosion
[Posted by The Angry Clam]
The contract for Miers’ confirmation on InTrade has slipped below fifty, indicating that the market now believes that there is less than a 50-50 chance of her getting confirmed to the Supreme Court.
Interestingly, the contract for her receiving over 50 votes is trading around 80. That thirty point gap is, at least partially, the prediction that her nomination will be withdrawn.
I smell blood and victory in the air. Harriet Miers will slink back to Dallas to spend the rest of her career in obscurity.
— The Angry Clam
UPDATE FROM PATTERICO: I remain pessimistic, though I’d like to think the Clam is right.
Come on in the window, OK. We’ll let you go out again if needed…but you’re getting cold and it’s not that bad right now…
TCO (3c2924) — 10/20/2005 @ 9:52 pmPatterico has it right.
Flap handicaps Miers confirmation.
Flap (cc77c4) — 10/20/2005 @ 10:37 pmThere’s no need to get nasty at Miers, Clam. This isn’t her fault, it’s George Bush’s.
Doc Rampage (b7bb1a) — 10/20/2005 @ 10:51 pmThe trouble is, the Senate has historically given little weight to the opinion of raging bivalves. 🙂
George Turner (36dcbe) — 10/20/2005 @ 11:46 pm